Realized P&L (7d)
-$170
Unrealized P&L
+$9.26K
Hit rate
14.3%
Resolved (7d)
7
Trades (7d)
503
18,284 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$50.6K
$1.93M lifetime
Avg / trade
$106
Open exposure
$38.1K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-27 21:20
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 169 days
Categories
Other
43%
64%
+$3,328
Crypto
41%
70%
+$25,304
Politics
9%
63%
+$833
Sports
4%
73%
+$2,138
Tech
2%
57%
-$120
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk
• peak 180 trades/day
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch? | No | +12,256 | $9,663 | 86¢ | $10.5K | +$878 | 10-26 19:16 | |
| Will Zcash reach $2000 by December 31, 2026? | No | +7,029 | $4,184 | 75¢ | $5.3K | +$1,074 | 10-24 09:35 | |
| Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch? | Yes | -4,140 | -$3,654 | 98¢ | $-4073 | -$420 | 09-18 20:29 | |
| Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? | No | +2,982 | $2,471 | 93¢ | $2.8K | +$305 | 10-27 03:54 | |
| Altcoin market cap dip to $150B before 2027? | No | -2,748 | -$4,174 | 67¢ | $-1841 | +$2,333 | 10-26 12:25 | |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? | No | +2,192 | $1,446 | 80¢ | $1.7K | +$296 | 10-26 22:04 | |
| Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch? | No | +1,564 | $1,287 | 94¢ | $1.5K | +$176 | 10-26 18:47 | |
| Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? | Yes | -1,425 | -$1,079 | 97¢ | $-1385 | -$306 | 09-14 10:27 | |
| Will none of these coins hit a $1B FDV? | Yes | +1,301 | $972 | 94¢ | $1.2K | +$244 | 10-26 09:22 | |
| Cambria FDV above $20M one day after launch? | Yes | -2,247 | -$1,966 | 54¢ | $-1213 | +$752 | 10-23 17:31 | |
| Abstract FDV above $800M one day after launch? | No | -1,000 | -$907 | 98¢ | $-981 | -$74 | 09-07 00:43 | |
| Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch? | No | +953 | $767 | 95¢ | $907 | +$140 | 10-26 11:50 | |
| Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026? | No | +1,209 | $943 | 71¢ | $858 | -$85 | 10-27 10:05 | |
| Papertrade FDV above $25M one day after launch? | No | +1,671 | -$3,196 | 46¢ | $769 | +$3,964 | 10-27 06:40 | |
| Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $10M? | Yes | -600 | -$590 | 96¢ | $-577 | +$13 | 10-27 19:07 | |
| Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? | No | +590 | $482 | 72¢ | $428 | -$55 | 10-02 10:13 | |
| will papertrade launch a token by december 31 2026 | Yes | +3,292 | $3,507 | 11¢ | $362 | -$3,145 | 10-21 13:00 | |
| Will Lighter reach $8 before 2027? | No | +291 | -$86 | 93¢ | $272 | +$358 | 10-27 18:59 | |
| Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31? | No | -281 | -$1,076 | 96¢ | $-271 | +$806 | 10-06 00:21 | |
| Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch? | No | +300 | $206 | 73¢ | $220 | +$14 | 10-17 15:55 | |
| Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027? | No | +270 | $155 | 78¢ | $210 | +$55 | 10-23 14:23 | |
| Ink FDV above $100M one day after launch? | No | +200 | -$294 | 82¢ | $164 | +$458 | 10-21 04:15 | |
| Theo FDV above $100M one day after launch? | No | +160 | $113 | 68¢ | $108 | -$5 | 10-24 19:45 | |
| Will Lighter reach $10 before 2027? | No | +100 | -$67 | 95¢ | $95 | +$162 | 10-14 21:24 | |
| Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? | Yes | +95 | -$1,201 | 96¢ | $91 | +$1,292 | 10-23 08:59 | |
| Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)? | Yes | +100 | $70 | 87¢ | $87 | +$17 | 10-06 21:25 | |
| Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026? | Yes | +210 | $49 | 29¢ | $61 | +$12 | 10-27 12:42 | |
| Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch? | Yes | +270 | $37 | 20¢ | $55 | +$18 | 10-26 11:04 | |
| Will Artificial Inu be the first to hit a $1B FDV? | No | +50 | $45 | 96¢ | $48 | +$3 | 09-05 00:42 | |
| Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | Yes | +100 | $58 | 38¢ | $38 | -$19 | 08-30 02:40 |
