Light-Adviser — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

83.1%

Resolved

344

Trades

680

lifetime

Volume

$8.52K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-25

last 10-21 09:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 64 days

Categories

Other

81% 88% +$3

Crypto

13% 87% +$0

Politics

4% 50% +$0

Pop-Culture

1% 100% +$0

Sports

1% 83% $0

Tech

0% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Alfonso López Chau win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by at least 5%?	2	$84	42	42	+0	No	+$0	04-13 08:25
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C or below on May 5?	5	$82	41	41	+0	No	+$0	05-04 17:24
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on May 6?	4	$79	40	40	+0	No	+$0	05-05 16:30
Will "The Sheep Detectives" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	8	$79	40	40	+0	Yes	+$0	05-10 17:35
highest temperature in panama city on april 11 2026 28c	1	$62	62	0	+62	No	+$0	04-11 02:10
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 30°C on May 5?	2	$60	30	30	+0	No	+$0	05-05 07:16
highest temperature in manila on april 20 2026 39corhigher	9	$60	30	30	+0	No	+$0	04-20 08:54
Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 8, 2026?	2	$60	30	30	+0	No	+$0	05-07 11:18
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C or below on May 7?	2	$60	30	30	+0	No	+$0	05-06 09:54
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 8°C or below on May 6?	2	$59	30	30	+0	No	+$0	05-05 16:37
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on May 4?	2	$59	30	30	+0	No	+$0	05-04 02:42
Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on May 11?	5	$59	29	29	+0	No	$0	05-11 03:21
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 78-79°F on May 17?	2	$56	28	28	+0	No	+$0	05-17 09:01
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 15?	2	$56	28	28	+0	No	+$0	05-15 09:01
highest temperature in san francisco on april 4 2026 62 63f	1	$56	56	0	+56	No	+$0	04-04 04:03
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C or higher on May 17?	2	$56	28	28	+0	No	$0	05-16 17:26
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 16?	2	$56	28	28	+0	No	$0	05-15 18:45
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $70,000 on May 14?	2	$55	27	27	+0	No	+$0	05-14 00:33
highest temperature in lucknow on april 1 2026 39c	1	$55	55	0	+55	No	+$0	04-01 10:39
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C or below on May 17?	2	$53	26	26	+0	No	+$0	05-17 09:03
will the price of bitcoin be between 58000 60000 on april 6	1	$53	53	0	+53	No	+$0	04-06 03:51
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C or higher on May 16?	3	$52	26	26	+0	No	+$0	05-15 17:05
highest temperature in tel aviv on april 7 2026 15c	1	$50	50	0	+50	No	+$0	04-07 02:28
highest temperature in singapore on march 28 2026 35c	1	$50	50	0	+50	No	+$0	03-28 05:47
Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on May 15?	2	$49	25	25	+0	No	+$0	05-14 17:13
ethereum above 2300 on april 5	1	$48	48	0	+48	No	+$0	04-05 05:12
highest temperature in jeddah on april 20 2026 31c	3	$48	24	24	+0	No	+$0	04-20 06:00
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 19°C on May 1?	5	$47	24	24	+0	No	+$0	04-30 21:02
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C or higher on May 14?	4	$47	24	24	+0	No	+$0	05-14 01:08
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 62-63°F on May 2?	5	$47	23	23	+0	No	$0	05-01 21:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-21 09:49:56	Will Bournemouth win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x21bff4…
10-21 09:49:08	Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x933ff9…
10-20 23:37:45	Will Bournemouth win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x888dea…
10-02 21:54:18	Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xca73de…
09-28 19:57:54	Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xaa6d7a…
09-28 19:57:06	Will Pau Cubarsi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xabf99b…
09-28 19:56:15	Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x5e4e6a…
09-23 10:08:56	Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x94d9cb…
08-28 01:52:19	Will Pau Cubarsi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xe144fa…
08-24 04:52:31	Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xebed30…
08-24 02:51:34	Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xc14cb3…
08-24 02:50:30	Will Jumanji 3 be the top grossing movie of 2026?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x13ba2c…
08-12 16:51:37	Will Michael be the top grossing movie of 2026?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xd22957…
07-30 03:51:33	Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x6b06ae…
07-24 10:56:25	Will Federico Valverde win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xc05650…
07-23 10:40:54	Will Jumanji 3 be the top grossing movie of 2026?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x3eacc8…
07-19 04:55:37	Will Nicole Shanahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xcf5dbd…
07-19 04:54:46	Will Carlos Sainz Jr. be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x2ce23a…
07-19 04:53:52	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xbba31c…
07-19 04:52:57	Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x4c8db3…
07-15 18:32:58	Will Șerban Matei be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xf2426b…
07-13 17:41:20	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x4a6bbd…
07-02 18:04:49	Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x6c6df0…
07-01 19:09:58	Will Tatjana Maria be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x2497a5…
07-01 19:09:04	Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xe56559…
07-01 10:33:46	Will Project Hail Mary be the top grossing movie of 2026?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x0e5a57…
06-24 04:52:26	Will Tatjana Maria be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xc509cc…
06-21 23:38:19	Will Nicole Shanahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x2629dc…
06-18 12:17:10	Will Carlos Sainz Jr. be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x7f7216…
06-07 05:27:58	Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xcaadce…
05-17 14:56:34	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C or higher on May 17?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x2be9fe…
05-17 09:13:11	Will "Is God Is" score at least 99 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x8068d5…
05-17 09:12:08	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 17?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x7d3fb4…
05-17 09:12:08	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 17?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x35a7e0…
05-17 09:11:10	Will "Is God Is" score at least 99 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xfd6d4f…
05-17 09:06:15	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on May 17?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0xd87189…
05-17 09:03:20	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C or below on May 17?	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0xc6b871…
05-17 09:01:43	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 78-79°F on May 17?	No	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0xd0e920…
05-17 08:50:45	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 17?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb04b2b…
05-17 06:16:56	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on May 17?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x481bb9…
05-17 04:31:10	Will "Is God Is" score at least 99 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x25105e…
05-17 02:24:55	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 78-79°F on May 17?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xb7e888…
05-17 01:38:20	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C or higher on May 17?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xb72e88…
