Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$571

Unrealized P&L

-$87

Hit rate

24.1%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

279

1,945 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$949

$5.16K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$74

15 positions

First seen

2026-06-10

last 11-02 02:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 74 days

Categories

Other

64% 69% -$687

Politics

26% 51% -$279

Sports

10% 48% -$414

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

47 active days in 12wk • peak 49 trades/day

Open positions (15) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+321	$89	12¢	$40	-$49	07-26 08:33
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	+53	$15	18¢	$10	-$5	09-26 09:45
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	+17	$7	23¢	$4	-$3	07-18 09:24
Kash Patel out by December 31?	Yes	+21	$12	18¢	$4	-$8	07-11 18:49
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	No	+16	$4	20¢	$3	$0	10-31 09:20
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	+34	$11	8¢	$3	-$8	07-16 02:56
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	Yes	+70	$5	4¢	$3	-$2	09-15 07:52
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+13	$4	20¢	$3	-$2	07-14 11:00
Will the Republican Party win the FL-25 House seat?	No	+2	$2	82¢	$2	$0	10-20 21:57
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	+39	$7	3¢	$1	-$6	10-22 11:12
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?	Yes	+24	$3	4¢	$1	-$2	07-29 18:09
will a chinese company have one of the top 3 ai models by december 31	Yes	+3	$1	20¢	$1	-$1	07-22 04:51
Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?	Yes	+19	$3	3¢	$1	-$2	07-28 00:09
Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?	Yes	+0	$0	18¢	$0	+$0	10-26 06:53
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	No	+0	$0	72¢	$0	$0	09-16 04:21

