Realized P&L
+$2
Unrealized P&L
-$5
Hit rate
62.5%
Resolved
2
Trades
129
lifetime
Volume
$370
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$39
10 positions
First seen
2026-01-14
last 06-11 23:32
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
36%
Other
33% 100% +$5
Sports
31% 0% $-3
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
9 active days in 12wk • peak 28 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +15 $5 42¢ $6 +$1 06-04 05:46
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +9 $6 67¢ $6 $-0 06-05 15:37
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +8 $6 58¢ $5 $-1 06-11 14:15
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +5 $4 82¢ $4 +$0 06-11 23:32
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? No +17 $6 23¢ $4 $-2 06-05 05:17
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +20 $5 20¢ $4 $-1 06-07 06:45
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? Yes +17 $2 20¢ $3 +$1 06-11 18:38
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? No +12 $6 26¢ $3 $-3 06-11 18:54
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? No +5 $3 55¢ $3 +$0 06-11 18:20
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? No +1 $1 86¢ $1 $-0 06-05 17:24