(anonymous) 0xbcc4d5…3afbde Create alert
bot cold 5L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$2.68K
Unrealized P&L
+$226
Hit rate
30.9%
Resolved
948
Trades
5,491
lifetime
Volume
$88.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$16
Open exposure
$1.53K
30 positions
First seen
2026-09-02
last 11-06 16:40
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 61 days
Categories
Other
65% 30% -$2,050
Politics
24% 31% -$417
Tech
9% 30% -$118
Pop-Culture
1% 17% -$40
Sports
1% 29% -$20
Crypto
0% 47% -$40
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
66 active days in 12wk • peak 205 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election by 6%-9%? No +80 $70 100¢ $80 +$10 11-03 04:58
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31? No +80 $50 99¢ $79 +$29 10-24 16:30
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Minnesota Senate election by 0%-5%? No +80 $60 99¢ $79 +$19 10-31 06:03
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2027 meeting? No +160 $86 44¢ $71 -$14 11-05 19:28
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31? Yes +320 $72 22¢ $70 -$2 11-06 03:54
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30? No +89 $37 79¢ $70 +$34 10-24 16:29
Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026? No +117 $67 56¢ $65 -$1 11-04 23:02
Will Amazon’s market capitalization be between $2.50T and $3.00T at the end of 2026? Yes +121 $64 51¢ $62 -$3 11-05 12:59
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026? No +80 $50 76¢ $61 +$10 10-30 21:05
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027? No +80 $58 74¢ $59 +$2 10-24 12:09
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? Yes +86 $54 62¢ $53 -$1 10-22 01:32
Will another result occur for the next governing coalition of Israel? No +120 $86 44¢ $52 -$34 11-06 02:45
Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by November 30? No +80 $42 65¢ $52 +$10 11-02 12:21
Will Caliste have the most kills at Worlds 2026? Yes +80 $41 64¢ $51 +$10 11-02 16:00
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Vermont be between 300,000 and 325,000? Yes — +51 -$1 94¢ $48 +$49 11-06 08:18
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MD-05 House election by 35%-40%? Yes +80 $18 58¢ $47 +$28 11-03 01:47
Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)? No +159 $41 29¢ $46 +$5 11-05 14:11
US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027? No +160 $62 29¢ $46 -$17 10-30 19:45
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31? No +50 $36 84¢ $42 +$7 10-22 11:32
Will Rihanna have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month? No +60 $27 66¢ $40 +$12 11-06 12:24
Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 60% or higher? Yes +81 $52 49¢ $40 -$12 10-31 13:44
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-32 House election by 3%-6%? Yes +80 $10 49¢ $39 +$29 11-02 22:34
Will there be between 25 and 29 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on October 31? No — +80 $21 47¢ $38 +$17 10-27 16:20
Will the Reserve Bank of Australia make no change to the cash rate target at the February meeting? Yes +45 $41 80¢ $36 -$4 11-05 08:37
Will Burkina Faso win AFCON 2027 qualifying Group F? No +80 $39 44¢ $36 -$4 11-05 10:32
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MD-08 House election by 65%-70%? Yes +80 $26 44¢ $35 +$9 11-02 22:59
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-05 House election by 10%-15%? Yes +35 $9 99¢ $35 +$26 11-03 15:10
Will "Avengers: Doomsday" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 360m and 400m? No +50 $34 67¢ $34 +$0 11-05 04:42
Will Labour Party win the popular vote in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election by 0-5%? No +75 $41 42¢ $32 -$9 11-06 14:26
Will Justin Allgaier win the 2026 NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series championship? Yes +59 $12 54¢ $32 +$20 11-02 06:29