Realized P&L
+$1.10K
Unrealized P&L
+$259
Hit rate
96.4%
Resolved
1,676
Trades
13,955
lifetime
Volume
$652.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$47
Open exposure
$6.35K
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-14
last 10-21 06:52
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 64 days
Categories
Other
86% 89% +$615
Politics
12% 87% +$601
Pop-Culture
1% 82% +$57
Tech
0% 67% -$170
Crypto
0% 84% +$3
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
6 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +878 $668 100¢ $877 +$208 05-28 14:36
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +878 $795 98¢ $862 +$67 05-28 14:36
Will Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +223 $222 100¢ $223 +$0 05-15 02:16
Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +223 $223 100¢ $223 +$0 05-15 02:16
Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +223 $222 100¢ $223 +$1 05-15 02:16
Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +223 $223 100¢ $223 +$0 05-15 02:16
Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +223 $222 100¢ $223 +$0 05-15 02:16
Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +223 $222 100¢ $223 +$1 05-15 02:16
Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +223 $221 100¢ $222 +$1 05-15 02:16
Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +223 $223 100¢ $222 $0 05-15 02:16
Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +223 $222 100¢ $222 +$0 05-15 02:16
Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +223 $222 99¢ $222 -$1 05-15 02:16
Will Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +223 $222 99¢ $221 -$1 05-15 02:16
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +223 $210 96¢ $215 +$5 05-15 02:16
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +223 $139 96¢ $213 +$74 05-15 02:16
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +199 $190 100¢ $199 +$9 05-28 05:58
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +199 $198 100¢ $199 +$1 05-28 05:58
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +199 $198 100¢ $198 +$0 05-28 05:58
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +199 $158 99¢ $197 +$39 05-28 05:58
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +223 $194 66¢ $147 -$48 05-15 02:16
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +223 $134 58¢ $130 -$3 05-15 02:16
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.5T and 1.8T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? No +157 $136 78¢ $123 -$13 05-27 17:27
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +199 $180 60¢ $119 -$61 05-28 05:58
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +199 $70 46¢ $93 +$23 05-28 05:58
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +146 $123 58¢ $84 -$39 05-28 13:12
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +146 $55 44¢ $64 +$8 05-28 13:12
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? No +157 $74 38¢ $60 -$15 05-27 17:27
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? No +43 $40 96¢ $41 +$1 05-25 06:59
Will Larry Page be richest person on December 31? No +40 $40 100¢ $40 +$0 05-20 07:42
Will Sergey Brin be richest person on December 31? No +40 $40 100¢ $40 +$0 05-20 07:42