Jam-Packed-Dividend — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$31.5K

Unrealized P&L

+$7.78K

Hit rate

77.8%

Resolved

870

Trades

18,346

lifetime

Volume

$1.94M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$106

Open exposure

$38.3K

30 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-29 08:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 170 days

Categories

Other

43% 64% +$3,318

Crypto

42% 70% +$25,304

Politics

9% 63% +$833

Sports

4% 73% +$2,138

Tech

2% 57% -$120

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 180 trades/day

Open positions (30) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	+12,256	$9,663	86¢	$10.6K	+$939	10-26 19:16
Will Zcash reach $2000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+7,029	$4,184	75¢	$5.2K	+$1,060	10-24 09:35
Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	-4,140	-$3,654	99¢	$-4105	-$451	09-18 20:29
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	+2,619	$2,132	93¢	$2.4K	+$298	10-28 06:16
Altcoin market cap dip to $150B before 2027?	No	-2,653	-$4,093	88¢	$-2334	+$1,759	10-28 11:46
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?	No	+2,392	$1,602	80¢	$1.9K	+$299	10-28 21:11
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	+1,564	$1,287	94¢	$1.5K	+$176	10-26 18:47
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	-1,425	-$1,079	99¢	$-1416	-$337	09-14 10:27
Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?	Yes	+1,400	$1,220	82¢	$1.1K	-$72	10-28 13:32
Cambria FDV above $20M one day after launch?	Yes	-2,247	-$1,966	50¢	$-1112	+$853	10-23 17:31
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	+1,600	$1,157	62¢	$987	-$170	10-29 09:55
Abstract FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	-1,000	-$907	98¢	$-982	-$75	09-07 00:43
Papertrade FDV above $25M one day after launch?	No	+1,671	-$3,196	48¢	$794	+$3,990	10-27 06:40
Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $10M?	Yes	-600	-$590	99¢	$-592	-$2	10-27 19:07
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?	No	+590	$482	79¢	$466	-$16	10-02 10:13
Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	+461	$299	91¢	$421	+$122	10-28 12:49
will papertrade launch a token by december 31 2026	Yes	+3,292	$3,507	11¢	$362	-$3,145	10-21 13:00
Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31?	No	-281	-$1,076	96¢	$-271	+$806	10-06 00:21
Will Lighter reach $8 before 2027?	No	+271	-$105	94¢	$254	+$359	10-28 22:48
Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	+300	$206	72¢	$216	+$10	10-17 15:55
Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	+1,209	$943	16¢	$199	-$744	10-27 10:05
Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027?	No	+270	$155	70¢	$191	+$36	10-23 14:23
Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?	Yes	+210	$49	84¢	$175	+$126	10-27 12:42
Ink FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	+168	-$321	82¢	$139	+$459	10-29 08:53
Theo FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	+160	$113	76¢	$122	+$8	10-24 19:45
Will Lighter reach $10 before 2027?	No	+100	-$67	96¢	$96	+$163	10-14 21:24
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	+95	-$1,201	99¢	$94	+$1,294	10-23 08:59
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)?	Yes	+100	$70	88¢	$88	+$18	10-06 21:25
Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	+270	$37	22¢	$58	+$21	10-26 11:04
Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+625	$56	8¢	$50	-$6	10-20 04:34

