Sweet-Retrospect — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$88

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

247

lifetime

Volume

$13.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$53

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-07

last 05-07 10:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

95% 0% $-88

Other

5% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
russia x ukraine ceasefire by february 28 2026	16	$1.5K	774	774	+0	open	—	02-19 11:48
hezbollah strike on israel by march 31 737 523	17	$762	1,304	1,504	-200	open	—	03-02 07:58
hezbollah strike on israel by january 31 226	15	$748	838	0	+838	open	—	01-20 21:29
russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	6	$690	167	536	-370	open	—	01-20 21:47
houthi strike on israel by march 15 2026	3	$614	318	318	+0	open	—	03-17 01:07
hezbollah strike on israel by february 28	19	$608	659	0	+659	open	—	03-01 01:24
will iran strike israel on march 10	2	$604	305	305	+0	open	—	03-14 11:45
houthi strike on israel by february 28	9	$387	432	0	+432	open	—	02-19 11:51
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	6	$324	164	164	+0	open	—	04-03 08:12
will israel strike gaza on march 9 2026	2	$316	325	0	+325	open	—	03-12 23:46
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	3	$303	318	318	+0	open	—	04-08 00:19
will israel strike lebanon on march 1 2026	2	$253	255	0	+255	open	—	03-03 11:47
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	6	$247	265	0	+265	open	—	03-28 04:01
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	3	$246	254	0	+254	open	—	03-17 07:17
will israel strike gaza on march 6 2026	2	$220	222	0	+222	open	—	03-09 18:18
hezbollah strike on israel by march 7	7	$211	407	0	+407	open	—	03-01 13:39
will israel strike gaza on march 4 2026	2	$191	193	0	+193	open	—	03-05 13:41
will yoweri kaguta museveni win the 2026 ugandan presidential election	4	$183	107	79	+28	open	—	01-16 19:52
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 15	3	$164	83	83	+0	open	—	03-17 01:10
will us or israel strike iran on march 5 2026	1	$155	155	0	+155	open	—	03-05 00:55
will israel strike lebanon on march 8 2026	1	$150	152	0	+152	open	—	03-07 19:19
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	2	$150	153	0	+153	open	—	04-03 08:12
houthi strike on israel by march 31 2026	3	$144	138	14	+124	open	—	04-03 00:23
will us or israel strike iran on march 8 2026	1	$143	144	0	+144	open	—	03-07 19:20
will israel strike gaza on february 28 2026	3	$140	141	0	+141	open	—	03-01 21:31
will benot payan win the marseille mayor election	4	$138	74	74	+0	open	—	03-17 17:26
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	1	$137	138	0	+138	open	—	04-12 20:31
will the slovenian democratic party sds win the most seats in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary election 344	5	$136	87	87	+0	open	—	03-18 12:02
will israel strike gaza on march 5 2026	3	$127	128	0	+128	open	—	03-08 15:11
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	1	$126	127	0	+127	open	—	04-06 11:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-07 10:18:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0xd5275f…
05-01 10:22:22	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x535042…
04-30 01:59:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xc0fecc…
04-12 20:31:23	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	138	99¢	$137	0xa894f1…
04-08 00:19:23	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	SELL	21	1¢	$0	0xc3358e…
04-08 00:19:19	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	SELL	318	1¢	$3	0x3561d8…
04-06 11:29:17	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	127	100¢	$126	0x61303c…
04-05 04:41:49	Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 2, 2026?	No	BUY	75	99¢	$74	0x56663d…
04-04 14:23:05	Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 1, 2026?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x5cbdd2…
04-04 11:37:11	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	BUY	116	75¢	$87	0xfe85e4…
04-04 11:34:23	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	53	98¢	$52	0xd88ce9…
04-04 11:33:43	will israel take military action in gaza on march 28 2026	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x66968c…
04-04 10:53:03	Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 1, 2026?	No	BUY	34	99¢	$34	0x96e044…
04-04 10:52:33	Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 2, 2026?	No	BUY	52	97¢	$50	0x997d6e…
04-03 08:14:11	Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 1, 2026?	No	BUY	25	96¢	$24	0x8778e7…
04-03 08:13:33	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0x834a64…
04-03 08:13:09	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0xc16493…
04-03 08:12:55	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xc696e8…
