Realized P&L
+$13
Unrealized P&L
+$5
Hit rate
60.8%
Resolved
885
Trades
2,351
lifetime
Volume
$6.35K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$8
13 positions
First seen
2026-06-18
last 10-28 00:56
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 70 days
Categories
Other
49% 50% -$11
Crypto
38% 63% +$9
Politics
6% 48% -$8
Sports
3% 67% +$20
Tech
3% 43% +$3
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
53 active days in 12wk • peak 114 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027? Yes +5 $2 53¢ $3 +$1 10-23 16:08
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +3 -$2 79¢ $2 +$4 09-20 15:41
Papertrade FDV above $25M one day after launch? Yes +2 $1 54¢ $1 +$0 10-20 12:18
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes +2 $1 38¢ $1 $0 09-05 10:31
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027? Yes +4 $1 13¢ $1 $0 10-23 09:10
No one announced as next James Bond? Yes +1 $0 24¢ $0 +$0 09-12 23:37
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +2 $0 15¢ $0 +$0 10-27 10:53
Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series? Yes +3 $0 5¢ $0 $0 10-25 03:50
Will Majid Takht-Ravanchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? Yes +0 $1 26¢ $0 -$1 10-25 03:03
Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026? Yes +3 $0 4¢ $0 $0 10-10 21:30
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? Yes +3 $0 4¢ $0 $0 10-19 19:59
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026? Yes +1 $0 3¢ $0 +$0 10-23 14:45
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? Yes +0 $0 6¢ $0 +$0 10-24 16:41