Fat-Ectoderm — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$91

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

82.1%

Resolved

Trades

159

lifetime

Volume

$3.80K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$24

Open exposure

$19

3 positions

First seen

2026-04-25

last 07-01 23:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

58% 33% $-61

Tech

18% — —

Crypto

17% — —

Politics

6% 0% $-30

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

23 active days in 12wk • peak 40 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	+10	$9	90¢	$9	+$0	06-19 19:56
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?	Yes	-125	$-5	5¢	$-6	$-1	07-01 23:10
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+31	$4	12¢	$4	$-0	07-01 23:13

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	3	$671	2,545	2,222	+323	open	—	04-25 20:19
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	6	$459	367	367	+0	Yes	+$9	05-12 12:43
Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	7	$268	414	242	+172	open	—	05-19 13:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	2	$248	150	150	+0	open	—	04-28 19:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	9	$165	276	0	+276	open	—	05-20 20:08
Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	4	$160	134	56	+78	open	—	05-19 13:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	20	$129	199	91	+107	open	—	05-20 19:59
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs GamerLegion (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group B	2	$116	66	66	+0	open	—	05-01 00:56
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group A	2	$112	62	62	+0	open	—	04-30 20:28
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group B	3	$109	98	59	+39	open	—	04-30 23:27
Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?	3	$97	143	143	+0	open	—	05-09 23:38
Will Mother's Milk die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	2	$91	121	121	+0	open	—	05-08 06:19
Will Ashley Barrett die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	8	$80	283	0	+283	open	—	05-19 13:09
Will The Deep die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	6	$68	169	169	+0	open	—	05-15 10:20
Will Hughie Campbell die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	1	$65	80	0	+80	open	—	05-08 05:57
Will Annie January (Starlight) die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	5	$60	201	201	+0	open	—	05-16 16:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	1	$50	96	0	+96	open	—	04-28 19:35
Will Ukraine be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	1	$50	71	0	+71	open	—	05-12 19:19
Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?	1	$50	6,407	0	+6,407	No	$-50	04-26 11:06
Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	1	$40	133	0	+133	open	—	04-25 20:52
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FaZe (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group B	1	$40	51	0	+51	open	—	04-29 15:04
Will Frenchie die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	4	$36	157	157	+0	open	—	05-15 10:20
Will a team get 13-0'd at BLAST Rivals Fort Worth 2026?	3	$32	139	39	+100	open	—	05-03 17:52
Will Sister Sage die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	1	$30	52	0	+52	open	—	05-08 06:20
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - 76ers vs. Celtics	1	$30	42	0	+42	open	—	05-01 21:21
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner	1	$30	48	0	+48	open	—	05-03 18:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	6	$30	90	0	+90	open	—	05-20 20:10
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO5) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs	3	$29	64	64	+0	open	—	05-03 18:36
Will Trump say "Immigration" or "Immigrant" during King Charles visit?	1	$25	49	0	+49	open	—	04-28 21:42
Will Soldier Boy die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	2	$25	50	0	+50	open	—	05-08 06:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-01 23:13:34	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	31	13¢	$4	0x5af381…
07-01 23:10:02	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	125	4¢	$5	0x8bdb46…
06-27 10:55:35	Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?	Yes	BUY	48	2¢	$1	0x272c6c…
06-20 19:52:17	Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?	Yes	BUY	43	7¢	$3	0xa8a7a0…
06-19 19:56:40	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0xf10029…
06-18 18:03:49	will ethereum dip to 1500 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x02b931…
06-13 15:51:18	Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?	Yes	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0xc3f586…
06-12 14:56:00	cs2 fal2 bb3 2026 06 12	BetBoom Team	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0xbfe02e…
06-12 14:55:43	cs2 navi lgc 2026 06 12	Legacy	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xc71a76…
06-12 07:08:31	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes	SELL	333	1¢	$4	0x2a59ef…
05-20 20:10:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xd88443…
05-20 20:10:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x36cb1e…
05-20 20:10:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x5e468d…
05-20 20:10:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0xd597cf…
05-20 20:10:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x62a8aa…
05-20 20:10:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x73b0eb…
05-20 20:08:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xbf086b…
05-20 20:07:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	33	75¢	$25	0x7de2f6…
05-20 20:07:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	37	68¢	$25	0x0ae6c3…
05-20 20:06:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	42	59¢	$25	0x8bbfe3…
05-20 20:06:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x529f7f…
05-20 20:05:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xfe3494…
05-20 20:05:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	37	68¢	$25	0x9b7d7e…
05-20 20:05:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	38	66¢	$25	0x713b70…
05-20 20:05:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	61	41¢	$25	0x7098cf…
05-20 19:59:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	22	8¢	$2	0x843c69…
05-20 19:59:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x1b1995…
05-20 19:59:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xba4c8f…
05-20 19:59:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xe59bc3…
05-20 19:59:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xd5be14…
05-20 19:59:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xb76ac0…
05-20 19:58:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xf4cec5…
05-20 19:58:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x896688…
05-20 19:58:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xc8f2a7…
05-20 19:58:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x903c39…
05-20 19:58:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x65d47a…
05-20 19:58:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x4b4e71…
