Realized P&L
-$19
Unrealized P&L
-$3
Hit rate
91.5%
Resolved
120
Trades
151
lifetime
Volume
$14.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$93
Open exposure
$478
9 positions
First seen
2026-01-04
last 10-24 09:40
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 70 days
Categories
Other
53% 79% +$129
Tech
18% 95% +$263
Crypto
14% 91% -$54
Sports
8% 62% -$27
Politics
7% 44% -$331
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
8 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? No +181 $180 100¢ $181 +$0 10-18 14:22
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? Yes +117 $93 90¢ $106 +$13 10-24 09:40
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +64 $43 97¢ $62 +$19 10-05 19:43
Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in October? No +60 $57 100¢ $60 +$3 10-05 19:42
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? Yes +62 $43 86¢ $54 +$11 10-05 19:43
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +58 $15 16¢ $9 -$6 09-05 11:57
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Yes +100 $15 3¢ $3 -$12 09-05 11:57
gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871 Yes +68 $15 4¢ $2 -$13 08-07 08:51
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +48 $20 2¢ $1 -$19 10-05 19:41