Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$966

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

97.3%

Resolved

Trades

141

lifetime

Volume

$81.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$581

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-09

last 08-22 05:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 16 days

Categories

Politics

50% 83% +$581

Other

48% 90% +$410

Tech

1% 100% +$51

Crypto

0% 0% $-36

Sports

0% 0% $-39

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (20) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	29	$20.0K	11,000	11,000	+0	Yes	+$18	02-08 14:20
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	1	$15.9K	16,000	0	+16,000	Yes	+$80	03-18 01:30
Will Sanae Takaichi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?	8	$12.9K	13,000	0	+13,000	Yes	+$120	02-08 17:02
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	14	$7.4K	7,650	0	+7,650	Yes	+$207	05-11 02:47
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	44	$5.9K	6,000	0	+6,000	No	+$60	03-16 02:03
will unitree robotics have robot dancers at the 2026 spring festival gala	1	$5.0K	5,000	0	+5,000	Yes	+$5	02-16 15:57
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	1	$5.0K	5,000	0	+5,000	No	+$35	02-20 15:26
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	12	$1.9K	2,000	0	+2,000	No	+$68	03-25 02:17
will crude oil cl hit high 180 by end of march 692	2	$1.9K	1,000	1,000	+0	No	$-14	03-14 07:12
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	1	$986	999	0	+999	Yes	+$13	04-26 14:50
fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	5	$954	1,000	0	+1,000	No	+$46	01-14 03:53
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by March 31, 2026?	1	$943	1,000	0	+1,000	No	+$57	01-14 04:17
Fed rate hike in 2026?	2	$780	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	07-29 16:46
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T	1	$651	700	0	+700	No	+$49	06-12 08:15
Will SpaceX IPO by August 31, 2026?	1	$338	340	0	+340	Yes	+$2	06-07 15:05
will bitcoin reach 80k in august 2026	5	$308	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	08-22 05:34
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	2	$269	4	800	-796	No	+$262	03-17 02:28
fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 team to advance	1	$240	300	0	+300	England	+$60	07-01 17:40
will trump visit china by march 31	6	$190	200	200	+0	No	$-33	03-16 01:22
will israel strike lebanon on january 9 2026	2	$138	100	100	+0	Yes	+$8	01-09 08:22
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	1	$39	100	0	+100	No	$-39	02-21 03:48
will bitcoin dip to 50k in february 2026 273 489 988	1	$36	200	0	+200	No	$-36	02-06 04:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-22 05:34:33	will bitcoin reach 80k in august 2026	No	BUY	500	39¢	$194	0xba50ce…
08-22 04:23:24	will bitcoin reach 80k in august 2026	No	BUY	1	23¢	$0	0x3b4c82…
08-22 04:23:04	will bitcoin reach 80k in august 2026	No	BUY	6	23¢	$1	0x60f70e…
08-22 04:22:51	will bitcoin reach 80k in august 2026	No	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0x556cd6…
08-22 04:09:07	will bitcoin reach 80k in august 2026	No	BUY	483	23¢	$111	0x385d0f…
07-29 16:46:20	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	78¢	$23	0x57803d…
07-29 16:42:48	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	970	78¢	$757	0x2e2037…
07-01 17:40:40	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 team to advance	England	BUY	300	80¢	$240	0x259880…
06-12 08:15:37	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T	No	BUY	700	93¢	$651	0xf7de36…
06-07 15:05:00	Will SpaceX IPO by August 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	340	100¢	$338	0xc4b48c…
05-11 02:47:35	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	BUY	6,650	99¢	$6,603	0xc93456…
04-26 14:50:46	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	999	99¢	$986	0x8f9c4c…
03-26 04:50:05	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0xe7a8ca…
03-26 04:50:03	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	BUY	625	84¢	$525	0x9061b2…
03-26 04:46:35	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	BUY	30	84¢	$25	0x06e73c…
03-26 04:42:29	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xcd8b13…
03-26 04:39:21	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	BUY	31	84¢	$26	0xd43d62…
03-26 04:38:45	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	BUY	24	84¢	$20	0xf730d1…
03-26 04:21:49	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	BUY	62	84¢	$52	0x8ab5f6…
03-26 04:19:27	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	BUY	2	84¢	$1	0xfa621d…
03-26 04:01:25	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	BUY	16	84¢	$13	0xfe4df4…
03-26 04:00:09	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	BUY	2	84¢	$1	0xaff4ce…
03-26 03:59:19	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	BUY	62	84¢	$52	0xd311bd…
03-26 03:55:13	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	BUY	62	84¢	$52	0x6dbd29…
03-26 03:40:13	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	BUY	68	84¢	$57	0xaf4938…
03-25 02:17:23	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	61	97¢	$59	0xfe6503…
03-25 02:17:17	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	38	97¢	$37	0x8ac309…
03-25 02:17:17	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	159	97¢	$154	0x70fb4c…
03-25 02:17:17	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	160	97¢	$155	0x5ec2a0…
03-25 02:13:01	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	42	97¢	$41	0x015e32…
03-25 02:12:59	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	32	97¢	$31	0xe23d0c…
03-25 02:12:59	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	43	97¢	$42	0x99fb15…
03-25 02:12:59	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	37	97¢	$36	0x492bfc…
03-25 02:12:59	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	28	97¢	$27	0x2888a2…
03-25 02:10:33	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0xadb437…
03-25 02:10:21	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	300	97¢	$290	0x485b6a…
03-25 02:09:29	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1,000	97¢	$966	0x97e017…
