Realized P&L
+$857
Unrealized P&L
-$254
Hit rate
75.3%
Resolved
83
Trades
137
lifetime
Volume
$8.23K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$60
Open exposure
$958
21 positions
First seen
2026-03-22
last 10-09 21:18
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 40 days
Categories
Other
49% 32% +$445
Politics
25% 26% +$135
Sports
23% 43% +$216
Tech
3% 100% +$68
Crypto
0% 0% -$7
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
7 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +556 $399 70¢ $389 -$10 10-09 21:18
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes -401 -$201 66¢ $-267 -$66 05-05 13:26
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +246 $171 54¢ $131 -$40 09-22 15:28
Trump out as President before 2027? Yes +871 $64 4¢ $35 -$29 08-12 02:27
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +53 $55 66¢ $35 -$20 09-22 15:08
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? Yes +83 $20 36¢ $30 +$10 09-22 15:14
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? Yes +250 $15 4¢ $9 -$6 05-20 18:05
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? Yes +370 $10 2¢ $8 -$2 05-17 16:54
JD Vance out as VP by December 31? Yes +160 $8 4¢ $7 -$1 09-22 15:23
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes +77 $20 9¢ $7 -$13 05-17 16:46
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes +299 $20 2¢ $6 -$14 05-18 18:09
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? Yes +91 $10 6¢ $6 -$4 05-17 17:01
will russia capture sloviansk by december 31 Yes +111 $10 4¢ $5 -$5 07-15 11:19
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? Yes +167 $4 2¢ $4 +$0 08-10 11:15
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? Yes +62 $10 6¢ $4 -$6 05-20 03:55
Will Israel annex any territory by December 31? Yes +48 $5 8¢ $4 -$2 08-10 11:14
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027? Yes +109 $7 3¢ $3 -$3 05-20 03:53
gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871 Yes +80 $20 4¢ $3 -$17 08-08 10:15
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026? Yes +112 $20 2¢ $3 -$17 05-20 18:03
Florentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026? Yes +43 $6 5¢ $2 -$4 05-17 17:04
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes +56 $5 2¢ $1 -$4 05-17 16:46