(anonymous) 0xbcc4d5…3afbde
bot cold 2L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (30d)
-$1.27K
Unrealized P&L
+$21
Hit rate
31.8%
Resolved (30d)
478
Trades (30d)
2,713
4,841 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$52.7K
$75.5K lifetime
Avg / trade
$16
Open exposure
$751
30 positions
First seen
2026-09-02
last 10-31 21:28
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 55 days
Categories
Other
68% 30% -$1,634
Politics
21% 34% -$146
Tech
8% 27% -$150
Pop-Culture
1% 17% -$40
Sports
1% 33% -$18
Crypto
0% 47% -$40
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
60 active days in 12wk • peak 205 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31? No +80 $50 100¢ $80 +$30 10-24 16:30
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027? No +80 $58 86¢ $69 +$12 10-24 12:09
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30? No +89 $37 64¢ $57 +$21 10-24 16:29
US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027? No +160 $62 36¢ $57 -$6 10-30 19:45
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026? No +80 $50 68¢ $55 +$4 10-30 21:05
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? Yes +86 $54 55¢ $48 -$7 10-22 01:32
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31? No +50 $36 94¢ $47 +$12 10-22 11:32
US imports Russian diesel by November 30? Yes +75 $23 50¢ $38 +$15 10-22 11:32
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31? Yes +160 $32 22¢ $36 +$4 10-30 12:12
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? Yes +160 $50 22¢ $36 -$14 10-31 14:44
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027? Yes +80 $40 41¢ $33 -$7 10-31 12:54
Will Anthropic IPO by November 20, 2026? Yes +55 $39 53¢ $29 -$10 10-30 09:42
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2027? No +65 $27 42¢ $27 +$0 10-28 12:10
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? Yes +80 $34 26¢ $21 -$12 10-31 02:40
Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026? No +37 $20 56¢ $21 +$1 10-28 02:31
Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31? Yes +80 $16 21¢ $17 +$1 10-31 01:15
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Yes +36 $15 46¢ $16 +$1 10-31 11:39
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by December 31? No +22 $14 72¢ $16 +$2 10-13 19:10
Will Jeremiah Smith win the 2026 Heisman Trophy? Yes +30 $14 42¢ $12 -$2 10-29 06:59
us iran hormuz agreement by november 30 Yes +30 $12 26¢ $8 -$4 09-30 20:32
Will no listed leader be out before 2027? Yes +10 $5 66¢ $7 +$2 10-13 08:30
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in December 2026 (ET)? Yes +50 $2 11¢ $6 +$4 10-26 13:20
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30, 2027? No +13 $9 44¢ $6 -$3 10-31 00:39
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500? Yes +18 $1 18¢ $3 +$2 10-31 08:40
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? No +6 $1 45¢ $3 +$2 10-19 20:00
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026? No +2 $3 100¢ $2 -$1 10-13 17:03
Will David Eby be the next Premier of British Columbia? Yes +80 $20 1¢ $1 -$19 10-21 01:44
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? Yes +1 $4 64¢ $1 -$4 10-22 01:32
Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher? No +2 $1 28¢ $0 $0 10-11 08:12
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026? No +26 $1 1¢ $0 -$1 10-13 15:41