Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$9

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

140

lifetime

Volume

$3.20K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$23

Open exposure

$157

7 positions

First seen

2026-03-15

last 10-25 14:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 13 days

Categories

Other

58% 100% +$4

Politics

24% 100% +$4

Sports

8% 100% +$1

Crypto

7% 100% +$0

Tech

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

30 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (7) Resolved markets (13) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?	Yes	+57	$55	96¢	$55	+$0	10-25 14:36
Will there be 20 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	No	+54	$53	94¢	$51	-$2	10-24 02:38
Tom Lee charged by December 31?	No	+52	$51	97¢	$51	$0	09-25 03:13
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	No	+0	$0	98¢	$0	+$0	07-24 23:52
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	+0	$0	97¢	$0	+$0	09-11 23:08
Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	+0	-$1	99¢	$0	+$1	08-15 02:53
China coup attempt before 2027?	No	+0	$0	99¢	$0	+$0	07-02 02:36

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	4	$245	124	124	+0	No	+$1	08-24 14:58
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	19	$136	72	71	+0	open	—	07-24 23:52
Will DeepSeek have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?	2	$132	67	67	+0	No	+$0	05-30 14:55
Over $8M committed to the Printr public sale?	4	$120	61	61	+0	No	+$0	05-21 12:43
Will Russia enter Havrylivka by September 30, 2026?	2	$119	61	61	+0	No	+$2	09-30 21:16
Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by June 30?	5	$118	61	61	+0	No	+$0	06-03 07:48
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%?	8	$117	62	62	+0	open	—	10-09 16:13
Will Norway win the 2026 IIHF World Championship?	2	$116	59	59	+0	No	+$0	05-30 13:51
Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?	2	$103	53	53	+0	Yes	+$0	09-19 16:02
Will Czechia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$101	51	51	+0	No	+$0	05-08 09:01
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of June?	3	$101	51	51	+0	No	+$0	05-18 05:14
Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?	4	$101	52	52	+0	open	—	08-15 20:23
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	2	$100	52	52	+0	open	—	09-06 08:57
Will Steve Daines be the next Senate Majority Leader?	5	$100	51	51	+0	open	—	07-18 23:44
OPEC dissolves in 2026?	2	$100	52	52	+0	open	—	09-10 10:46
Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?	5	$100	51	51	+0	open	—	08-15 02:53
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	2	$99	52	52	+0	open	—	09-04 16:50
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	9	$99	52	52	+0	open	—	09-11 23:08
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	11	$93	48	48	+0	No	+$0	06-15 07:36
Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?	9	$93	47	47	+0	No	+$0	05-05 23:01
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	2	$92	47	47	+0	No	+$1	06-15 13:56
China coup attempt before 2027?	4	$91	47	47	+0	open	—	07-02 02:36
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	4	$91	47	47	+0	open	—	06-24 19:06
Anthropic acquired before 2027?	5	$71	53	21	+32	open	—	10-15 02:41
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	1	$63	66	0	+66	No	+$3	06-22 14:06
Will the Republican Party win the LA-06 House seat?	3	$62	33	33	+0	open	—	09-15 12:45
Will the Democratic Party win the SC-07 House seat?	1	$57	60	0	+60	open	—	10-24 02:41
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?	1	$55	57	0	+57	open	—	10-25 14:36
Will there be 20 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	1	$53	54	0	+54	open	—	10-24 02:38
Tom Lee charged by December 31?	1	$51	52	0	+52	open	—	09-25 03:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 14:36:53	Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?	Yes	BUY	57	96¢	$55	0xb14d38…
10-24 02:41:26	Will the Democratic Party win the SC-07 House seat?	No	BUY	60	95¢	$57	0x77ebc3…
10-24 02:38:36	Will there be 20 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	No	BUY	54	97¢	$53	0xc09649…
10-19 07:56:39	Will the Democratic Party win the MD-03 House seat?	Yes	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x120fd8…
10-19 07:56:03	Will the Democratic Party win the MD-03 House seat?	Yes	SELL	9	96¢	$9	0x792edf…
10-15 02:41:07	Anthropic acquired before 2027?	No	SELL	11	97¢	$11	0x4c1afe…
10-14 00:20:28	Anthropic acquired before 2027?	No	BUY	32	97¢	$31	0x32bf83…
10-11 13:52:30	Anthropic acquired before 2027?	No	SELL	10	97¢	$9	0xe1e6ec…
10-09 16:13:21	Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%?	No	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x575ae3…
10-09 16:12:06	Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%?	No	SELL	7	94¢	$7	0x1ad3e6…
10-09 16:12:00	Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%?	No	SELL	50	94¢	$47	0x84ba7b…
09-30 21:16:45	Will Russia enter Havrylivka by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	61	100¢	$60	0x4b07c8…
09-28 02:21:44	Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%?	No	BUY	8	94¢	$8	0x6a041f…
09-27 18:36:41	Anthropic acquired before 2027?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xc2f06c…
09-26 01:29:06	Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x492d56…
09-25 03:13:09	Tom Lee charged by December 31?	No	BUY	52	98¢	$51	0x8bca38…
09-24 16:22:05	Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%?	No	BUY	16	94¢	$15	0xa1abbc…
09-24 11:45:54	Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%?	No	BUY	17	94¢	$16	0x23da12…
09-23 22:57:38	Will Russia enter Havrylivka by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	61	97¢	$59	0x514ad0…
09-23 20:41:14	Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%?	No	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0x0acd06…
09-20 08:34:15	Anthropic acquired before 2027?	No	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x7ca8b9…
09-19 16:02:02	Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?	Yes	SELL	53	98¢	$52	0x748add…
09-15 20:13:42	Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?	Yes	BUY	53	97¢	$51	0x97b805…
09-15 12:45:06	Will the Republican Party win the LA-06 House seat?	Yes	SELL	13	94¢	$12	0x0a6294…
09-14 12:27:15	Will the Republican Party win the LA-06 House seat?	Yes	SELL	20	94¢	$19	0x4c6749…
