Live-Cleric — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

-$47

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved (30d)

Trades (30d)

6,814 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$49.7K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-08

last 09-30 21:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 92 days

Categories

Sports

39% 70% +$43

Other

33% 39% +$36

Crypto

21% 51% -$282

Politics

5% 38% +$10

Tech

1% 29% -$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

31 active days in 12wk • peak 43 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (23) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	No		+5	$3	74¢	$4	+$1	09-04 18:41

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	49	$1.0K	1,032	1,029	+3	No	-$37	09-07 21:36
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?	60	$991	972	972	+0	No	+$17	08-24 22:59
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026?	49	$630	797	794	+3	No	+$6	08-30 00:20
No one announced as next James Bond?	33	$592	671	671	+0	open	—	09-08 21:53
Will FC Rapid 1923 win on 2026-07-20?	11	$587	350	350	+0	Yes	+$113	07-20 21:32
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?	8	$500	380	380	+0	open	—	09-30 21:41
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	12	$387	417	417	+0	open	—	09-05 07:49
Will no listed leader be out before 2027?	7	$369	300	300	+0	open	—	07-10 08:45
nba phi cle 2026 03 09	8	$350	240	160	+80	Cavaliers	+$18	03-09 23:40
nba was orl 2026 03 12	24	$346	235	190	+45	Magic	+$6	03-13 01:36
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?	9	$332	363	363	+0	open	—	08-31 19:58
nba mil atl 2026 03 14	21	$323	215	170	+45	Hawks	+$5	03-14 20:50
bitcoin up or down march 18 2026 10pm et	28	$295	165	155	+10	Down	+$6	03-19 03:05
nba mil mia 2026 03 12	19	$292	213	190	+23	Heat	+$7	03-13 01:03
nba gsw was 2026 03 16	26	$288	243	150	+93	Warriors	+$8	03-17 01:05
nba phx sas 2026 03 19	7	$281	170	160	+10	Spurs	+$14	03-20 02:40
nba sac lac 2026 03 14	21	$277	230	200	+30	Kings	-$52	03-15 05:00
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	5	$274	200	200	+0	open	—	09-14 03:52
Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	12	$268	375	375	+0	No	-$7	09-30 21:41
nba det was 2026 03 17	8	$254	200	80	+120	Pistons	+$13	03-18 00:41
nba was nop 2026 03 08	18	$245	170	135	+35	Pelicans	+$6	03-09 01:08
nba nyk bkn 2026 03 20	17	$240	150	150	+0	Knicks	+$6	03-21 03:45
nba okc was 2026 03 21	9	$239	125	125	+0	Thunder	+$11	03-22 01:15
nba gsw atl 2026 03 21	20	$235	150	150	+0	Hawks	+$7	03-22 04:15
nba ind nyk 2026 03 17	8	$232	185	90	+95	Knicks	+$11	03-18 00:32
nba gsw okc 2026 03 07	13	$227	140	125	+15	Thunder	+$5	03-08 03:33
bitcoin up or down march 19 2026 8am et	15	$227	122	122	+0	Down	+$2	03-19 13:05
atp walton tien 2026 03 06	13	$225	150	130	+20	Learner Tien	+$7	03-06 20:43
nba cle orl 2026 03 11	37	$224	223	110	+113	Magic	+$7	03-12 02:01
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	10	$220	205	200	+5	open	—	09-05 17:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-30 21:41:59	Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	SELL	11	25¢	$3	0x8191f3…
09-30 21:41:56	Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be at least 3.0%?	Yes	SELL	15	70¢	$11	0x652f01…
09-30 21:41:53	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?	No	SELL	140	49¢	$69	0xda45df…
09-28 19:57:45	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?	No	BUY	140	61¢	$85	0x23aff8…
09-28 07:30:56	Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	SELL	109	32¢	$34	0xf4dea3…
09-28 07:07:06	Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	SELL	72	32¢	$23	0xb42954…
09-28 06:51:53	Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	BUY	41	33¢	$13	0x1fc783…
09-28 06:25:53	Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	BUY	140	35¢	$49	0x7683c1…
09-27 00:41:33	Will world GDP growth be ≤2.9% in 2026?	No	SELL	140	64¢	$89	0x24f265…
09-26 23:28:15	Will world GDP growth be ≤2.9% in 2026?	No	BUY	89	74¢	$66	0xe357db…
09-26 23:28:14	Will world GDP growth be ≤2.9% in 2026?	No	BUY	51	74¢	$38	0x87a17b…
09-26 17:27:15	Will Inde Navarrette be the #1 searched actor on Google this year?	No	SELL	0	44¢	$0	0x4ff383…
09-26 17:27:03	Will Inde Navarrette be the #1 searched actor on Google this year?	No	SELL	30	44¢	$13	0x688996…
