Outlying-Personality — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$17.2K

Unrealized P&L

+$1.24K

Hit rate

75.8%

Resolved

151

Trades

1,768

lifetime

Volume

$226.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$128

Open exposure

$12.0K

9 positions

First seen

2026-01-13

last 10-28 17:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 62 days

Categories

Politics

51% 54% -$23,096

Other

36% 68% +$4,681

Tech

11% 67% +$443

Sports

1% 83% +$661

Crypto

1% 100% +$107

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day

Open positions (9) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	+6,000	$5,090	96¢	$5.8K	+$679	06-10 23:07
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	+2,000	$1,640	94¢	$1.9K	+$250	05-23 13:42
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	-1,527	-$1,483	97¢	$-1488	-$4	10-28 17:21
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	-1,000	-$962	98¢	$-979	-$17	07-17 08:54
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	No	+1,000	$750	97¢	$967	+$217	05-10 15:55
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	+800	$509	86¢	$686	+$177	05-04 17:47
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	-196	-$192	98¢	$-192	+$0	10-28 20:03
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	Yes	+200	$94	18¢	$35	-$59	05-01 12:11
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	No	+48	$29	64¢	$31	+$2	05-02 20:52

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	9	$30.4K	16,450	16,450	+0	No	+$732	02-01 07:12
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 985	33	$25.1K	12,724	12,724	+0	Yes	+$370	01-31 04:01
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	264	$13.6K	56,493	0	+56,493	Yes	-$13,597	09-20 20:08
US strike on Mexico by March 31?	18	$12.1K	7,595	5,500	+2,095	No	+$433	02-22 21:55
will l minh hng be the next prime minister of vietnam	52	$7.6K	4,976	4,226	+750	Yes	+$107	02-26 08:20
atp alcaraz djokovi 2026 02 01	11	$7.5K	9,024	0	+9,024	Alcaraz	+$1,492	02-01 11:46
will t lm be the next president of vietnam	19	$5.8K	3,610	2,645	+965	Yes	+$198	03-05 06:19
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	96	$5.4K	8,000	7,000	+1,000	Yes	-$135	05-08 18:02
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	21	$5.1K	6,000	0	+6,000	open	—	06-10 23:07
will the government shutdown last 4 days or more 831	6	$4.9K	5,000	0	+5,000	Yes	+$135	02-02 06:53
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	21	$4.8K	6,992	5,406	+1,586	Yes	-$230	01-31 03:52
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	39	$4.7K	4,960	2,000	+2,960	Yes	-$1,543	02-18 11:54
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?	147	$4.3K	3,000	3,000	+0	No	+$210	02-20 04:29
will the us next strike iran on january 15 2026 et 421	8	$4.2K	2,238	2,213	+25	No	+$238	01-16 05:09
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	20	$3.9K	4,728	0	+4,728	No	+$790	04-13 00:08
will alphabet be the second largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	29	$3.7K	3,996	0	+3,996	Yes	+$315	01-25 09:12
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	3	$3.4K	3,500	0	+3,500	No	+$85	02-26 11:24
another us government shutdown by february 14	26	$3.1K	4,059	1,000	+3,059	No	+$1,388	02-14 11:33
will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	14	$3.1K	2,600	1,000	+1,600	No	+$498	03-24 01:37
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 20 million 836	11	$2.2K	1,883	1,368	+515	No	+$76	02-16 05:05
israel strikes iran by february 28 2026	4	$2.2K	2,500	0	+2,500	Yes	-$2,171	02-18 12:15
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	2	$2.1K	1,217	1,217	+0	No	+$110	01-16 07:20
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	12	$2.1K	3,436	0	+3,436	Yes	-$2,101	02-04 17:34
us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	6	$2.1K	2,500	0	+2,500	No	+$415	02-04 20:24
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	6	$2.0K	3,000	1,000	+2,000	Yes	-$1,355	02-16 16:12
us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	3	$1.8K	1,500	500	+1,000	No	+$144	02-11 08:22
will the government shutdown last 14 days or more 343 693 775 861 153	8	$1.8K	2,000	0	+2,000	No	+$180	01-29 11:00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	5	$1.7K	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$167	05-16 14:07
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	9	$1.7K	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$98	02-06 19:27
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	4	$1.6K	2,000	0	+2,000	open	—	05-23 13:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 20:03:01	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xfe6247…
10-28 19:57:26	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x5425c8…
10-28 19:56:05	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xed959d…
10-28 19:45:26	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xa57dbc…
10-28 17:21:29	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	51	97¢	$50	0x10a7cb…
10-28 15:41:49	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	122	98¢	$119	0xdf31b1…
10-28 15:34:59	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	142	98¢	$140	0xe6dcf7…
10-28 15:07:49	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	23	98¢	$23	0x6072b7…
10-28 14:48:04	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	72	98¢	$71	0xa51586…
10-28 13:54:59	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x774986…
10-28 13:01:29	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x342f87…
09-20 20:14:58	Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	No	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0x289de9…
09-20 20:13:37	Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	No	BUY	516	37¢	$191	0x70617f…
09-20 20:13:31	Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	No	BUY	476	37¢	$176	0xacc8cc…
09-20 20:08:19	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xcffe4a…
09-20 20:08:19	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0x7c45ee…
09-20 20:08:17	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	732	1¢	$10	0x9974e6…
09-20 20:08:10	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	1,753	1¢	$23	0x855827…
09-20 20:06:22	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	5,000	1¢	$60	0x44556e…
09-20 20:05:43	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	4,990	1¢	$65	0x64198d…
09-20 20:05:34	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xb77854…
09-20 20:05:25	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x24b6fb…
