(anonymous) 0xbcc4d5…3afbde
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Realized P&L (24h)
-$56
Unrealized P&L
-$16
Hit rate
39.1%
Resolved (24h)
32
Trades (24h)
123
4,193 lifetime
Volume (24h)
$2.60K
$64.7K lifetime
Avg / trade
$15
Open exposure
$511
30 positions
First seen
2026-09-02
last 10-27 03:46
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 51 days
Categories
Other
70% 30% -$1,064
Politics
20% 33% -$195
Tech
8% 24% -$102
Pop-Culture
1% 20% -$28
Sports
1% 33% -$18
Crypto
0% 0% -$16
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
56 active days in 12wk • peak 173 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US imports Russian diesel by November 30? Yes +75 $23 88¢ $66 +$43 10-22 11:32
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31? No +80 $50 76¢ $61 +$11 10-24 16:30
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027? No +80 $58 61¢ $49 -$9 10-24 12:09
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? Yes +86 $54 53¢ $46 -$9 10-22 01:32
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31? No +50 $36 81¢ $40 +$5 10-22 11:32
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30? No +89 $37 44¢ $40 +$3 10-24 16:29
US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027? No +80 $33 40¢ $32 $0 10-24 19:04
Will Jeremiah Smith win the 2026 Heisman Trophy? Yes +80 $33 38¢ $31 -$2 10-24 18:05
Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI? Yes +80 $27 30¢ $24 -$4 10-27 01:46
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by December 31? Yes +80 $22 26¢ $20 -$2 10-25 19:40
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31? Yes +80 $15 24¢ $20 +$4 10-23 18:55
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 29? Yes +20 $11 86¢ $17 +$7 10-16 16:15
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by December 31? No +22 $14 74¢ $16 +$3 10-13 19:10
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 29? No +98 $37 14¢ $13 -$24 10-23 08:55
US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026? Yes +80 $17 16¢ $12 -$4 10-25 11:42
us iran hormuz agreement by november 30 Yes +30 $12 22¢ $6 -$5 09-30 20:32
Will no listed leader be out before 2027? Yes +10 $5 44¢ $5 $0 10-13 08:30
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in December 2026 (ET)? Yes +50 $2 7¢ $3 +$1 10-26 13:20
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? No +6 $1 47¢ $3 +$2 10-19 20:00
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026? No +2 $3 87¢ $2 -$1 10-13 17:03
Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026? Yes +40 $9 2¢ $1 -$8 10-01 17:54
Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher? No +2 $1 37¢ $1 $0 10-11 08:12
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026? No +26 $1 2¢ $1 -$1 10-13 15:41
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026? Yes +30 $3 2¢ $1 -$2 10-02 03:07
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? Yes +1 $4 66¢ $1 -$4 10-22 01:32
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? Yes +0 $0 66¢ $0 $0 09-13 21:37
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026? Yes +2 $0 13¢ $0 $0 10-13 13:55
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond? No +0 $1 63¢ $0 -$1 10-21 21:41
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +0 -$1 68¢ $0 +$1 10-22 11:32
Will David Eby be the next Premier of British Columbia? Yes +80 $20 0¢ $0 -$20 10-21 01:44