Realized P&L
+$6.07K
Unrealized P&L
-$893
Hit rate
82.7%
Resolved
66
Trades
896
lifetime
Volume
$101.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$114
Open exposure
$5.16K
13 positions
First seen
2026-04-13
last 10-27 22:01
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 27 days
Categories
Politics
60% 71% +$2,584
Other
35% 50% +$3,405
Tech
4% 100% +$633
Sports
1% 33% -$548
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
5 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +4,010 $2,667 66¢ $2.7K +$0 10-27 19:30
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -3,000 -$758 18¢ $-555 +$203 05-21 18:29
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +1,000 $492 41¢ $408 -$84 10-27 22:01
russia x ukraine ceasefire by december 31 2026 Yes +2,600 $864 14¢ $351 -$513 06-07 06:47
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No -349 -$318 96¢ $-335 -$17 06-24 19:41
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes -1,623 -$498 14¢ $-227 +$271 05-21 18:59
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes -570 -$465 39¢ $-223 +$242 09-05 10:27
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,210 $538 16¢ $200 -$338 06-07 06:46
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes +1,000 $250 8¢ $75 -$175 05-17 20:12
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes +2,600 $244 2¢ $51 -$193 05-17 20:33
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? No +230 $92 14¢ $33 -$59 05-01 03:32
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027? Yes -610 -$104 3¢ $-19 +$85 05-09 18:38
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? Yes +1,200 $331 1¢ $16 -$315 06-07 06:46