Muddy-Oyster — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5

Unrealized P&L

-$4

Hit rate

68.4%

Resolved

Trades

6,462

lifetime

Volume

$41.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-21

last 06-11 08:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 58% $-5

Other

0% — —

Politics

0% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 2237 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
2026 FIFA World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?	No		+18	$5	4¢	$1	$-4	06-11 08:20

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
xrp updown 5m 1774344300	28	$490	498	0	+498	open	—	03-24 09:29
eth updown 5m 1774342500	25	$458	483	0	+483	open	—	03-24 08:59
xrp updown 5m 1774342200	25	$451	459	0	+459	open	—	03-24 08:55
xrp updown 15m 1774341000	23	$443	451	0	+451	open	—	03-24 08:44
eth updown 5m 1774344600	21	$416	420	0	+420	open	—	03-24 09:34
eth updown 5m 1774340400	21	$412	420	0	+420	open	—	03-24 08:24
sol updown 5m 1774339200	20	$396	400	0	+400	open	—	03-24 08:05
btc updown 5m 1774339500	20	$396	400	0	+400	open	—	03-24 08:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	108	$394	2,715	290	+2,425	open	—	04-27 19:15
sol updown 5m 1774338300	20	$389	397	0	+397	open	—	03-24 07:50
sol updown 5m 1774340700	19	$368	373	0	+373	open	—	03-24 08:29
xrp updown 5m 1774335600	17	$337	340	0	+340	open	—	03-24 07:04
btc updown 5m 1774336200	17	$335	340	0	+340	open	—	03-24 07:14
btc updown 5m 1774309500	16	$315	321	0	+321	open	—	03-23 23:49
xrp updown 5m 1774339800	16	$312	329	0	+329	open	—	03-24 08:14
eth updown 5m 1774334700	17	$311	326	0	+326	open	—	03-24 06:49
sol updown 5m 1774308000	20	$301	304	0	+304	open	—	03-23 23:24
btc updown 5m 1774346100	16	$300	361	0	+361	open	—	03-24 10:00
xrp updown 5m 1774305300	15	$294	301	0	+301	open	—	03-23 22:39
btc updown 5m 1774304100	15	$278	284	0	+284	open	—	03-23 22:19
xrp updown 5m 1774304400	14	$277	280	0	+280	open	—	03-23 22:24
sol updown 5m 1774342800	14	$277	280	0	+280	open	—	03-24 09:04
sol updown 15m 1774337400	14	$262	265	0	+265	open	—	03-24 07:44
btc updown 5m 1774299600	13	$257	260	0	+260	open	—	03-23 21:04
xrp updown 5m 1774353900	13	$257	260	0	+260	open	—	03-24 12:09
eth updown 5m 1774298400	13	$257	260	0	+260	open	—	03-23 20:44
sol updown 5m 1774299000	13	$257	260	0	+260	open	—	03-23 20:54
btc updown 5m 1774354500	13	$257	260	0	+260	open	—	03-24 12:19
btc updown 5m 1774299900	13	$255	260	0	+260	open	—	03-23 21:09
btc updown 5m 1774302600	13	$253	260	0	+260	open	—	03-23 21:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-11 08:20:33	2026 FIFA World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?	No	BUY	18	27¢	$5	0xd44e58…
05-26 16:38:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x91460e…
05-07 18:24:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	SELL	6	86¢	$5	0x5f52e7…
05-07 18:24:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xf665fc…
05-04 20:57:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x0945db…
05-04 20:57:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x9a7bdb…
05-04 20:53:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	SELL	3	94¢	$3	0x3056b5…
05-04 20:53:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0xc897f1…
05-04 20:52:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0xe57ba3…
05-04 20:51:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x355043…
05-04 20:48:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0x89aaf5…
05-04 20:47:08	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x9b1c38…
05-04 20:47:08	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	54¢	$2	0x35e02b…
05-04 20:47:08	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x2fcfdd…
05-04 20:46:52	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0xd97853…
05-04 20:41:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	56¢	$2	0x95c7e2…
05-04 20:41:28	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	54¢	$2	0x99c4ae…
05-04 20:41:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	SELL	3	97¢	$3	0x865be4…
05-04 20:41:04	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	51¢	$2	0x02e651…
05-04 20:40:58	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	SELL	4	97¢	$4	0xb9304b…
05-04 20:39:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x218abe…
05-04 20:39:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x85b6fd…
05-04 20:39:12	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x29902a…
05-04 20:37:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x7c9c86…
05-04 20:36:50	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	55¢	$2	0x7c3bab…
05-04 20:36:26	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	54¢	$2	0x86f313…
05-04 20:36:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	51¢	$2	0xab46e4…
05-04 20:35:02	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xd2baf6…
05-04 20:32:28	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	53¢	$2	0xa4cad8…
05-04 20:32:08	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	57¢	$2	0xfab07b…
05-04 20:32:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x77943a…
05-04 20:32:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	51¢	$2	0x92ce25…
05-04 20:31:08	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x6fbb2f…
05-04 20:31:08	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x36241c…
