Realized P&L (90d)
-$412
Unrealized P&L
+$877
Hit rate
81.8%
Resolved (90d)
5
Trades (90d)
255
1,265 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$17.3K
$119.3K lifetime
Avg / trade
$94
Open exposure
$14.9K
13 positions
First seen
2026-01-08
last 11-04 19:24
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 80 days
Categories
Other
45% 38% +$5,209
Politics
31% 38% -$1,181
Sports
20% 46% +$2,604
Crypto
4% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
26 active days in 12wk • peak 143 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will David Lisnard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? No +5,000 $4,134 82¢ $4.1K -$27 10-31 12:20
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No +2,500 $2,287 98¢ $2.4K +$154 05-04 12:22
Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election? No +2,500 $2,295 93¢ $2.3K +$39 11-03 17:32
Will Dominique de Villepin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +4,047 $1,306 38¢ $1.5K +$232 11-04 19:24
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? No -1,100 -$1,078 99¢ $-1093 -$15 06-27 15:11
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? No +1,250 $1,088 85¢ $1.1K -$28 10-21 16:40
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? No -645 -$624 99¢ $-639 -$15 06-27 17:30
Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +25,461 $55 2¢ $547 +$492 10-06 08:04
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? No +500 $420 88¢ $438 +$18 09-28 21:45
Will Valérie Pécresse announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? No +370 $347 97¢ $361 +$13 09-18 11:33
Will David Lisnard win the second-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election? No +382 $305 82¢ $311 +$6 11-01 10:48
Will Dominique de Villepin announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? Yes +21 $11 82¢ $17 +$6 09-18 21:11
Will Cristiano Ronaldo play at UEFA Euro 2028? No +6 $4 95¢ $5 +$1 10-12 08:55