Burdensome-Sun — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$178

Unrealized P&L

-$461

Hit rate

57.8%

Resolved

Trades

201

lifetime

Volume

$30.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$151

Open exposure

$262

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-14

last 10-31 12:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 43 days

Categories

Other

71% 48% +$1,715

Crypto

15% 75% -$489

Sports

13% 62% -$1,291

Politics

1% 33% -$113

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+2,610	$900	5¢	$132	-$768	07-31 14:18
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	+105	$100	97¢	$102	+$2	10-28 18:10
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+268	-$278	11¢	$28	+$306	09-02 10:27

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	7	$4.7K	2,739	2,739	+0	Yes	+$699	04-20 18:49
Konyaspor vs. Trabzonspor: O/U 3.5	1	$1.9K	5,700	0	+5,700	Under	-$1,881	04-27 09:41
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	23	$1.8K	2,037	1,769	+268	open	—	09-02 10:27
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 200 219	1	$1.7K	2,466	0	+2,466	Yes	-$1,679	04-22 21:00
Club Santos Laguna vs. CF Monterrey: O/U 3.5	1	$1.6K	3,890	0	+3,890	Under	-$1,634	04-26 20:18
Colorado Rockies vs. New York Mets	1	$1.5K	2,305	0	+2,305	Colorado Rockies	-$1,545	04-24 18:21
elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 40 64	5	$1.4K	2,568	0	+2,568	Yes	+$1,124	04-21 12:53
Leeds United FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 3.5	3	$1.4K	4,100	0	+4,100	Over	+$2,665	04-28 16:55
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	1	$1.2K	2,215	0	+2,215	No	+$968	03-11 19:24
Córdoba CF vs. Real Sporting de Gijón: O/U 3.5	5	$1.1K	3,207	0	+3,207	Over	+$2,078	04-26 11:50
nba ind mil 2026 02 06	1	$1.1K	2,060	0	+2,060	Bucks	-$1,112	02-06 21:05
ucl gal liv1 2026 03 10 draw	1	$1.1K	1,400	0	+1,400	No	+$308	03-10 08:07
CF Montréal vs. New York City FC: O/U 3.5	2	$1.1K	3,752	0	+3,752	Under	-$1,088	04-25 18:46
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	1	$1.1K	1,112	0	+1,112	Yes	+$51	01-14 13:22
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	7	$900	2,610	0	+2,610	open	—	07-31 14:18
Flying Tulip FDV above $400M one day after launch?	2	$626	1,606	0	+1,606	Yes	-$626	02-08 10:42
nba gsw uta 2026 03 09	2	$618	1,933	0	+1,933	Jazz	+$1,315	03-09 14:27
fifwc can mar 2026 07 04 team to advance	2	$500	694	0	+694	Morocco	+$194	07-04 15:40
will bitcoin reach 65k in july 2026	7	$360	312	245	+68	Yes	+$87	07-10 15:28
fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 team to advance	6	$267	246	138	+108	Argentina	-$1	07-07 17:50
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	2	$228	158	158	+0	Yes	-$2	07-28 06:11
will kylian mbappe score 5 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611144023006	2	$215	186	80	+106	Yes	+$22	06-30 16:44
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$212	284	284	+0	No	+$12	07-14 10:04
squid fdv above 50m one day after launch 893	2	$209	115	115	+0	Yes	+$11	08-04 13:28
over 5m committed to the laso finance public sale	2	$202	156	156	+0	Yes	+$2	06-30 20:07
over 3m committed to the laso finance public sale	2	$199	120	120	+0	Yes	-$1	06-30 20:07
Will England vs. DR Congo end in a draw?	2	$175	179	134	+45	No	-$25	07-01 17:44
us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	3	$139	1,400	0	+1,400	Yes	-$139	08-12 11:36
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	2	$134	607	0	+607	No	-$134	05-22 19:09
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	2	$125	417	417	+0	open	—	08-30 18:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 12:59:49	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	107	71¢	$76	0xe39ca7…
10-28 18:10:01	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0x4f278c…
10-28 18:09:38	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	155	27¢	$42	0xfd8fce…
10-25 09:44:14	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x432104…
10-24 16:43:56	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	98	51¢	$50	0x7b1192…
10-22 15:17:36	Trabzonspor leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	61	59¢	$36	0xbd20ce…
10-20 10:25:18	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	36	50¢	$18	0x97f544…
10-20 08:43:56	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0x2694f7…
10-19 18:45:51	Trabzonspor vs. Beşiktaş JK: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0xcf5a0c…
10-19 18:21:21	Exact Score: Trabzonspor 1 - 2 Beşiktaş JK?	Yes	SELL	56	7¢	$4	0x09580d…
10-19 16:59:48	Exact Score: Trabzonspor 1 - 2 Beşiktaş JK?	Yes	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x94b7c8…
10-19 16:58:53	Trabzonspor vs. Beşiktaş JK: Beşiktaş JK O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0xdb8dd8…
10-19 15:03:18	Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-19?	Yes	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0xa09181…
10-19 15:03:11	Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-19?	Yes	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x39b03d…
10-19 15:02:44	Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-10-19?	Yes	BUY	24	17¢	$4	0x8d14bd…
10-19 15:02:12	Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-10-19?	Yes	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xd556c3…