05-20 19:58:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	SELL	91	19¢	$18	0x4fbdfc…
05-20 19:58:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x764619…
05-20 19:58:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xfcf286…
05-20 19:57:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x689c9a…
05-20 19:57:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x52eeaa…
05-20 19:57:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xf64dff…
05-20 19:57:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xaf0ea1…
05-20 19:57:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	37	67¢	$25	0xc73d94…
05-20 19:50:35	Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Alliance (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs	FaZe	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x6c882d…
05-20 19:49:39	Counter-Strike: B8 vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1	B8	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0xc35f47…
05-20 19:46:58	Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group B	B8	BUY	34	59¢	$20	0xfdc2f0…
05-20 19:46:46	Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group A	Legacy	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0x3248be…
05-20 19:45:34	Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs paiN (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group A	BC.Game Esports	BUY	39	38¢	$15	0x092362…
05-19 13:10:05	Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x06e646…
05-19 13:09:39	Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xc2b0aa…
05-19 13:09:25	Will Ashley Barrett die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x910615…
05-16 21:52:47	Will Moldova be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0xc09aa4…
05-16 16:58:16	Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x68338b…
05-16 16:57:27	Will Annie January (Starlight) die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	SELL	83	9¢	$7	0xe5609b…
05-16 16:57:18	Will Ryan Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	SELL	44	6¢	$3	0x8d40f2…
05-16 16:57:00	Will Ashley Barrett die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x509dd1…
05-15 10:25:03	Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xe71398…
05-15 10:21:42	Will Annie January (Starlight) die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	46	13¢	$6	0xc69eaa…
05-15 10:21:28	Will Ashley Barrett die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0x5ab1e0…
05-15 10:20:58	Will The Deep die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	SELL	18	16¢	$3	0x8c5cc9…
05-15 10:20:51	Will Frenchie die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	SELL	40	0¢	$0	0x439fc5…
05-12 19:19:55	Will Ukraine be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	71	70¢	$50	0xf9eb27…
05-12 12:43:25	Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	Yes	SELL	108	99¢	$107	0x46dc0a…
05-10 13:49:13	Will Ashley Barrett die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0x26086e…
05-10 13:49:04	Will Annie January (Starlight) die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	37	19¢	$7	0x68c40a…
05-10 13:48:57	Will Ryan Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	44	16¢	$7	0xa65d9f…
05-10 13:48:14	Will The Deep die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	18	33¢	$6	0xd6f723…
05-10 13:48:05	Will Frenchie die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	40	13¢	$5	0xe62dbc…
05-10 13:38:38	Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	Yes	BUY	67	75¢	$50	0xd3fb1f…
05-09 23:38:59	Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?	Yes	SELL	100	26¢	$26	0x77ccdf…
05-09 23:36:32	Will Ashley Barrett die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	35	29¢	$10	0xc35f0c…
05-09 23:31:45	Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	Yes	BUY	42	60¢	$25	0x610109…
05-09 23:31:19	Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	No	SELL	124	40¢	$50	0x925e2f…
05-08 06:20:07	Will Sister Sage die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	52	58¢	$30	0xb87539…
05-08 06:19:51	Will Ashley Barrett die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	30	34¢	$10	0x6cb835…
05-08 06:19:29	Will Ashley Barrett die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x4eca08…
05-08 06:19:16	Will Mother's Milk die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	SELL	121	34¢	$41	0xe61544…
05-08 06:18:12	Will Soldier Boy die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xf66b67…
05-08 06:17:47	Will The Deep die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	SELL	97	10¢	$10	0xeeaf55…
05-08 06:16:30	Will Ashley Barrett die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	61	33¢	$20	0xca4cf9…
05-08 06:15:25	Will Frenchie die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	SELL	117	9¢	$11	0x4795e4…
05-08 05:57:26	Will Hughie Campbell die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	80	82¢	$65	0xcd346e…
05-08 05:57:10	Will Soldier Boy die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x9cd1e7…
05-08 05:56:56	Will The Deep die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	97	21¢	$20	0x18b80a…
05-08 05:29:05	Will Annie January (Starlight) die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	SELL	118	17¢	$20	0x6b86f9…
05-04 19:15:08	Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	86	8¢	$7	0xeff328…
05-03 21:54:18	Will a player finish a BLAST Rivals Fort Worth 2026 play-offs map with over 40 kills?	Yes	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0x6961de…
05-03 21:53:30	Will there be a 1v5 ace clutch in the BLAST Rivals Fort Worth 2026 playoffs?	Yes	SELL	206	0¢	$1	0x02ad3b…
05-03 18:36:32	Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO5) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs	Natus Vincere	SELL	64	13¢	$8	0xc0e257…
05-03 18:33:24	Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner	Vitality	BUY	48	63¢	$30	0x2c2a62…
05-03 18:33:06	Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality - Map 1 Winner	Natus Vincere	SELL	29	9¢	$3	0xcb1fcf…
05-03 18:27:24	Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality - Map 1 Winner	Natus Vincere	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0x6aa6ef…
05-03 17:52:52	Will a team get 13-0'd at BLAST Rivals Fort Worth 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0xe154e3…
05-03 17:52:20	Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO5) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs	Natus Vincere	BUY	59	34¢	$20	0xc01ff4…
05-03 17:37:00	Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?	Yes	SELL	43	48¢	$21	0xba89bf…
05-03 17:36:42	Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	SELL	56	90¢	$50	0xa2af8d…
05-03 17:36:08	Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO5) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs	Natus Vincere	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x54cd9f…
05-03 17:35:20	Will there be a 1v5 ace clutch in the BLAST Rivals Fort Worth 2026 playoffs?	Yes	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x055bc9…