09-11 23:08:34	US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	6	95¢	$5	0x5712ff…
09-11 12:36:10	US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x609783…
09-11 09:40:58	US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	4	95¢	$3	0xba27ca…
09-10 10:46:39	OPEC dissolves in 2026?	No	SELL	52	97¢	$50	0x4d383b…
09-10 07:02:52	US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	8	95¢	$8	0xc8bcdb…
09-09 12:37:18	US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	95¢	$9	0xe2d4c6…
09-09 11:28:15	US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	6	95¢	$5	0xc80c9b…
09-09 10:31:19	Will the Republican Party win the LA-06 House seat?	Yes	BUY	33	93¢	$31	0x9dde3f…
09-06 08:57:15	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	52	96¢	$50	0x7e1e39…
09-06 07:26:33	US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	4	95¢	$4	0xea6091…
09-04 17:45:16	US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	95¢	$10	0x51c488…
09-04 16:50:43	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	52	96¢	$50	0x5e2727…
08-27 22:27:12	OPEC dissolves in 2026?	No	BUY	52	95¢	$49	0xc34635…
08-27 11:24:52	US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	52	95¢	$49	0xcbd453…
08-25 00:21:24	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0xa2dd75…
08-24 16:05:39	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0xb06955…
08-24 14:58:46	Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	50	99¢	$50	0x74fcd7…
08-21 19:15:18	Will the Democratic Party win the MD-03 House seat?	Yes	BUY	14	95¢	$13	0xc74923…
08-16 07:24:34	Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0xbf38dd…
08-15 20:23:18	Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	24	97¢	$23	0x0af969…
08-15 06:23:46	Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	74	99¢	$73	0xbf5e43…
08-15 02:53:24	Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x79ff89…
08-10 07:07:12	Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	23	98¢	$22	0xa9e60f…
07-31 13:28:00	Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x875322…
07-26 23:14:52	Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	12	98¢	$12	0xfed45b…
07-26 05:21:09	Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	26	98¢	$25	0x1273bf…
07-25 17:51:18	Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	11	98¢	$10	0x6d39b9…
07-24 23:52:36	Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	No	SELL	4	95¢	$4	0x63f18e…
07-24 23:51:12	Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xeb77dc…
07-24 23:27:28	Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xeb4431…
07-24 23:15:22	Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xe5ab04…
07-24 23:08:27	Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x696e82…
07-24 22:20:01	Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x4e7f17…
07-24 21:53:57	Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xcf9dcc…
07-24 20:19:16	Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xf70af9…
07-24 20:10:34	Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x16613c…
07-24 20:07:46	Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x1216ba…
07-24 19:35:28	Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x1584b5…
07-24 18:57:36	Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x57db8b…
07-24 18:50:54	Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x3630eb…
07-24 18:06:03	Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$4	0x7352bf…
07-24 14:25:12	Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	74	98¢	$73	0x064d86…
07-18 23:44:22	Will Steve Daines be the next Senate Majority Leader?	No	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0xaa8cf5…
07-18 23:38:15	Will Steve Daines be the next Senate Majority Leader?	No	SELL	30	98¢	$29	0xa4d256…
07-18 23:38:15	Will Steve Daines be the next Senate Majority Leader?	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x46c81a…
07-14 04:43:44	Will Steve Daines be the next Senate Majority Leader?	No	SELL	15	98¢	$15	0x6b8d08…
07-08 15:52:10	Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0x8a4d16…
07-03 14:49:08	Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	51	97¢	$50	0xb169fa…
07-02 02:36:59	China coup attempt before 2027?	No	SELL	9	97¢	$9	0x467d3d…
06-24 19:06:43	Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	No	SELL	47	97¢	$45	0xa6e66e…
06-22 15:21:53	Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	No	BUY	38	95¢	$36	0x2adcc5…
06-22 15:09:13	Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x44801d…
06-22 15:06:43	Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	No	BUY	18	95¢	$17	0xc7be5d…
06-22 14:43:04	Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xed3852…
06-22 14:36:34	Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x633d17…
06-22 14:06:44	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	66	96¢	$63	0xc30581…
06-15 16:33:04	China coup attempt before 2027?	No	SELL	8	97¢	$8	0xd717a9…
06-15 13:56:06	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	SELL	47	99¢	$47	0x6d114d…
06-15 07:36:39	Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0xe67a34…
06-15 07:36:18	Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x62e45f…
06-15 07:36:00	Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x2523d1…
06-15 07:35:43	Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x331e58…
06-15 07:35:25	Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0xaa2c29…
06-15 07:35:04	Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0xdbc0d6…
06-15 07:34:40	Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x25dd33…
06-15 07:34:13	Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0xd428ba…
06-15 07:34:09	China coup attempt before 2027?	No	SELL	30	97¢	$29	0xf73037…
06-08 12:15:43	China coup attempt before 2027?	No	BUY	47	97¢	$46	0x736746…
06-08 11:44:03	Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	No	BUY	4	97¢	$4	0x4912b4…
06-08 11:02:34	Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xeb2678…
06-08 11:01:51	Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	No	BUY	42	96¢	$40	0xb6e159…
06-08 07:56:31	Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x60be13…
06-08 07:01:43	Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	41	97¢	$39	0x37353d…
06-08 06:56:25	Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0xd79c4d…
06-08 06:34:58	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	BUY	47	97¢	$46	0x455d84…