Striped-Mark — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4.42K

Unrealized P&L

+$201

Hit rate

49.4%

Resolved

24,514

Trades

71,612

lifetime

Volume

$461.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$16.0K

4 positions

First seen

2026-03-02

last 10-22 17:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 196 days

Categories

Crypto

85% 50% -$4,454

Politics

10% 50% -$158

Other

5% 53% +$191

Tech

0% 0% -$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

79 active days in 12wk • peak 323 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (23) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	+16,000	$12,790	82¢	$13.0K	+$250	05-13 19:05
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	+16,000	$3,040	18¢	$3.0K	-$80	05-07 12:51
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	-1,500	-$48	1¢	$-17	+$31	05-13 19:05
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	+0	$0	1¢	$0	+$0	05-08 17:50

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	48	$20.7K	35,000	3,000	+31,999	open	—	05-13 19:05
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	30	$10.9K	11,702	7,702	+4,000	Yes	-$158	05-13 15:52
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 5?	7	$8.8K	5,000	5,000	+0	Up	+$51	05-05 14:52
Will Juan Branco win the 2027 French presidential election?	6	$6.0K	3,020	3,020	+0	open	—	05-04 19:09
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	2	$5.2K	30,000	30,000	+0	open	—	05-13 19:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 22:35 UTC	122	$3.1K	3,088	3,088	+0	Up	+$62	04-21 22:35
Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election?	828	$2.2K	181,926	181,926	+0	open	—	05-14 10:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	279	$2.1K	4,501	0	+4,501	Down	+$106	05-06 07:07
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	2	$2.0K	4,000	0	+4,000	No	+$0	05-12 15:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	104	$1.8K	3,653	0	+3,653	Down	-$51	05-07 16:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	364	$1.8K	3,531	0	+3,531	Up	-$20	05-06 17:11
Will Yaël Braun-Pivet win the 2027 French presidential election?	6	$1.6K	181,443	181,443	+0	open	—	05-04 21:26
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-02 15:15 UTC	631	$1.4K	2,701	51	+2,650	Up	-$20	03-02 15:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	268	$1.3K	2,574	0	+2,574	Down	+$15	05-05 16:27
Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	3	$1.2K	110,297	110,297	-0	open	—	05-04 22:28
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?	11	$1.2K	2,516	2,516	+0	open	—	07-21 07:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	221	$1.1K	2,173	0	+2,173	Down	-$12	05-06 17:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	222	$992	1,957	0	+1,957	Down	-$4	05-05 16:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	206	$949	1,905	0	+1,905	Down	+$13	05-05 17:56
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 4?	7	$945	500	500	+0	Down	+$5	05-04 18:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	203	$939	1,878	0	+1,878	Up	+$11	05-05 17:12
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 5?	15	$900	566	436	+130	Up	+$8	05-05 18:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	186	$876	1,686	0	+1,686	Up	-$33	05-05 18:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-02 14:00 UTC	413	$865	1,718	0	+1,718	Up	-$6	03-02 14:11
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-02 14:15 UTC	367	$843	1,662	0	+1,662	Up	-$14	03-02 14:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	112	$765	1,551	0	+1,551	Down	-$27	05-06 15:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	95	$753	1,511	0	+1,511	Up	-$2	05-06 14:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	49	$752	1,440	0	+1,440	Down	-$31	05-07 15:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	130	$736	1,465	0	+1,465	Down	-$3	05-07 09:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	117	$723	1,421	0	+1,421	Up	-$7	05-07 09:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-22 17:57:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x882bb5…
10-22 14:45:14	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x16d558…
10-22 13:23:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xd94224…
10-22 11:46:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x5932fb…
10-22 11:02:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x71b951…
10-22 10:08:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x87590b…
10-22 10:08:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x01afd3…
10-22 09:40:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x6c3694…
10-22 09:31:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x456729…
10-22 09:30:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x9eaad5…
10-22 09:26:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-22 09:35 UTC	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x072e5c…
10-22 09:11:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-22 09:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xd9c456…
10-22 09:11:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-22 09:25 UTC	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x15db46…
10-22 09:11:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-22 09:20 UTC	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x9c4ed7…
10-22 09:08:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xa4aae1…
10-22 09:01:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xa19c24…
10-22 08:57:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xfb424f…
10-22 08:52:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x6de4de…
10-22 07:12:51	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x5364ee…
10-22 06:48:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x2b377d…
10-22 05:27:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x035017…
10-22 05:09:53	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 22, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x65efdf…
10-22 05:09:42	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xe2c8f2…