04-03 08:12:25	iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	No	SELL	164	100¢	$164	0xeac9a4…
04-03 00:23:59	houthi strike on israel by march 31 2026	No	BUY	124	99¢	$123	0x41607a…
04-02 13:03:25	Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	123	100¢	$123	0x97c8a6…
04-02 13:00:49	will israel take military action in gaza on march 28 2026	No	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0xc58a90…
04-02 12:55:05	Will Anže Logar be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x1d985f…
04-02 01:35:19	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	52	97¢	$50	0xc162a7…
04-02 01:34:07	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0x292d3b…
04-01 15:00:37	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	33	92¢	$30	0x5f5085…
04-01 11:59:17	houthi strike on israel by april 15 2026	No	BUY	21	71¢	$15	0x4af29b…
04-01 11:42:03	will romuald wadagni be the next president of benin	Yes	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x56b2e7…
04-01 10:59:43	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	213	94¢	$200	0x1188dd…
03-30 20:05:31	Will Anže Logar be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	No	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0x86d2ba…
03-30 15:24:25	Will Anže Logar be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	No	SELL	30	98¢	$29	0x51ba25…
03-28 22:26:32	iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	No	BUY	47	98¢	$46	0x34c00f…
03-28 21:48:04	iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	No	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x5faa71…
03-28 07:54:49	will catherine trautmann be the next mayor of strasbourg	Yes	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x9e2db3…
03-28 04:32:19	houthi strike on israel by march 31 2026	No	SELL	14	66¢	$9	0xfd1cd7…
03-28 04:01:19	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	84	97¢	$81	0x01c947…
03-28 03:56:59	Will Anže Logar be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xe72335…
03-27 20:33:43	iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	No	BUY	41	98¢	$40	0x21d7e3…
03-27 20:33:29	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	34	97¢	$33	0x5537ad…
03-26 20:53:19	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x51745b…
03-25 18:53:27	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	36	85¢	$31	0x5659b1…
03-24 12:07:03	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	35	88¢	$31	0x8b4dd1…
03-23 07:09:19	military action against iran ends by march 21 2026	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x1a49b4…
03-21 19:48:15	military action against iran ends by march 20 2026	No	BUY	31	100¢	$30	0x52fe52…
03-20 00:20:47	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x611914…
03-19 18:19:55	iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	No	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x23ebc3…
03-19 18:19:37	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	42	95¢	$40	0xf90a3b…
03-19 16:02:25	will hamas agree to disarm by march 31 966	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x361fb8…
03-19 06:51:21	will hamas agree to disarm by march 31 966	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xb8f37f…
03-19 05:22:25	will hamas agree to disarm by march 31 966	No	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0xe64925…
03-19 03:45:33	houthi strike on israel by march 31 2026	No	BUY	14	85¢	$12	0x6b672f…
03-19 03:44:09	iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	No	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0x142bb7…
03-19 03:42:51	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	34	94¢	$32	0xd8d5cd…
03-18 21:16:43	will balendra balen shah be the next prime minister of nepal	Yes	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x1aec87…
03-18 12:02:23	will the slovenian democratic party sds win the most seats in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary election 344	Yes	SELL	87	72¢	$62	0x165e41…
03-17 21:55:21	will the slovenian democratic party sds win the most seats in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary election 344	Yes	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0xcf9546…
03-17 21:22:15	will the slovenian democratic party sds win the most seats in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary election 344	Yes	BUY	17	84¢	$14	0xca85bb…
03-17 19:14:35	will balendra balen shah be the next prime minister of nepal	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x47b22f…
03-17 19:13:47	will balendra balen shah be the next prime minister of nepal	Yes	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x2beeec…
03-17 19:13:03	will the slovenian democratic party sds win the most seats in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary election 344	Yes	BUY	24	85¢	$20	0x3e402f…
