Realized P&L
-$321
Unrealized P&L
+$7
Hit rate
20.7%
Resolved
58
Trades
158
lifetime
Volume
$2.06K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$13
Open exposure
$36
4 positions
First seen
2026-04-04
last 11-07 21:13
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 16 days
Categories
Politics
35% 43% -$203
Other
34% 64% -$10
Crypto
31% 28% -$108
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
2 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +220 $33 16¢ $34 +$1 11-07 21:13
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes -114 -$7 2¢ $-2 +$5 05-06 15:35
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -3 $0 11¢ $-0 +$0 06-22 15:41
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes -18 -$1 0¢ $-0 +$1 06-22 15:41