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	14	$254	453	62	+390	Yes	-$146	08-25 23:45
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	13	$200	511	0	+511	No	-$200	07-19 20:47
iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	14	$199	218	28	+190	Yes	+$17	07-13 22:50
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	2	$171	249	0	+249	Yes	-$171	07-20 13:00
Will Jared Golden be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?	145	$170	86	85	+1	No	+$0	07-18 22:21
Will Cori Bush be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?	2	$154	468	0	+468	No	-$154	08-04 22:34
Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?	5	$154	466	54	+411	Yes	-$153	08-05 00:42
uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	10	$130	173	0	+173	No	-$130	07-31 04:14
will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	4	$98	103	0	+103	Yes	+$5	07-28 00:55
will grahm platner drop out before the midterms 20260608200746523 993 791 462 396 195 772	15	$89	96	0	+96	Yes	+$7	07-07 23:00
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	2	$89	321	0	+321	open	—	07-26 08:33
Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 86m and 92m?	4	$70	142	0	+142	Yes	+$51	07-26 03:10
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	51	$69	87	87	+0	Yes	-$69	07-07 19:46
will donald trump publicly insult vladimir putin by july 31 2026 20260626210612715	3	$68	92	0	+92	No	-$68	07-30 21:48
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	69	$65	95	70	+25	No	+$4	09-16 17:28
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	23	$60	42	42	+0	open	—	07-20 15:16
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?	25	$57	79	0	+79	No	+$22	06-14 00:03
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	16	$51	201	43	+157	No	-$28	07-29 17:57
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5	16	$42	60	0	+60	Under	-$11	06-14 00:03
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	25	$40	183	144	+39	open	—	10-22 11:12
ufc max1 con 2026 07 11 holloway win by ko tko	6	$40	88	0	+88	Yes	-$40	07-12 03:37
Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	8	$40	27	23	+4	Yes	+$3	09-07 21:57
Will Alana Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	5	$39	44	2	+41	Yes	+$6	07-16 03:34
iran military action against a gulf state on july 15 20260708212322940	7	$39	74	0	+74	No	-$5	07-18 00:13
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	2	$39	226	0	+226	No	-$39	07-16 22:05
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	5	$39	171	10	+161	Yes	-$33	07-29 17:55
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?	12	$38	39	0	+39	No	+$1	06-13 02:12
Exact Score: France 2 - 2 Senegal?	8	$35	37	0	+37	No	+$2	06-16 17:47
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?	19	$34	44	0	+44	Yes	-$8	06-12 03:53
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5	17	$33	52	0	+52	Under	-$13	06-13 20:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-02 02:05:10	Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	29¢	$1	0x1e80f5…
11-02 02:04:37	Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	28¢	$0	0xb448c8…
11-02 02:04:01	Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	28¢	$0	0x5e1ac6…
11-02 01:50:21	Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	28¢	$0	0x584fb6…
11-02 01:45:28	Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	28¢	$0	0x5aa91b…
11-02 01:44:49	Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	28¢	$0	0x566454…
11-02 01:36:42	Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	28¢	$0	0xbf18f6…
11-01 21:11:16	Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	28¢	$0	0xc1f416…
11-01 01:21:33	U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31?	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xc40480…
10-31 09:20:30	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	16	23¢	$4	0xde314e…
10-31 09:10:25	Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0xa5d079…
10-28 18:54:52	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	2	48¢	$1	0x64386a…
10-28 18:54:52	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	0	48¢	$0	0x27d769…
10-27 20:00:30	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	2	74¢	$1	0xbb1ca7…
10-27 15:33:06	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	2	83¢	$1	0x269dc9…
10-26 09:55:32	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	2	73¢	$1	0x2d3be6…
10-26 06:53:32	Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	14	16¢	$2	0x51c582…
10-24 02:42:41	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	49	3¢	$1	0x180bca…
10-24 00:00:03	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	3¢	$2	0x2d3f8f…
10-23 22:33:54	Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	14	16¢	$2	0x803c83…
10-23 16:28:24	Will "You Can See Everything" 2nd Weekend Box Office be at least $21M?	No	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x3b9f3c…
10-22 11:12:18	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	16	4¢	$1	0x84c5a3…
10-22 11:12:18	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	54	4¢	$2	0x4743e0…
10-20 21:57:35	Will the Republican Party win the FL-25 House seat?	No	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0xb5567d…
10-12 20:08:47	Will Trump say "Ammunition" this week?	Yes	SELL	1	34¢	$0	0xe87f59…
10-12 12:31:59	Will Trump say "Ammunition" this week?	Yes	BUY	14	42¢	$6	0x8202ca…
10-12 00:32:20	Kimberly Guilfoyle out as U.S. Ambassador to Greece by December 31?	Yes	BUY	2	74¢	$2	0xd509e4…
10-04 01:07:05	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kaitlan Collins by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	96¢	$4	0x93824f…
10-01 03:54:27	Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?	Yes	SELL	12	1¢	$0	0xd985f6…
09-30 16:38:56	Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 16m and 19m?	Yes	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x47585d…
09-30 10:12:33	Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?	Yes	BUY	37	4¢	$2	0x5e822e…
09-28 11:21:18	trump renames ai by december 31	Yes	BUY	2	75¢	$2	0x2516c9…
09-26 09:45:50	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	30	29¢	$9	0xa36ce6…