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Flying Tulip FDV above $800M one day after launch?	277	$66.5K	46,038	49,920	-3,882	Yes	+$13,929	02-24 07:25
kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	163	$55.4K	34,036	31,169	+2,867	No	+$648	03-31 17:22
megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	250	$49.1K	38,767	22,038	+16,729	No	+$2,349	05-01 09:10
Over $3M committed to the Infinex public sale?	168	$45.0K	26,152	27,654	-1,502	Yes	+$4,022	01-09 21:20
Over $5M committed to the Infinex public sale?	145	$42.8K	28,329	35,717	-7,387	Yes	-$176	01-10 04:20
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	145	$32.4K	30,998	32,498	-1,500	No	-$331	03-27 18:50
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	177	$28.5K	19,525	10,908	+8,617	No	+$695	04-30 16:51
USD.AI FDV above $500M one day after launch?	83	$24.6K	13,463	13,712	-249	Yes	+$270	04-02 01:46
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?	68	$24.4K	16,124	13,732	+2,392	open	—	10-28 21:11
Gensyn FDV above $600M one day after launch?	203	$22.4K	16,376	12,616	+3,760	No	+$1,617	04-30 16:42
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	179	$22.2K	15,879	16,179	-300	No	+$402	04-21 20:54
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	76	$19.5K	9,895	10,130	-235	No	+$77	05-13 07:37
megaeth market cap fdv 1pt5b one day after launch 371 844 879 681	218	$19.3K	21,072	22,115	-1,042	Yes	+$1,263	05-01 10:33
megaeth market cap fdv 4b one day after launch 484 688 448 486 873 133 182	52	$18.3K	11,339	7,553	+3,785	No	+$280	05-01 00:31
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?	90	$18.2K	17,673	10,477	+7,195	No	+$492	03-06 14:17
Will Gujarat Titans win the 2026 Indian Premier League?	266	$15.7K	24,651	30,646	-5,994	No	+$3,759	05-31 17:56
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?	89	$15.4K	11,107	10,918	+189	open	—	10-23 08:59
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	15	$15.3K	9,001	8,601	+400	Yes	+$122	02-28 03:52
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	37	$14.9K	10,400	10,000	+400	No	+$1,065	04-26 07:27
footballfun fdv above 70m one day after launch	65	$14.8K	7,635	9,166	-1,531	Yes	+$956	01-16 21:11
Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31?	53	$14.5K	8,063	8,344	-281	open	—	10-06 00:21
Over $2M committed to the Infinex public sale?	107	$14.3K	13,844	15,346	-1,502	Yes	+$734	01-08 17:53
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Rajasthan Royals	84	$13.4K	9,733	8,233	+1,500	Delhi Capitals	-$300	05-17 18:44
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Gujarat Titans	91	$12.8K	10,312	4,500	+5,812	Kolkata Knight Riders	+$524	05-16 18:24
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	90	$12.7K	21,228	19,228	+2,000	No	+$138	05-28 05:38
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	81	$11.9K	10,525	8,726	+1,799	No	-$117	01-25 19:02
Will Rajasthan Royals win the 2026 Indian Premier League?	167	$11.7K	16,703	14,695	+2,009	No	+$576	05-29 17:47
Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch?	69	$11.5K	13,384	1,128	+12,256	open	—	10-26 19:16
Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?	97	$11.2K	7,473	7,720	-247	No	-$425	05-26 19:56
Will MegaETH launch a token by June 30, 2026?	95	$11.2K	6,080	8,532	-2,452	Yes	+$163	04-21 20:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 09:55:26	Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	400	61¢	$244	0x1ebc3a…
10-29 09:55:11	Extended listed on Coinbase within 30 days of TGE?	No	BUY	87	30¢	$26	0x71f760…
10-29 09:51:31	Will Pump.fun dip to $0.0030 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	79¢	$0	0xb55b76…
10-29 09:51:31	Will Pump.fun dip to $0.0030 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	178	73¢	$130	0x7a6aac…
10-29 09:30:05	Over $3M committed to the over.computer public sale?	No	BUY	2	11¢	$0	0x70a478…
10-29 09:29:55	Over $7.5M committed to the over.computer public sale?	No	BUY	1	19¢	$0	0x424c8e…
10-29 08:57:55	Will Artificial Inu be the first to hit a $1B FDV?	Yes	SELL	99	3¢	$3	0x6b1a96…
10-29 08:53:44	Ink FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	SELL	12	83¢	$10	0x7fdb0a…
10-29 06:53:38	Ink FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	SELL	20	83¢	$17	0x20b464…
10-29 05:55:53	Will BNB dip to $600 in October?	No	SELL	59	96¢	$57	0xa2174d…
10-29 05:51:49	Will BNB dip to $600 in October?	No	SELL	220	96¢	$211	0xa89df6…
