(anonymous) 0xb715ac…fc8f7f
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Realized P&L
—
Unrealized P&L
-$8
Hit rate
—
Resolved
0
Trades
1,305
lifetime
Volume
$1.04K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$21
17 positions
First seen
2026-06-03
last 07-06 00:43
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
80% — —
Other
13% — —
Crypto
3% — —
Sports
2% — —
Tech
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
33 active days in 12wk • peak 181 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
GTA 6 launch postponed again? Yes +35 $6 10¢ $3 $-3 06-22 14:43
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +4 $3 78¢ $3 +$0 06-16 15:10
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +8 $4 40¢ $3 $-1 06-29 08:31
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +1 $1 100¢ $1 +$0 06-14 22:21
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +2 $1 76¢ $1 +$0 06-12 17:44
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? Yes +1 $1 100¢ $1 +$0 06-20 15:09
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +1 $1 88¢ $1 +$0 06-11 20:08
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +1 $1 96¢ $1 +$0 06-05 04:16
Will Donald Trump visit Turkey in 2026? Yes +1 $1 100¢ $1 +$0 06-19 08:10
US strike on Colombia by December 31? No +1 $1 80¢ $1 +$0 06-16 17:03
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -8 $-1 12¢ $-1 $-0 06-21 16:04
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? Yes +9 $1 10¢ $1 $-0 07-06 00:42
Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31? Yes +2 $1 50¢ $1 $-0 06-23 06:16
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +3 $1 8¢ $0 $-1 06-09 14:33
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026? No +11 $1 1¢ $0 $-1 06-25 20:18
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? No +2 $1 0¢ $0 $-1 06-19 23:51
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +0 $3 0¢ $0 $-3 06-30 20:21