09-25 00:37:32	Will Netanyahu use a visual aid during his UNGA speech?	Yes	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x0d92b7…
09-24 22:43:42	Will Donald Trump visit Alabama in 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	93¢	$2	0x10ba7c…
09-17 05:59:25	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	13¢	$4	0x1883d4…
09-17 02:38:45	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0xfe2f3e…
09-16 17:28:58	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	0	13¢	$0	0xaa31a7…
09-16 17:28:58	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	13¢	$1	0x97a2b4…
09-16 17:28:55	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	12	13¢	$2	0x2bb1cb…
09-16 17:28:49	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	0	13¢	$0	0x45a980…
09-16 17:28:48	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	0	13¢	$0	0xda7d07…
09-16 17:28:36	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	0	13¢	$0	0x05f73c…
09-16 17:28:12	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	7	13¢	$1	0x051d34…
09-16 17:27:43	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	0	13¢	$0	0x8a8b2b…
09-16 17:27:42	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	0	13¢	$0	0x3aeaf1…
09-16 17:27:28	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	0	13¢	$0	0xc8adde…
09-16 17:27:25	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	0	13¢	$0	0x738d19…
09-16 17:27:22	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	0	13¢	$0	0x5eedfb…
09-16 17:27:19	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	0	13¢	$0	0x113e4b…
09-16 17:27:15	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	2	13¢	$0	0x3b85c9…
09-16 17:27:10	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	0	13¢	$0	0x0778fb…
09-16 17:27:07	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	0	13¢	$0	0xb925a5…
09-16 17:27:04	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	0	13¢	$0	0x0f535c…
09-16 17:27:01	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	0	13¢	$0	0x6f3220…
09-16 17:26:52	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	0	13¢	$0	0x7d903f…
09-16 17:26:33	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	0	13¢	$0	0xad08f0…
09-16 17:26:30	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	4	13¢	$0	0xbbbfba…
09-16 17:26:10	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	0	13¢	$0	0x0fdb49…
09-16 17:25:57	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	0	13¢	$0	0xe708e3…
09-16 17:25:57	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	0	13¢	$0	0x618021…
09-16 17:25:19	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	0	13¢	$0	0x3579f7…
09-16 17:25:13	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	2	13¢	$0	0x6a90ea…
09-16 08:21:04	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	224	1¢	$2	0xaf7971…
09-16 04:21:36	Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	No	SELL	2	68¢	$1	0xea5b53…
09-15 18:59:42	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	5¢	$2	0xd4d037…
09-15 18:58:31	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	39	5¢	$2	0xff5f54…
09-15 07:52:09	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	70	7¢	$5	0x40fc46…
09-14 06:19:00	Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x6b5a3e…
09-14 06:18:34	Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	SELL	3	91¢	$3	0xa2687e…
09-14 06:17:51	Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	SELL	2	90¢	$1	0x01bd93…
09-14 06:12:42	Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	SELL	0	91¢	$0	0x317076…
09-14 06:07:01	Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	SELL	0	91¢	$0	0x2e556f…
09-14 05:59:06	Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	SELL	1	91¢	$0	0xa586d3…
09-14 05:47:37	Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	SELL	3	90¢	$3	0x93e2dd…
09-14 05:02:15	Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	SELL	0	90¢	$0	0x5871bd…
09-14 03:56:40	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	34¢	$0	0x5674b6…
09-14 03:55:13	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	34¢	$0	0x14c1e8…
09-14 03:55:07	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	34¢	$0	0xdf93a3…
09-14 03:54:09	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	34¢	$0	0xb2c015…
09-13 23:09:22	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	No	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0x6d746d…
09-13 19:54:43	Will the Moderate Party (M) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	No	SELL	0	2¢	$0	0x4804ba…
09-13 19:51:01	Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	BUY	10	75¢	$7	0x543ea6…
09-13 19:41:03	Will the Moderate Party (M) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	No	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0xccad75…
09-13 13:29:28	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	31¢	$1	0xfbfbee…
09-13 13:29:27	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	31¢	$1	0xb2769f…
09-13 12:48:48	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	23¢	$1	0x17218a…
09-13 12:45:19	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	23¢	$0	0x20b35b…
09-13 12:45:13	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	23¢	$0	0xef2911…
09-13 12:45:01	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	23¢	$0	0x8069cc…
09-13 12:45:00	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	23¢	$0	0x7fd70a…
09-12 14:48:03	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	500	1¢	$3	0x59fecd…
09-12 11:24:36	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	18	20¢	$4	0xd8c49b…
09-12 10:11:48	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0x29c73c…
09-12 10:10:21	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x45b5b3…
09-12 02:26:21	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	14	20¢	$3	0x85d6f9…
09-11 23:58:43	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	4	81¢	$3	0xff1cf4…
09-11 23:58:43	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	4	81¢	$3	0x8ea289…
09-11 23:58:43	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	4	81¢	$3	0x626524…
09-11 23:58:43	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	4	81¢	$3	0x268a24…