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flying Tulip FDV above $800M one day after launch? | 277 | $66.5K | 46,038 | 49,920 | -3,882 | Yes | +$13,929 | 02-24 07:25 |
| kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31 | 163 | $55.4K | 34,036 | 31,169 | +2,867 | No | +$648 | 03-31 17:22 |
| megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733 | 250 | $49.1K | 38,767 | 22,038 | +16,729 | No | +$2,349 | 05-01 09:10 |
| Over $3M committed to the Infinex public sale? | 168 | $45.0K | 26,152 | 27,654 | -1,502 | Yes | +$4,022 | 01-09 21:20 |
| Over $5M committed to the Infinex public sale? | 145 | $42.8K | 28,329 | 35,717 | -7,387 | Yes | -$176 | 01-10 04:20 |
| us x iran ceasefire by march 31 | 145 | $32.4K | 30,998 | 32,498 | -1,500 | No | -$331 | 03-27 18:50 |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch? | 177 | $28.5K | 19,525 | 10,908 | +8,617 | No | +$695 | 04-30 16:51 |
| USD.AI FDV above $500M one day after launch? | 83 | $24.6K | 13,463 | 13,712 | -249 | Yes | +$270 | 04-02 01:46 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? | 67 | $24.2K | 15,924 | 13,732 | +2,192 | open | — | 10-26 22:04 |
| Gensyn FDV above $600M one day after launch? | 203 | $22.4K | 16,376 | 12,616 | +3,760 | No | +$1,617 | 04-30 16:42 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? | 179 | $22.2K | 15,879 | 16,179 | -300 | No | +$402 | 04-21 20:54 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15? | 76 | $19.5K | 9,895 | 10,130 | -235 | No | +$77 | 05-13 07:37 |
| megaeth market cap fdv 1pt5b one day after launch 371 844 879 681 | 218 | $19.3K | 21,072 | 22,115 | -1,042 | Yes | +$1,263 | 05-01 10:33 |
| megaeth market cap fdv 4b one day after launch 484 688 448 486 873 133 182 | 52 | $18.3K | 11,339 | 7,553 | +3,785 | No | +$280 | 05-01 00:31 |
| Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch? | 90 | $18.2K | 17,673 | 10,477 | +7,195 | No | +$492 | 03-06 14:17 |
| Will Gujarat Titans win the 2026 Indian Premier League? | 266 | $15.7K | 24,651 | 30,646 | -5,994 | No | +$3,759 | 05-31 17:56 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? | 89 | $15.4K | 11,107 | 10,918 | +189 | open | — | 10-23 08:59 |
| us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761 | 15 | $15.3K | 9,001 | 8,601 | +400 | Yes | +$122 | 02-28 03:52 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | 37 | $14.9K | 10,400 | 10,000 | +400 | No | +$1,065 | 04-26 07:27 |
| footballfun fdv above 70m one day after launch | 65 | $14.8K | 7,635 | 9,166 | -1,531 | Yes | +$956 | 01-16 21:11 |
| Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31? | 53 | $14.5K | 8,063 | 8,344 | -281 | open | — | 10-06 00:21 |
| Over $2M committed to the Infinex public sale? | 107 | $14.3K | 13,844 | 15,346 | -1,502 | Yes | +$734 | 01-08 17:53 |
| Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Rajasthan Royals | 84 | $13.4K | 9,733 | 8,233 | +1,500 | Delhi Capitals | -$300 | 05-17 18:44 |
| Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Gujarat Titans | 91 | $12.8K | 10,312 | 4,500 | +5,812 | Kolkata Knight Riders | +$524 | 05-16 18:24 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | 90 | $12.7K | 21,228 | 19,228 | +2,000 | No | +$138 | 05-28 05:38 |
| us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165 | 81 | $11.9K | 10,525 | 8,726 | +1,799 | No | -$117 | 01-25 19:02 |
| Will Rajasthan Royals win the 2026 Indian Premier League? | 167 | $11.7K | 16,703 | 14,695 | +2,009 | No | +$576 | 05-29 17:47 |
| Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch? | 69 | $11.5K | 13,384 | 1,128 | +12,256 | open | — | 10-26 19:16 |
| Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch? | 97 | $11.2K | 7,473 | 7,720 | -247 | No | -$425 | 05-26 19:56 |
| Will MegaETH launch a token by June 30, 2026? | 95 | $11.2K | 6,080 | 8,532 | -2,452 | Yes | +$163 | 04-21 20:02 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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