Realized P&L (30d)
+$10
Unrealized P&L
+$243
Hit rate
95.6%
Resolved (30d)
68
Trades (30d)
4
13,955 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$0
$652.8K lifetime
Avg / trade
$47
Open exposure
$6.33K
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-14
last 10-21 06:52
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 63 days
Categories
Other
86% 89% +$615
Politics
12% 87% +$600
Pop-Culture
1% 82% +$57
Tech
0% 67% -$170
Crypto
0% 84% +$3
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
6 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +878 $668 100¢ $877 +$208 05-28 14:36
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +878 $795 98¢ $861 +$66 05-28 14:36
Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +223 $223 100¢ $223 +$0 05-15 02:16
Will Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +223 $222 100¢ $223 +$0 05-15 02:16
Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +223 $222 100¢ $223 +$0 05-15 02:16
Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +223 $222 100¢ $223 +$1 05-15 02:16
Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +223 $223 100¢ $223 +$0 05-15 02:16
Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +223 $222 100¢ $223 +$1 05-15 02:16
Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +223 $223 100¢ $222 $0 05-15 02:16
Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +223 $222 100¢ $222 +$0 05-15 02:16
Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +223 $221 100¢ $222 +$1 05-15 02:16
Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +223 $222 99¢ $221 -$1 05-15 02:16
Will Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +223 $222 98¢ $218 -$4 05-15 02:16
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +223 $210 97¢ $216 +$6 05-15 02:16
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +223 $139 95¢ $212 +$73 05-15 02:16
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +199 $190 100¢ $199 +$9 05-28 05:58
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +199 $198 100¢ $199 +$1 05-28 05:58
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +199 $198 100¢ $198 +$0 05-28 05:58
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +199 $158 99¢ $198 +$39 05-28 05:58
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +223 $194 67¢ $150 -$45 05-15 02:16
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +223 $134 57¢ $128 -$6 05-15 02:16
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +199 $180 56¢ $112 -$69 05-28 05:58
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.5T and 1.8T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? No +157 $136 67¢ $106 -$30 05-27 17:27
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +199 $70 46¢ $91 +$21 05-28 05:58
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +146 $123 58¢ $85 -$38 05-28 13:12
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? No +157 $74 46¢ $72 -$2 05-27 17:27
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +146 $55 42¢ $62 +$7 05-28 13:12
Will Larry Page be richest person on December 31? No +40 $40 100¢ $40 +$0 05-20 07:42
Will Sergey Brin be richest person on December 31? No +40 $40 100¢ $40 +$0 05-20 07:42
Will Jensen Huang be richest person on December 31? No +40 $36 100¢ $40 +$4 05-20 07:42