(anonymous) 0xb715ac…fc8f7f
bot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
—
Unrealized P&L
+$0
Hit rate
—
Resolved
0
Trades
703
lifetime
Volume
$594
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$29
17 positions
First seen
2026-06-03
last 06-17 00:53
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
91% — —
Crypto
4% — —
Other
3% — —
Tech
1% — —
Sports
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
14 active days in 12wk • peak 127 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +12 $5 48¢ $6 +$0 06-11 20:27
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? Yes +4 $4 100¢ $4 +$0 06-15 05:38
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +32 $4 12¢ $4 +$0 06-16 12:40
GTA 6 launch postponed again? Yes +16 $3 19¢ $3 $-0 06-15 21:56
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +4 $3 72¢ $3 $-0 06-16 15:10
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +3 $1 56¢ $2 +$1 06-09 14:33
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +1 $1 82¢ $1 +$0 06-14 22:21
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +1 $1 87¢ $1 +$0 06-15 18:04
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +1 $1 88¢ $1 +$0 06-11 20:08
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +1 $1 92¢ $1 +$0 06-05 04:16
US strike on Colombia by December 31? No +1 $1 78¢ $1 $-0 06-16 17:03
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +5 $1 18¢ $1 +$0 06-14 21:30
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? Yes +23 $3 3¢ $1 $-2 06-15 18:25
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +2 $1 34¢ $1 $-0 06-12 17:44
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +1 $-2 13¢ $0 +$2 06-16 13:26
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +0 $-0 100¢ $0 +$0 06-16 01:07
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +2 $1 0¢ $0 $-1 06-12 16:56