03-18 01:30:55	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	16,000	100¢	$15,920	0x3e40e2…
03-17 02:28:07	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	Yes	SELL	800	33¢	$265	0x724b3c…
03-16 02:03:21	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	BUY	48	98¢	$47	0xe89d59…
03-16 02:01:51	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	BUY	66	98¢	$65	0xd1bbb2…
03-16 02:01:31	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	BUY	64	98¢	$63	0xb10eb9…
03-16 02:01:07	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	BUY	34	98¢	$34	0xe9c23c…
03-16 02:00:47	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	BUY	41	98¢	$40	0x978040…
03-16 02:00:27	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0x4a7579…
03-16 01:55:17	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0xed9e83…
03-16 01:55:17	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	BUY	80	98¢	$79	0x62312d…
03-16 01:53:51	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	BUY	28	98¢	$28	0x4a193f…
03-16 01:46:15	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	BUY	17	98¢	$16	0x69620f…
03-16 01:44:35	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	BUY	129	98¢	$127	0xe0e586…
03-16 01:43:01	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	BUY	68	98¢	$67	0x6d2994…
03-16 01:29:55	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	BUY	0	98¢	$0	0xb38eea…
03-16 01:29:53	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	BUY	366	98¢	$360	0x97eab0…
03-16 01:22:31	will trump visit china by march 31	Yes	SELL	200	39¢	$78	0xbc5119…
03-15 12:16:47	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	BUY	268	99¢	$265	0xf9396a…
03-15 05:41:15	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	BUY	86	99¢	$85	0x00f8ae…
03-15 05:32:09	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0x496eaf…
03-15 05:05:47	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	BUY	111	99¢	$110	0x646a0a…
03-15 05:05:01	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	BUY	111	99¢	$110	0x8bbbbd…
03-15 05:03:39	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	BUY	24	99¢	$24	0xb1abeb…
03-15 05:02:19	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	BUY	43	99¢	$43	0x2eef09…
03-15 04:57:35	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x1bc7a0…
03-15 04:30:31	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	BUY	187	99¢	$185	0xeb9ad0…
03-15 04:22:01	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	BUY	94	99¢	$93	0x284e43…
03-15 04:07:23	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	BUY	20	99¢	$19	0xe6bd20…
03-15 04:03:25	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	BUY	111	99¢	$110	0x9b05cb…
03-15 03:55:03	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	BUY	125	99¢	$124	0x749562…
03-15 03:46:33	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	BUY	128	99¢	$127	0x7d506a…
03-15 03:43:09	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	BUY	38	99¢	$37	0xa489b8…
03-15 03:29:53	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	BUY	35	99¢	$35	0x5773ef…
03-15 03:29:23	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	BUY	237	99¢	$235	0x6d09f5…
03-15 03:26:11	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	BUY	35	99¢	$35	0x5b7c4d…
03-15 03:11:25	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	BUY	91	99¢	$90	0xddde0c…
03-15 03:10:57	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	BUY	124	99¢	$122	0x4fa65f…
03-15 03:09:15	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	BUY	207	99¢	$205	0x5c10af…
03-15 03:06:55	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	BUY	130	99¢	$129	0xb21180…
03-15 03:05:37	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	BUY	139	99¢	$138	0x6ef070…
03-15 03:04:41	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	BUY	350	99¢	$347	0x15e5a6…
03-15 02:46:41	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	BUY	31	99¢	$31	0xc5ea30…
03-15 02:19:45	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	BUY	86	99¢	$85	0x667328…
03-15 02:11:47	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0xfeffae…
03-15 01:29:59	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	BUY	111	99¢	$110	0xadb255…
03-15 01:25:59	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	BUY	81	99¢	$80	0x3a19ba…
03-15 01:19:49	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	BUY	1,780	99¢	$1,764	0xbb200d…
03-14 07:12:07	will crude oil cl hit high 180 by end of march 692	No	SELL	1,000	95¢	$948	0x69b4cf…
03-11 07:42:59	will crude oil cl hit high 180 by end of march 692	No	BUY	1,000	96¢	$962	0xbdff21…
03-01 07:38:45	will trump visit china by march 31	Yes	BUY	76	50¢	$38	0xe4008c…
03-01 07:30:35	will trump visit china by march 31	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x13dc20…
03-01 07:30:19	will trump visit china by march 31	Yes	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x82f9ba…
02-21 08:38:34	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	Yes	BUY	4	93¢	$3	0xa74477…
02-21 03:48:18	Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	BUY	100	39¢	$39	0x6067af…
02-20 16:01:42	will trump visit china by march 31	Yes	BUY	35	61¢	$21	0xa275a5…
02-20 16:01:36	will trump visit china by march 31	Yes	BUY	65	61¢	$40	0xd273be…
02-20 15:26:22	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	5,000	99¢	$4,965	0x4ae827…
02-16 15:57:37	will unitree robotics have robot dancers at the 2026 spring festival gala	Yes	BUY	5,000	100¢	$4,995	0x90ef69…
02-08 17:02:49	Will Sanae Takaichi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?	Yes	BUY	1,414	100¢	$1,410	0xf433f4…
02-08 16:57:21	Will Sanae Takaichi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?	Yes	BUY	1,549	100¢	$1,544	0x4d89f1…
02-08 16:54:15	Will Sanae Takaichi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?	Yes	BUY	1,552	100¢	$1,548	0xcf903f…
02-08 16:53:17	Will Sanae Takaichi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?	Yes	BUY	1,555	100¢	$1,551	0x983660…
02-08 16:52:45	Will Sanae Takaichi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?	Yes	BUY	1,558	100¢	$1,554	0xdcb17f…