05-17 00:27:43	Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 36°C on May 17?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xc3ef2f…
05-17 00:27:43	Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 36°C on May 17?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xa7bb7c…
05-17 00:17:29	Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 36°C on May 17?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xc2f8e6…
05-16 23:55:26	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C or below on May 17?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xfd0173…
05-16 22:18:52	Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 36°C on May 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc4d4c9…
05-16 18:35:42	Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x5c1559…
05-16 18:24:23	Will Czechia come in last place at Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x8d05bf…
05-16 18:21:41	Will Czechia come in last place at Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x9cf53b…
05-16 17:29:25	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 16?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x7f415c…
05-16 17:26:26	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C or higher on May 17?	No	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0x6f93e1…
05-16 17:05:31	Will Czechia come in last place at Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xfb356e…
05-16 14:53:03	Will Albania win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x38b40b…
05-16 12:49:56	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C or higher on May 16?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xc23a73…
05-16 12:34:01	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C or higher on May 17?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x1bd28a…
05-16 12:24:44	Will Czechia come in last place at Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x066dab…
05-16 09:46:36	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 16?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x333730…
05-16 09:05:21	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C or below on May 16?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x5cd073…
05-16 08:16:53	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C or below on May 16?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x5bde9d…
05-16 08:12:53	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C or below on May 16?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x3d6f51…
05-16 08:08:27	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C or below on May 16?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xcdcac5…
05-16 08:05:58	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C or below on May 16?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xbdfc09…
05-16 06:31:28	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C or below on May 16?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x12cebb…
05-16 04:53:53	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C or higher on May 16?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x1249f1…
05-16 04:50:05	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 21°C on May 16?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x603ff8…
05-16 04:50:05	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 21°C on May 16?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x433879…
05-16 04:48:57	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 21°C on May 16?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x39fc23…
05-16 01:47:55	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 21°C on May 16?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x12cc79…
05-16 01:39:38	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C or higher on May 16?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x050655…
05-16 00:19:57	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 21°C on May 16?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x631c6f…
05-15 23:07:52	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C or higher on May 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x715f59…
05-15 19:07:06	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C on May 16?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x1e2f6a…
05-15 18:50:20	Will Czechia come in last place at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x5d2df7…
05-15 18:45:00	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 16?	No	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0x243820…
05-15 18:29:15	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C on May 16?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$11	0x8795cd…
05-15 18:00:12	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C on May 16?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xb6df36…
05-15 17:05:18	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C or higher on May 16?	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0x5a1857…
05-15 15:39:52	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 16?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xcb4ecb…
05-15 13:50:33	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 12°C on May 15?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xde032b…
05-15 13:24:10	Will Albania win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5ed123…
05-15 13:07:25	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on May 15?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$12	0xca199c…
05-15 10:17:14	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C or higher on May 16?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa3bb1b…
05-15 09:21:54	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C or higher on May 16?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xa7cfda…
05-15 09:01:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 15?	No	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0x908d8b…
05-15 08:10:37	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 56-57°F on May 15?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x7b6a75…
05-15 07:12:29	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on May 15?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$12	0xa55404…
05-15 06:08:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on May 15?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xdd6743…
05-15 00:35:25	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 12°C on May 15?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xf9e385…
05-14 23:15:30	Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x6fcf6f…
05-14 22:27:17	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 56-57°F on May 15?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xbdcfb2…
05-14 19:24:49	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on May 14?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x692b42…
05-14 18:01:52	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 20°C on May 15?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x8ec526…
05-14 17:29:51	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 20°C on May 15?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x7b9133…
05-14 17:13:53	Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on May 15?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x161b43…
05-14 16:45:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on May 15?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x4e1f72…
05-14 16:38:59	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 20°C on May 15?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x0827a3…
05-14 16:28:15	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 19°C or below on May 15?	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x12eaff…
05-14 12:42:16	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 9°C or below on May 15?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xef12b4…