10-29 05:26:23	Will BNB dip to $600 in October?	No	SELL	200	96¢	$192	0x5b7e5d…
10-29 02:56:29	Extended listed on Coinbase within 30 days of TGE?	No	BUY	300	31¢	$93	0x5b3eb1…
10-29 00:54:34	Will Beezie launch a token by December 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	2	69¢	$1	0x8d556f…
10-28 23:11:28	Will Artificial Inu be the first to hit a $1B FDV?	Yes	BUY	12	3¢	$0	0xcdd06e…
10-28 23:10:28	Will Artificial Inu be the first to hit a $1B FDV?	Yes	BUY	317	3¢	$10	0xec11bb…
10-28 23:10:28	Will Artificial Inu be the first to hit a $1B FDV?	Yes	BUY	26	3¢	$1	0xc666ed…
10-28 23:10:28	Will Artificial Inu be the first to hit a $1B FDV?	Yes	BUY	27	3¢	$1	0xacd9c6…
10-28 23:10:28	Will Artificial Inu be the first to hit a $1B FDV?	Yes	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0x8b55c1…
10-28 23:10:28	Will Artificial Inu be the first to hit a $1B FDV?	Yes	BUY	25	3¢	$1	0x7a7ec8…
10-28 23:10:28	Will none of these coins hit a $1B FDV?	Yes	SELL	1,213	94¢	$1,141	0x3a870d…
10-28 22:48:26	Will Lighter reach $8 before 2027?	No	SELL	20	94¢	$19	0x44d59f…
10-28 22:33:20	Over $15M committed to the over.computer public sale?	No	SELL	1	50¢	$0	0xe7ea33…
10-28 22:01:05	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?	Yes	SELL	64	32¢	$20	0x6b34a4…
10-28 21:58:46	Over $7.5M committed to the over.computer public sale?	No	BUY	25	19¢	$5	0x0f1399…
10-28 21:57:35	Will none of these coins hit a $1B FDV?	Yes	SELL	87	94¢	$82	0xe4f9ae…
10-28 21:32:47	Over $3M committed to the over.computer public sale?	No	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0x2865c4…
10-28 21:30:26	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $20M?	No	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0xce92a0…
10-28 21:11:29	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?	No	BUY	200	78¢	$156	0xae38cf…
10-28 21:01:50	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?	Yes	SELL	2	32¢	$1	0x5ec2bd…
10-28 20:40:34	Cambria FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	SELL	42	96¢	$40	0x5d1281…
10-28 20:29:29	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $50M?	No	BUY	100	51¢	$51	0x21227f…
10-28 19:35:32	over 25m committed to the over computer public sale	Yes	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0x980f2a…
10-28 19:34:08	Over $15M committed to the over.computer public sale?	No	BUY	120	41¢	$49	0xabc14c…
10-28 19:30:14	Over $7.5M committed to the over.computer public sale?	Yes	BUY	30	79¢	$24	0xa6f50a…
10-28 19:30:13	Over $7.5M committed to the over.computer public sale?	No	BUY	78	19¢	$15	0x4a869c…
10-28 18:18:37	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $30M?	No	SELL	100	31¢	$31	0x59e186…
10-28 17:36:14	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $30M?	No	BUY	100	34¢	$34	0xb18985…
10-28 16:47:55	Will Canza launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	62¢	$12	0xd4377b…
10-28 16:34:49	MagicBlock FDV above $10M one day after launch?	No	SELL	127	86¢	$109	0x30b396…
10-28 14:15:17	Will BNB dip to $600 in October?	No	SELL	52	96¢	$50	0x127f82…
10-28 13:32:55	Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	400	80¢	$320	0xc3e2a0…
10-28 13:24:23	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $30M?	No	SELL	120	37¢	$44	0x52de55…
10-28 13:22:41	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $30M?	No	SELL	203	37¢	$75	0x9eed74…
10-28 13:02:14	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $30M?	No	SELL	27	37¢	$10	0x9b396f…
10-28 12:58:50	Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	400	64¢	$256	0xca5921…
10-28 12:49:31	Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	SELL	112	95¢	$106	0x113215…
10-28 12:49:07	Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	SELL	380	95¢	$361	0xe46de3…
10-28 11:46:02	Altcoin market cap dip to $150B before 2027?	No	BUY	80	85¢	$68	0x4c422f…
10-28 11:41:13	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $30M?	No	SELL	331	37¢	$122	0x638b11…
10-28 11:02:56	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $30M?	No	SELL	9	37¢	$3	0x3f8c48…
10-28 11:02:56	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $30M?	No	SELL	10	37¢	$4	0x1c454b…
10-28 10:12:37	Altcoin market cap dip to $150B before 2027?	No	BUY	15	85¢	$13	0x7ce8d3…
10-28 09:51:32	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $40M?	Yes	SELL	160	54¢	$86	0x942e48…
10-28 09:51:02	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?	Yes	SELL	6	32¢	$2	0x67e4a2…
