Homely-Neglect — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

29.2%

Resolved

Trades

296

lifetime

Volume

$91.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$309

Open exposure

$16

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-15

last 07-15 17:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 33 days

Categories

Sports

65% 36% +$9

Politics

33% 50% $0

Other

2% 89% -$6

Crypto

0% 100% +$0

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-15).

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (18) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?	No	-11	-$10	100¢	$-11	$0	05-20 08:08
Human moon landing in 2026?	No	-5	-$5	99¢	$-5	$0	07-15 17:29
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	+0	$0	83¢	$0	+$0	05-27 03:19
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	+0	$0	72¢	$0	$0	06-19 16:44

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	9	$18.9K	19,427	19,427	+0	No	+$0	06-28 11:26
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	9	$12.8K	7,399	7,399	+0	Yes	+$0	06-22 20:02
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$7.6K	3,999	3,999	+0	No	+$0	06-25 19:00
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	18	$6.1K	3,500	3,500	+0	No	+$0	06-18 16:39
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$5.6K	5,000	5,000	+0	No	+$0	06-22 23:51
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	31	$4.7K	2,879	2,879	+0	open	—	05-27 03:19
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	19	$4.6K	2,620	2,620	+0	open	—	05-27 17:37
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?	5	$3.3K	1,844	1,844	+0	open	—	07-02 05:41
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	12	$3.1K	20,197	20,197	+0	No	$0	06-25 16:07
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	9	$3.1K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	06-22 14:01
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	3	$2.7K	2,340	2,340	+0	open	—	07-01 14:08
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	2	$2.7K	1,777	1,777	+0	open	—	06-20 14:15
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?	21	$2.3K	1,211	1,211	+0	open	—	07-03 11:03
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$2.3K	1,299	1,299	+0	No	+$12	06-18 10:53
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	3	$2.1K	1,050	1,050	+0	open	—	07-04 04:41
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?	6	$1.9K	1,300	1,300	+0	open	—	07-01 14:56
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$1.9K	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$0	06-25 20:15
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	8	$1.1K	610	610	+0	open	—	06-19 16:44
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	1	$1000	1,002	0	+1,002	Yes	+$2	06-17 16:53
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	43	$907	6,600	6,600	+0	open	—	07-02 10:58
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$812	7,000	7,000	+0	No	+$0	06-19 14:51
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	4	$524	270	270	+0	open	—	05-26 09:22
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on June 22?	1	$311	311	0	+311	No	+$0	06-22 09:48
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on June 22?	1	$170	170	0	+170	No	+$0	06-22 09:49
Will Dan Cox win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary election?	2	$82	50	50	+0	Yes	+$0	06-18 10:08
Will Douglas Lumsden win the 2026 Aberdeen South by-election?	2	$80	50	50	+0	Yes	$0	06-18 10:11
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?	2	$80	40	40	+0	No	$0	06-18 10:11
will the announcers say ankle during the mexico vs south korea fifa world cup match 20260616192751362	4	$54	40	40	+0	No	-$3	06-18 08:58
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on June 18?	1	$45	46	0	+46	No	+$1	06-18 08:27
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 18?	1	$40	40	0	+40	No	+$0	06-18 08:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-15 17:29:43	Human moon landing in 2026?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x5097d7…
07-04 04:41:22	Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	213	99¢	$211	0x09b79f…
07-04 04:06:41	Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	837	99¢	$828	0xe27dd3…
07-03 11:03:59	Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	69	97¢	$66	0x0e1409…
07-03 08:02:11	Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	11	97¢	$11	0x6d8fa3…
07-03 07:51:01	Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	149	97¢	$144	0x382598…
07-03 07:36:28	Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	6	97¢	$5	0x1db6c1…
07-03 07:22:41	Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$4	0x0cd1c2…
07-03 07:14:26	Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0x18e43d…
07-03 07:03:41	Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x95148c…
07-03 06:52:16	Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	9	97¢	$8	0x8df2e1…
07-03 06:06:22	Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	7	97¢	$7	0xe1d57e…
07-03 05:31:20	Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	150	97¢	$145	0x03914c…
07-03 03:11:17	Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	12	97¢	$12	0x422ca0…
07-03 02:20:41	Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	51	97¢	$49	0x8cd7eb…
07-03 00:17:47	Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	46	97¢	$44	0x91f775…
07-02 22:36:17	Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	67	97¢	$64	0x4f329c…
07-02 22:19:26	Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	16	97¢	$16	0xd29f36…
07-02 16:38:46	Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	50	97¢	$48	0xed8e3e…
07-02 13:13:44	Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	300	97¢	$290	0x2ebe55…
07-02 10:58:08	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	95	6¢	$6	0x880f48…
07-02 10:57:29	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	251	6¢	$16	0x91a360…
07-02 05:41:49	Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	196	89¢	$175	0x948d37…
07-02 03:37:22	Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	21	97¢	$20	0x62de05…
07-01 22:10:25	Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	36	97¢	$35	0x86f15e…
07-01 20:45:34	Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	196	97¢	$189	0xf28bf7…
07-01 16:06:01	Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	1,072	89¢	$954	0x0fff89…
07-01 15:30:26	Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	64	89¢	$57	0x3bfc83…
