(anonymous) 0xbdbbdd…57a2cd
bot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$624
Unrealized P&L
+$57
Hit rate
45.8%
Resolved
252
Trades
666
lifetime
Volume
$9.06K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$14
Open exposure
$445
30 positions
First seen
2026-08-11
last 10-27 18:56
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 59 days
Categories
Other
95% 41% -$552
Politics
3% 67% +$2
Tech
2% 0% -$74
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
61 active days in 12wk • peak 51 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will there be no Hormuz agreement? Yes +43 $38 94¢ $40 +$2 10-23 08:23
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? No +40 $35 88¢ $35 +$0 10-23 08:24
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? Yes +30 $23 90¢ $27 +$4 10-24 05:23
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? Yes +47 $22 50¢ $24 +$2 10-18 16:55
military action against saudi oil pipeline east west by october 31 No +25 $15 87¢ $22 +$7 10-15 06:53
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +58 $24 34¢ $20 -$4 10-23 20:49
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? Yes +46 $21 39¢ $18 -$3 10-23 08:23
US imports Russian diesel by November 30? Yes +20 $7 86¢ $18 +$11 10-21 08:48
next fable model 5pt2 released by october 31 2026 No +21 $3 80¢ $17 +$14 10-14 22:22
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? Yes +31 $20 55¢ $17 -$3 10-15 11:16
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? Yes +25 $15 64¢ $16 +$1 10-23 08:23
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? No +20 $15 80¢ $16 +$1 10-26 21:09
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? Yes +15 $13 98¢ $15 +$2 10-25 08:25
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +15 $4 98¢ $15 +$10 10-27 18:56
Ilhan Omar federally charged by December 31? No +20 $13 72¢ $14 +$2 10-23 02:25
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +25 $18 56¢ $14 -$4 10-24 09:20
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? Yes +27 $11 44¢ $12 +$1 10-25 02:52
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? Yes +75 $6 16¢ $12 +$5 10-27 13:54
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +10 $9 96¢ $10 +$0 10-23 13:44
US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31? No +10 $9 96¢ $10 +$0 10-25 21:35
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? Yes +10 $5 86¢ $9 +$4 10-21 13:29
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026? Yes +10 -$1 80¢ $8 +$9 10-22 19:08
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029? No +10 $8 80¢ $8 +$0 10-20 19:44
US imports Russian diesel by October 31? No +8 $8 98¢ $8 +$0 10-23 09:49
perim island no longer under houthi control by december 31 20260916 Yes +45 $19 18¢ $8 -$11 10-14 12:45
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes +13 $7 58¢ $8 +$1 10-15 22:24
Total Internet Blackout in Iran by December 31, 2026? No +10 $7 73¢ $7 +$1 10-23 10:27
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? Yes +10 $6 70¢ $7 +$1 10-16 01:03
Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026? No +10 $6 66¢ $7 +$1 10-23 14:59
Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? No +30 $4 20¢ $6 +$2 10-26 22:29