09-26 07:19:15	Will Inde Navarrette be the #1 searched actor on Google this year?	No	SELL	5	52¢	$3	0xff47eb…
09-25 20:30:03	Will Inde Navarrette be the #1 searched actor on Google this year?	No	SELL	20	52¢	$10	0x87b2b7…
09-25 20:29:36	Will Inde Navarrette be the #1 searched actor on Google this year?	No	SELL	65	52¢	$34	0x2ccd9c…
09-25 20:02:09	Will Inde Navarrette be the #1 searched actor on Google this year?	No	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0x6c7444…
09-25 20:01:56	Will Inde Navarrette be the #1 searched actor on Google this year?	No	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xce3aa5…
09-25 20:01:47	Will Inde Navarrette be the #1 searched actor on Google this year?	No	BUY	26	52¢	$13	0xf2ba69…
09-25 20:01:33	Will Inde Navarrette be the #1 searched actor on Google this year?	No	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x47378f…
09-25 20:01:32	Will Inde Navarrette be the #1 searched actor on Google this year?	No	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0xc1b5f8…
09-25 20:01:32	Will Inde Navarrette be the #1 searched actor on Google this year?	No	BUY	40	54¢	$22	0xb249ec…
09-25 18:07:24	Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	SELL	69	33¢	$23	0x6f3b14…
09-25 15:09:32	Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	BUY	80	34¢	$28	0xfe878d…
09-24 22:19:41	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?	No	SELL	58	70¢	$40	0xb87d0a…
09-24 22:13:26	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?	No	SELL	4	70¢	$3	0x2c3596…
09-24 21:10:27	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?	No	SELL	100	70¢	$70	0xafaf17…
09-24 09:06:11	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?	No	BUY	100	68¢	$68	0xdca13a…
09-24 08:50:20	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?	No	SELL	78	71¢	$56	0x420ae9…
09-24 07:06:11	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?	No	BUY	140	77¢	$108	0x0ce4ee…
09-23 13:07:58	Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	SELL	39	42¢	$16	0x215046…
09-23 13:07:07	Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	SELL	5	42¢	$2	0x9b7a52…
09-23 12:40:50	Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	SELL	40	42¢	$17	0xfd42be…
09-23 12:39:22	Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	SELL	30	42¢	$13	0xbdd350…
09-23 12:10:56	Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	BUY	114	42¢	$48	0x128819…
09-21 23:34:18	Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 3.5% and 3.9%?	No	SELL	30	57¢	$17	0x126905…
09-21 23:31:57	Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be at least 3.0%?	Yes	BUY	15	63¢	$10	0x1bc9c0…
09-21 23:03:16	Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 3.5% and 3.9%?	No	SELL	20	57¢	$11	0x87324f…
09-17 05:20:31	Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 3.5% and 3.9%?	No	BUY	50	72¢	$36	0xc60b31…
09-17 03:32:30	Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	98	21¢	$21	0xd66ed6…
09-17 00:50:37	Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	21¢	$1	0x640313…
09-16 18:50:40	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	Yes	SELL	37	19¢	$7	0x84516b…
09-16 18:12:54	Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	35	21¢	$7	0x730bde…
09-16 16:12:30	Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	21¢	$21	0x25178e…
09-16 16:09:08	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	50	58¢	$29	0xeac17f…
09-16 15:39:06	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	Yes	SELL	43	19¢	$8	0x552034…
09-16 15:00:14	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	Yes	SELL	20	19¢	$4	0x6b5d8b…
09-16 11:22:36	Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	42	23¢	$10	0xa2e303…
09-16 11:03:27	Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	24¢	$5	0xf26287…
09-16 10:51:40	Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	22¢	$22	0x898cf8…
09-16 10:43:52	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	50	62¢	$31	0x5fa818…
09-16 10:00:33	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	Yes	BUY	69	18¢	$12	0x32853e…
09-16 10:00:30	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	Yes	BUY	31	18¢	$6	0x8dbc0b…
09-16 00:14:15	Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?	Yes	SELL	100	8¢	$8	0x054c53…
09-15 20:51:45	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?	No	SELL	24	64¢	$16	0x8fa2bf…