10-28 08:32:20	Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1,000	90¢	$900	0x1de6e2…
10-28 08:27:11	Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	800	82¢	$658	0x5bd7bb…
10-28 07:26:58	Will Aster reach $1.40 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	93¢	$19	0x0b1200…
10-28 06:16:16	Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	SELL	363	94¢	$340	0x0cef5a…
10-28 05:44:47	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?	Yes	SELL	8	32¢	$3	0x5dd8c4…
10-28 05:41:02	Extended listed on Bybit within 30 days of TGE?	No	SELL	31	32¢	$10	0xa58ec4…
10-28 05:35:52	Extended listed on Coinbase within 30 days of TGE?	No	BUY	100	62¢	$62	0x7c0fcc…
10-28 04:38:58	1win FDV above $150M one day after launch?	No	BUY	50	87¢	$44	0x5dd060…
10-28 04:32:08	1win FDV above $150M one day after launch?	No	BUY	39	87¢	$34	0x658f33…
10-28 04:23:13	Will Anthropic IPO by November 25, 2026?	No	BUY	150	13¢	$20	0x731eee…
10-28 04:22:56	Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	34	8¢	$3	0x5a40e1…
10-28 03:41:22	Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	222	5¢	$11	0x97f37b…
10-27 21:20:18	Cambria listed on Binance within 30 days of TGE?	No	SELL	138	97¢	$134	0x348669…
10-27 21:19:56	Cambria listed on Upbit within 30 days of TGE?	No	SELL	140	97¢	$136	0x1e4b4c…
10-27 19:32:33	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $30M?	No	BUY	61	36¢	$22	0x415bbd…
10-27 19:17:11	1win FDV above $150M one day after launch?	No	BUY	50	87¢	$44	0xe3c4e7…
10-27 19:09:33	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $40M?	Yes	SELL	40	50¢	$20	0xc87352…
10-27 19:09:24	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $30M?	No	BUY	39	36¢	$14	0x8abd4d…
10-27 19:09:00	Cambria FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	SELL	31	98¢	$30	0x18841e…
10-27 19:07:26	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $10M?	Yes	SELL	793	96¢	$758	0x302f87…
10-27 18:59:38	Will Lighter reach $8 before 2027?	No	SELL	28	94¢	$26	0x06c72f…
10-27 18:59:02	Will Lighter reach $8 before 2027?	No	SELL	261	94¢	$246	0xde42e3…
10-27 17:27:30	Theo FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	49	88¢	$43	0x08bf2f…
10-27 17:00:53	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?	Yes	SELL	94	32¢	$30	0xb0503f…
10-27 17:00:33	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?	Yes	SELL	26	32¢	$8	0x8a117e…
10-27 15:53:59	Will Soneium launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	78¢	$78	0x4ebf91…
10-27 15:50:38	Reya FDV above $70M one day after launch?	No	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0x5c6318…
10-27 15:15:21	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $30M?	No	BUY	200	39¢	$78	0x5855af…
10-27 13:30:48	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $40M?	Yes	BUY	200	34¢	$68	0x8005bf…
10-27 13:01:51	1win FDV above $30M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	300	83¢	$249	0x1d4b5e…
10-27 12:42:05	Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	24¢	$24	0xfb5d17…
10-27 12:39:47	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $10M?	Yes	BUY	200	91¢	$182	0x7b2618…
10-27 12:29:29	Will Zcash dip to $700 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	159	81¢	$129	0xff0a9e…
10-27 12:08:06	Reya FDV above $70M one day after launch?	No	BUY	29	84¢	$24	0x3b5798…
10-27 10:33:06	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $30M?	No	BUY	200	41¢	$82	0x015575…
10-27 10:08:00	Will Lighter dip to $2 before 2027?	No	BUY	100	63¢	$63	0xecea67…
10-27 10:05:00	Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	68¢	$68	0x47db5b…
10-27 08:36:54	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $30M?	No	BUY	200	48¢	$96	0x8955fd…
10-27 07:52:11	Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	111	8¢	$9	0xf423d8…
10-27 07:52:08	Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	56	8¢	$5	0xfad7dc…
10-27 07:48:17	Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	85¢	$85	0x2c46cd…
10-27 07:14:42	Will Artificial Inu be the first to hit a $1B FDV?	Yes	BUY	50	3¢	$2	0xe7844b…
10-27 07:14:42	Will Artificial Inu be the first to hit a $1B FDV?	Yes	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x135f71…
10-27 07:14:39	Will Artificial Inu be the first to hit a $1B FDV?	Yes	BUY	150	3¢	$4	0xc1398a…
10-27 07:14:39	Will Artificial Inu be the first to hit a $1B FDV?	Yes	BUY	45	3¢	$1	0x7d3595…