05-04 20:27:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	52¢	$2	0x24e2ab…
05-04 20:27:04	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	43¢	$2	0x2ba098…
05-04 20:22:42	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	SELL	3	93¢	$3	0x96cee1…
05-04 20:21:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	53¢	$2	0xf97ce6…
05-04 20:21:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	52¢	$2	0xbb93e9…
05-04 20:21:38	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	54¢	$2	0x808ca7…
05-04 20:18:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x1c2334…
05-04 20:18:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	56¢	$2	0xd54806…
05-04 20:18:18	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	54¢	$2	0x0be7c6…
05-04 20:18:06	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	56¢	$2	0xa41a51…
05-04 20:17:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	57¢	$2	0xacb3a8…
05-04 20:17:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	52¢	$2	0x8096ca…
05-04 20:16:06	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	56¢	$2	0x35405e…
05-04 20:13:32	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0x98b3ad…
05-04 20:12:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x4aeb42…
05-04 20:11:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	55¢	$2	0xd555ec…
05-04 20:11:04	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x442a50…
05-04 20:08:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0x0134c8…
05-04 20:07:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0xf82bd6…
05-04 20:07:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x6216fc…
05-04 20:06:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	54¢	$2	0x5ba58e…
05-04 20:06:30	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	53¢	$2	0x4c04d3…
05-04 20:06:08	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	52¢	$2	0x654fa1…
05-04 20:04:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x0dd0ac…
05-04 20:04:38	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	SELL	2	91¢	$2	0x63eb9e…
05-04 20:04:32	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	SELL	2	89¢	$2	0x4a9630…
05-04 20:04:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	SELL	2	74¢	$1	0x008750…
05-04 20:04:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	SELL	2	70¢	$1	0xa0f2f6…
05-04 20:04:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x4729e5…
05-04 20:01:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x5f7904…
05-04 20:01:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	74¢	$1	0x5955af…
05-04 20:01:04	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	74¢	$1	0xeed314…
05-04 20:01:04	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	75¢	$2	0xabce22…
05-04 20:01:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0x9e8631…
05-04 20:01:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0x78a966…
05-04 19:59:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x06bdde…
05-04 19:56:10	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xa7205b…
05-04 19:56:04	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	54¢	$2	0xfb524b…
05-04 19:56:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0xc91177…
05-04 19:56:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0x603734…
05-04 19:52:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x327f17…
05-04 19:51:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	78¢	$2	0xfc4739…
05-04 19:51:04	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	78¢	$2	0x2cfc04…
05-04 19:46:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0xf3d1e1…
05-04 19:46:04	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0xc8c540…
05-04 19:46:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	53¢	$2	0xaa6dca…
05-04 19:46:04	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x3ca177…
05-04 19:46:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	56¢	$2	0x22df41…
05-04 19:46:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x1cb66d…
05-04 19:46:04	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	53¢	$2	0x0bf7ac…
05-04 19:46:04	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x09ebaa…
05-04 19:44:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xf4ba36…
05-04 19:44:12	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x3e308b…
05-04 19:41:18	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	52¢	$2	0x4b69dc…
05-04 19:41:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x5d1af0…
05-04 19:41:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	56¢	$2	0x75dab6…
05-04 19:41:04	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xd489ce…
05-04 19:36:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0x0cb532…
05-04 19:36:06	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x6cb700…
05-04 19:36:04	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0xd88464…
05-04 19:36:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x12134c…
05-04 19:32:28	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0xb5de10…
05-04 19:32:28	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0xaa79e3…
05-04 19:31:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	57¢	$2	0x99f2d8…
05-04 19:31:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x331025…
05-04 19:31:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	55¢	$2	0x4e87a0…