09-15 14:34:12	Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?	Yes	BUY	100	18¢	$18	0x29d79d…
09-15 06:19:40	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	50	31¢	$16	0x199826…
09-15 04:39:31	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	50	37¢	$18	0xa9bf73…
09-14 19:26:46	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?	No	SELL	1	64¢	$1	0x954028…
09-14 03:52:01	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	54	67¢	$36	0xbbfa50…
09-14 03:31:37	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	46	70¢	$32	0x6d9693…
09-14 03:26:37	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	100	68¢	$68	0x759726…
09-14 03:21:22	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	100	68¢	$68	0xaa4d2f…
09-14 03:17:58	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	100	70¢	$70	0x8a713d…
09-13 10:44:46	Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	16	34¢	$6	0x392ef0…
09-13 10:08:09	Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	16	35¢	$6	0x04ef40…
09-12 22:15:16	AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?	Yes	SELL	124	12¢	$15	0x6b1b29…
09-11 08:21:07	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?	No	SELL	33	64¢	$21	0xf98e9f…
09-11 08:21:06	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?	No	SELL	41	64¢	$26	0xa0a097…
09-10 18:11:34	AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?	Yes	SELL	16	12¢	$2	0xd2a33a…
09-10 06:43:28	AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?	Yes	BUY	140	23¢	$32	0x0a7bd5…
09-10 02:58:31	Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31?	Yes	SELL	66	14¢	$9	0xe4ced6…
09-10 02:17:36	Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31?	Yes	SELL	34	14¢	$5	0x32fb1e…
09-10 00:35:15	Will Discord’s market cap be between $8B and $11B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	45	6¢	$3	0x5a3511…
09-09 18:38:34	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?	No	BUY	100	67¢	$67	0x148029…
09-09 17:28:07	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	16	29¢	$5	0x749d32…
09-09 17:27:55	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	100	26¢	$26	0xfc8205…
09-09 16:49:33	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	100	33¢	$33	0xc20ebe…
09-09 16:48:10	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	16	34¢	$5	0xfb5c52…
09-09 06:53:51	Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PSD?	Yes	SELL	1	13¢	$0	0xd83193…
09-09 06:53:27	Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PSD?	Yes	SELL	5	13¢	$1	0x802a9b…
09-09 06:14:39	Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31?	Yes	BUY	100	39¢	$39	0xcbb6e9…
09-09 00:01:31	Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PSD?	Yes	SELL	44	15¢	$7	0x06f1b8…
09-08 21:53:54	No one announced as next James Bond?	Yes	SELL	178	20¢	$35	0x9f8a01…
09-08 21:53:54	No one announced as next James Bond?	Yes	SELL	90	20¢	$18	0x7648c4…
09-08 12:06:06	Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PSD?	Yes	BUY	17	21¢	$4	0xe160c9…
09-08 12:06:06	Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PSD?	Yes	BUY	33	21¢	$7	0x2d7d61…
09-08 07:34:55	No one announced as next James Bond?	Yes	BUY	140	21¢	$29	0x095916…
09-08 04:59:58	No one announced as next James Bond?	Yes	BUY	125	22¢	$28	0x111c3e…
09-08 03:24:13	No one announced as next James Bond?	Yes	SELL	11	23¢	$2	0x715584…
09-08 03:19:43	No one announced as next James Bond?	Yes	BUY	11	23¢	$2	0x3b3544…
09-07 21:36:19	Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	SELL	50	36¢	$18	0xfee0cb…
09-07 14:32:55	Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	BUY	50	53¢	$26	0x72b1d4…
09-07 13:11:01	Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	No	SELL	50	46¢	$23	0xa2880e…
09-07 13:00:51	Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	No	SELL	6	47¢	$3	0x54bc8f…
09-07 12:58:06	Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	No	SELL	50	46¢	$23	0xb14570…
09-07 10:30:40	Will Discord’s market cap be between $8B and $11B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	14¢	$1	0x0b4cc9…
09-07 09:54:30	Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	No	SELL	28	49¢	$14	0xe65b74…
09-07 09:52:06	Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	No	SELL	0	49¢	$0	0x36513b…
09-07 06:33:39	Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	No	BUY	50	53¢	$26	0xa89f25…