10-22 05:09:42	Solana Up or Down - October 22, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xdf1b6c…
10-22 05:09:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x35f0fa…
10-22 04:39:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xaf7fdb…
10-22 04:38:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xd092d9…
10-22 04:37:45	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x977cd4…
10-21 19:16:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x01adb3…
10-21 17:11:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x37e59a…
10-21 17:11:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xa20698…
10-21 17:11:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x551673…
10-21 16:55:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x67bfe2…
10-21 16:40:17	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xb0d8a7…
10-21 14:37:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xd2bf00…
10-21 13:15:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x16cc3f…
10-21 13:10:17	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x4bd604…
10-21 13:06:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xb08fa1…
10-21 13:01:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x215333…
10-21 13:01:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xaa270c…
10-21 13:00:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xa59105…
10-21 12:20:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	50¢	$0	0x7b0814…
10-21 12:06:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x3f39f8…
10-21 12:06:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x05ccaa…
10-21 12:06:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x92ae7c…
10-21 12:05:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xdaaa3b…
10-21 12:05:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x953a8e…
10-21 11:25:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	50¢	$0	0x0a848b…
10-21 10:47:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x13e32c…
10-21 10:46:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x424301…
10-21 10:46:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x62833e…
10-21 10:46:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xb8cba8…
10-21 10:45:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x343fcf…
10-21 09:20:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xeb8fb1…
10-21 09:20:14	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x24d4b7…
10-21 09:15:17	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-21 09:25 UTC	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x4a5be5…
10-21 09:15:03	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-21 09:25 UTC	Up	BUY	1	50¢	$0	0x8a6f51…
10-21 08:50:15	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-21 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xfe19b3…
10-21 08:00:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	50¢	$0	0x05ee1c…
10-21 04:03:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x8b5d8c…
10-21 02:50:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	50¢	$0	0x6fd130…
10-21 02:42:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xe4db05…
10-21 02:41:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x3710b3…
10-21 01:55:17	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xb4b5ea…
10-21 01:50:14	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x522ab1…
10-21 00:55:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	50¢	$0	0xe9ecc1…
10-21 00:35:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	50¢	$0	0xeb9f4f…
10-21 00:30:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	50¢	$0	0x7bcf97…
10-21 00:25:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	50¢	$0	0x707425…
10-20 23:52:20	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xc9eb58…
10-20 22:25:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	50¢	$0	0x39fed4…
10-20 22:20:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	50¢	$0	0xe5e5e3…
10-20 21:10:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	50¢	$0	0xd3e1fc…
10-20 21:05:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	50¢	$0	0xbdbb70…
10-20 21:00:14	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x157bec…
10-20 21:00:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	50¢	$0	0x04da19…
10-20 19:52:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	50¢	$0	0x5413e5…
10-20 16:47:48	Solana Up or Down - October 20, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x6a9029…
10-20 15:32:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xc12839…
10-20 15:24:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x031f90…
10-20 15:18:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x388ce5…
10-20 14:56:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xbd51e5…
10-20 14:45:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xa26190…
10-20 14:43:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xa1f382…
10-20 14:15:14	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x29eef1…
10-20 14:12:24	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x7d627f…
10-20 14:10:15	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x356cb8…
10-20 14:10:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xc4d9af…
10-20 14:10:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x17e6c5…
10-20 12:45:15	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xae34c0…
10-20 12:31:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x158942…
10-20 12:21:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x6f71e2…
10-20 12:10:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xbc2f37…
10-20 12:09:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	50¢	$1	0xaacb57…
10-20 12:08:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x8f3a56…
10-20 11:37:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x3673b2…
10-20 11:16:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x6e8f24…
10-20 11:16:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xf157c8…
10-20 11:16:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xc73a1c…
10-20 10:55:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x88da60…