09-20 20:05:22	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	4,990	1¢	$70	0xcf1e87…
09-20 20:04:28	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	1,280	97¢	$1,243	0x74a05a…
08-19 14:12:46	Will Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	571	3¢	$18	0xc1772e…
08-10 18:36:36	Will Yabloko gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	2,982	0¢	$15	0x5f5a8c…
08-10 18:13:15	Will Yabloko gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	2,000	0¢	$10	0xd7c74c…
08-10 18:11:16	Will Yabloko gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x5890ef…
08-10 18:11:16	Will Yabloko gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x4b3bc9…
08-01 17:35:32	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	1,400	36¢	$504	0xc32c21…
07-31 22:29:21	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	500	37¢	$185	0x0f43f3…
07-31 10:54:18	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	1,425	39¢	$556	0x6798bb…
07-31 10:45:29	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x680d9b…
07-31 10:19:03	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x6e42ef…
07-31 10:03:51	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	200	39¢	$78	0x52f33a…
07-31 09:26:23	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x2f5ff1…
07-31 09:01:23	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	28	39¢	$11	0x85dff6…
07-31 08:16:20	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	50	39¢	$20	0xe44f4e…
07-31 07:55:42	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xfd9982…
07-31 07:18:41	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x658448…
07-31 06:39:39	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	25	39¢	$10	0x0b914c…
07-31 06:34:30	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	60	39¢	$23	0xb6703c…
07-31 06:31:12	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xac8bd9…
07-31 06:06:44	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	100	39¢	$39	0xce3f54…
07-31 05:48:36	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	30	39¢	$12	0x960c04…
07-31 04:53:08	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	58	39¢	$23	0x17a16b…
07-30 14:31:44	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	5,000	40¢	$2,000	0x431626…
07-29 19:04:50	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	156	41¢	$64	0xa8f208…
07-29 18:30:14	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x31a52b…
07-29 18:29:41	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	169	41¢	$69	0xd52e81…
07-29 18:28:42	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	8	41¢	$3	0xa510b0…
07-29 18:28:35	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x5dd5fa…
07-29 18:28:35	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x1a2239…
07-29 17:46:26	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x7cb9ae…
07-29 17:44:50	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x30834a…
07-29 17:24:39	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xe16f9a…
07-29 17:24:38	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x09dd49…
07-29 17:19:38	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x5249f0…
07-29 17:19:36	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x5326fd…
07-29 17:19:35	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0xaeb793…
07-29 17:18:50	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0x5c9c6e…
07-29 17:18:18	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0xb6d955…
07-29 17:18:18	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xb15cbf…
07-29 17:18:18	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x4f2fc6…
07-29 17:18:15	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	13	41¢	$5	0xb11ec2…
07-29 16:50:15	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	175	41¢	$72	0x7e5ee5…
07-29 16:20:05	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	336	41¢	$138	0x81b31b…
07-29 16:12:33	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	17	41¢	$7	0x17d88f…
07-29 15:33:26	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0x64668a…
07-29 15:33:24	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x926633…
07-29 15:33:24	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x6046e9…
07-29 15:32:50	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x27981a…
07-29 15:32:29	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xea17e5…
07-29 15:32:27	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x6f8fdd…
07-29 15:32:27	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x049ccd…
07-29 15:32:26	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0xc62e58…
07-29 15:18:15	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x72e02b…
07-29 15:15:24	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xee1af7…
07-29 15:15:24	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	16	41¢	$7	0x196385…
07-29 15:09:00	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xb2c978…
07-29 14:58:08	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x34480e…
07-29 14:58:06	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xe1dc79…
07-29 14:48:02	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x96165d…
07-29 14:48:00	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xffc3f7…
07-29 14:48:00	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xc85908…
07-29 14:47:59	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xf074d3…
07-29 14:37:50	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x6114dd…
07-29 14:32:53	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	58	41¢	$24	0xc95ca6…
07-29 14:32:50	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xd5565e…
07-29 14:32:48	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xe9d5df…
07-29 14:32:48	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x543527…
07-29 14:32:47	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x705f1e…
07-29 14:30:17	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0xd72503…
07-29 14:30:17	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xbe6856…
07-29 14:30:15	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xc52914…
07-29 14:27:48	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x34dd0d…
07-29 14:27:47	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x20d487…
07-29 14:23:42	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	6	41¢	$3	0x23b6d8…
07-29 14:17:42	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xb92ee4…
07-29 14:17:41	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x171719…