07-01 15:10:19	Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	512	89¢	$455	0x4d896d…
07-01 14:56:10	Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	1,182	75¢	$886	0x800bd9…
07-01 14:54:50	Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	4	75¢	$3	0xf607e3…
07-01 14:08:02	Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	110	58¢	$65	0xa5ec6e…
07-01 13:57:43	Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	2,230	58¢	$1,304	0x7f5d58…
07-01 11:33:37	Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	40	75¢	$30	0xd22351…
07-01 10:27:56	Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	1,050	99¢	$1,040	0x2d10fc…
07-01 10:25:26	Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	1,211	97¢	$1,170	0xe05a0b…
07-01 10:24:37	Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	1,844	89¢	$1,641	0x4f266b…
07-01 10:23:50	Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	36	75¢	$27	0x585420…
07-01 10:23:37	Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	38	75¢	$29	0x21fcf4…
07-01 10:23:29	Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	1,300	75¢	$975	0xe8949b…
07-01 10:22:07	Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	2,340	59¢	$1,369	0xf7b9d0…
06-29 16:47:58	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	200	6¢	$13	0xe52c18…
06-29 14:23:08	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	26	6¢	$2	0x24e327…
06-29 06:47:05	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	56	6¢	$4	0xb1b14e…
06-29 03:01:13	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	39	6¢	$3	0x2e0f59…
06-28 23:20:31	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	4,587	6¢	$298	0x46f4fe…
06-28 15:01:43	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	48	6¢	$3	0xcde179…
06-28 11:26:52	Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	5,205	94¢	$4,919	0x1bc5e8…
06-28 10:57:32	Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	5,205	94¢	$4,919	0xa537a0…
06-27 19:02:59	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	3	7¢	$0	0x49d489…
06-27 18:13:34	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	11	7¢	$1	0xe19812…
06-27 15:52:34	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	42	7¢	$3	0x80ca0d…
06-27 15:49:59	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	42	7¢	$3	0xfdd7e3…
06-27 15:00:32	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	404	7¢	$27	0xf2338e…
06-27 13:43:10	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	15	7¢	$1	0xb0811f…
06-27 13:09:49	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	100	7¢	$7	0x98ced5…
06-27 05:37:56	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	12	7¢	$1	0x583a56…
06-27 05:12:17	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0x765c69…
06-27 05:10:32	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	10	7¢	$1	0xdd0c1d…
06-27 04:35:53	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	8	7¢	$1	0x9701cf…
06-27 03:17:38	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	7	7¢	$0	0xa3ab09…
06-27 01:49:32	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	10	7¢	$1	0x88a4c3…
06-27 01:33:22	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	10	7¢	$1	0xe41e44…
06-27 01:29:58	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	10	7¢	$1	0x7f4f6e…
06-26 02:06:34	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	44	7¢	$3	0xb884c6…
06-26 02:06:32	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	16	7¢	$1	0x48fcdb…
06-26 01:49:01	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	11	7¢	$1	0xb57bce…
06-26 00:28:56	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	10	7¢	$1	0xdf113b…
06-26 00:03:52	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	6	7¢	$0	0xd9dc24…
06-25 23:18:26	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0x356c06…
06-25 23:11:43	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	11	7¢	$1	0x33a916…
06-25 22:27:41	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	8	7¢	$1	0x7fdcb8…
06-25 21:32:01	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	11	7¢	$1	0x1d6447…
06-25 20:43:17	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	6	7¢	$0	0x773baf…
06-25 20:27:01	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	13	7¢	$1	0xf207e2…
06-25 20:15:20	Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	886	97¢	$856	0xc93484…
06-25 20:15:16	Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	114	97¢	$110	0xd33b49…
06-25 20:04:01	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	48	7¢	$3	0xec4243…
06-25 19:52:25	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	11	7¢	$1	0x1dd612…
06-25 19:38:50	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	6	7¢	$0	0x2dd139…
06-25 19:00:26	Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	3,506	94¢	$3,310	0x0fa425…
06-25 18:47:37	Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	493	94¢	$465	0x0bf87d…
06-25 18:14:04	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	373	7¢	$25	0xa985f0…
06-25 17:34:49	Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	10,000	6¢	$550	0x1d7829…
06-25 17:29:04	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	6	7¢	$0	0x51a150…
06-25 17:24:28	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	1	7¢	$0	0xd52ccf…
06-25 17:24:01	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	17	7¢	$1	0xe69581…
06-25 16:07:50	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	41	8¢	$3	0x0b53c2…
06-25 16:06:10	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	600	8¢	$49	0x82e5e9…
06-25 16:05:47	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	7	7¢	$0	0xe932b4…
06-25 16:02:38	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	39	8¢	$3	0x12d0e6…
06-25 16:00:32	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	12	8¢	$1	0x925be3…
06-25 15:59:37	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	12	8¢	$1	0x402a06…
06-25 15:58:59	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	357	8¢	$29	0x74a0ee…
06-25 15:58:20	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	1,062	8¢	$86	0xa6d60d…
06-25 15:57:58	Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	1,000	97¢	$966	0xafdef8…
06-25 15:57:23	Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	10,000	6¢	$550	0xb09177…
06-25 15:56:17	Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	3,999	94¢	$3,775	0xc4e553…
06-25 15:55:40	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	2,124	8¢	$172	0x1e0443…
06-22 23:51:02	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	3,000	80¢	$2,409	0xf5da38…