03-17 17:26:59	will benot payan win the marseille mayor election	Yes	SELL	74	97¢	$72	0xd99e56…
03-17 07:17:01	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	No	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0xb85aa2…
03-17 07:16:07	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	53	95¢	$50	0x0bc3a2…
03-17 07:13:01	will benot payan win the marseille mayor election	Yes	BUY	35	86¢	$30	0x359898…
03-17 07:08:15	will benot payan win the marseille mayor election	Yes	BUY	8	86¢	$7	0x8619ab…
03-17 07:05:45	will balendra balen shah be the next prime minister of nepal	Yes	BUY	11	99¢	$10	0xb75e60…
03-17 01:31:43	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x470e5f…
03-17 01:27:37	will social democrats win the most seats in the danish folketing in the 2026 danish general election	Yes	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0x87da55…
03-17 01:27:01	will edouard philippe be the next mayor of le havre	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xea3524…
03-17 01:26:45	will franck keller be the next mayor of le havre	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x602a69…
03-17 01:24:29	will the south australian labor party win the most seats in the next south australian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	30	98¢	$30	0x992f7d…
03-17 01:22:31	will the slovenian democratic party sds win the most seats in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary election 344	Yes	BUY	34	87¢	$30	0x8242b4…
03-17 01:21:13	Will Anže Logar be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	No	BUY	25	96¢	$24	0xac1898…
03-17 01:10:23	iran x israelus conflict ends by march 15	No	SELL	83	100¢	$83	0x639071…
03-17 01:07:13	houthi strike on israel by march 15 2026	No	SELL	318	100¢	$317	0xdbef6a…
03-16 10:45:01	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	Yes	SELL	38	77¢	$29	0xb9d454…
03-16 10:28:05	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	Yes	BUY	38	80¢	$30	0x98e5ce…
03-15 02:18:41	iran x israelus conflict ends by march 15	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x4b8c4d…
03-14 11:46:15	houthi strike on israel by march 15 2026	No	BUY	293	94¢	$275	0xe320c2…
03-14 11:45:25	will iran strike israel on march 10	Yes	SELL	305	100¢	$304	0x7d426d…
03-14 02:27:13	houthi strike on israel by march 15 2026	No	BUY	25	90¢	$22	0xe7a4cd…
03-13 23:45:09	will iran strike israel on march 10	Yes	BUY	305	98¢	$300	0x1e6996…
03-12 23:46:43	will israel strike gaza on march 9 2026	No	BUY	292	98¢	$286	0x8f4df6…
03-10 14:14:31	will benot payan win the marseille mayor election	Yes	BUY	32	95¢	$30	0x99a66f…
03-10 14:14:09	will partido popular pp win the 2026 castilla y len regional election 258	Yes	BUY	53	95¢	$50	0x885eb3…
03-10 14:08:35	will ph win the most seats in the 2026 colombian chamber of representatives election	Yes	BUY	61	99¢	$60	0xd18905…
03-10 14:08:11	will balendra balen shah be the next prime minister of nepal	Yes	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x064a9a…
03-10 14:05:27	will israel strike gaza on march 9 2026	No	BUY	33	92¢	$30	0xa9c3da…
03-09 18:26:11	iran x israelus conflict ends by march 15	No	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0xc40a5c…
03-09 18:18:09	will israel strike gaza on march 6 2026	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x3fccc9…
03-08 15:11:49	will israel strike gaza on march 5 2026	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xad439e…
03-08 07:46:07	will cd win the second most seats in the 2026 colombian senate election	Yes	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0xf35174…
03-08 07:45:47	will pcc win the most seats in the 2026 colombian senate election	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x950003…
03-08 07:45:41	will plc win the most seats in the 2026 colombian senate election	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x014921…
03-08 07:44:51	will cd win the second most seats in the 2026 colombian senate election	Yes	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0xe74eb8…
03-08 07:44:41	will ph win the most seats in the 2026 colombian senate election	Yes	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0xa170b4…
03-08 07:43:13	will nepali congress win the second most seats in the nepal house of representatives election	Yes	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xc76f61…
03-08 07:43:05	will nepal workers peasants party win the most seats in the nepal house of representatives election 685 483	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xdb7904…
03-08 07:42:45	will balendra balen shah be the next prime minister of nepal	Yes	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xf148da…
03-08 07:40:51	will israel strike gaza on march 6 2026	No	BUY	121	99¢	$120	0xc80acd…