Realized P&L (30d)
-$150
Unrealized P&L
-$479
Hit rate
72.9%
Resolved (30d)
20
Trades (30d)
671
34,994 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$3.24K
$150.0K lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$1.05K
9 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-26 21:35
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 77 days
Categories
Crypto
48% 39% +$1,069
Other
44% 46% -$951
Politics
3% 50% +$18
Sports
3% 33% +$222
Tech
2% 38% +$4
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
59 active days in 12wk • peak 863 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Base FDV above $2B one day after launch? Yes +1,518 $634 44¢ $660 +$26 09-24 06:13
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No -300 -$278 97¢ $-291 -$13 05-31 16:05
Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +500 $130 8¢ $38 -$92 06-12 02:09
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027? Yes +1,000 $460 3¢ $33 -$427 06-25 20:37
Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch? Yes +134 -$1 9¢ $12 +$14 08-15 21:04
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +250 $19 4¢ $10 -$9 06-01 23:30
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? No +65 $12 2¢ $2 -$10 06-01 12:11
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? Yes +2 -$12 4¢ $0 +$12 05-28 21:48
Base FDV above $4B one day after launch? Yes -0 -$21 36¢ $-0 +$21 06-12 05:31