10-19 15:01:30	Parma Calcio 1913 vs. Torino FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xa55fba…
10-18 15:44:06	Will Le Havre AC win on 2026-10-18?	Yes	BUY	16	38¢	$6	0xe597af…
10-18 15:40:41	Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-10-18?	Yes	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x5d970b…
10-18 15:39:54	Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-10-18?	Yes	BUY	16	45¢	$7	0x380662…
10-18 14:08:59	Will AFC Bournemouth vs. Sunderland AFC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	70	10¢	$7	0xeda7fd…
10-18 13:26:30	Will AFC Bournemouth vs. Sunderland AFC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x33a283…
10-18 13:26:08	Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-10-18?	Yes	SELL	22	87¢	$19	0x9a8202…
10-17 10:11:39	Will Amed Sportif win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	BUY	28	53¢	$15	0x198006…
10-17 10:04:42	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	BUY	19	59¢	$11	0xf4e2b6…
10-17 10:02:53	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x290606…
10-17 10:02:23	Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-10-18?	Yes	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x632d6d…
10-17 10:01:51	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	BUY	18	34¢	$6	0xaa9b80…
10-17 10:01:14	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	BUY	18	33¢	$6	0x0e0cfe…
10-15 18:20:35	Will Ferencvárosi TC win on 2026-10-15?	Yes	BUY	28	53¢	$15	0x56a2ff…
09-02 10:27:13	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	463	26¢	$120	0xdd3565…
08-30 18:43:13	Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 TOUR Championship?	Yes	BUY	44	55¢	$24	0x2c3634…
08-30 18:42:31	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	417	6¢	$25	0x5dfc45…
08-30 18:41:45	Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 TOUR Championship?	Yes	BUY	40	55¢	$22	0x9deb58…
08-30 18:41:01	Will Ink launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	76	32¢	$24	0x189298…
08-30 08:55:19	Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 TOUR Championship?	Yes	BUY	241	21¢	$51	0x6d9174…
08-30 08:45:42	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	247	22¢	$54	0xa053c4…
08-29 11:27:52	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	592	23¢	$136	0x24d8b7…
08-29 11:27:03	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	65	43¢	$28	0xc2ffb3…
08-25 16:43:27	Will Ink launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	152	20¢	$30	0x3d829a…
08-25 16:43:15	Will Ink launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x55a50f…
08-25 16:43:03	Will Ink launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	59	51¢	$30	0x04bb1d…
08-19 15:52:21	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	399	48¢	$191	0x9c9ac2…
08-12 11:36:43	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	BUY	467	1¢	$7	0xb1e752…
08-12 11:36:34	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	BUY	361	1¢	$5	0xfb373c…
08-05 17:58:06	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	BUY	400	13¢	$52	0x08d09a…
08-05 17:46:57	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	BUY	533	15¢	$80	0x27b204…
08-05 12:18:35	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	65	46¢	$30	0x5a4403…
08-04 13:28:17	squid fdv above 50m one day after launch 893	Yes	SELL	115	96¢	$110	0xe98297…
08-04 10:13:23	squid fdv above 50m one day after launch 893	Yes	BUY	115	86¢	$99	0xb077cc…
08-04 10:12:17	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	177	57¢	$100	0xef34af…
07-31 14:18:38	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	417	24¢	$100	0xaccc5a…
07-31 14:18:24	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	833	36¢	$300	0x6b9a2d…
07-28 06:12:49	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	700	34¢	$238	0xad8930…
07-28 06:11:04	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	158	72¢	$113	0x0f148d…
07-27 16:19:09	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	158	73¢	$115	0x2ce2d3…
07-20 20:02:30	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	32¢	$64	0x06b0f1…
07-17 13:47:01	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	189	53¢	$100	0xa3a67c…
07-17 13:45:30	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	88	34¢	$30	0x3665fe…
07-17 13:35:09	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	34¢	$68	0x1f5533…
07-17 10:42:36	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	294	34¢	$100	0xdb9e09…
07-17 10:41:37	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	94	53¢	$50	0xf39254…
07-17 10:39:36	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	294	34¢	$100	0xc0eb8f…
07-17 04:50:34	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	196	51¢	$100	0xb62439…
07-15 19:51:13	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 btts	Yes	SELL	75	26¢	$20	0x17f585…
07-15 16:11:37	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 btts	Yes	BUY	75	53¢	$40	0x298972…
07-15 16:10:37	will bitcoin dip to 55k in july 2026 381	No	SELL	20	95¢	$19	0xcb03d2…
07-15 08:07:17	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	50¢	$20	0x9802dd…
07-14 15:01:37	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	55¢	$55	0xcbb8da…
07-14 14:11:50	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	89	56¢	$50	0xf3f42c…
07-14 10:04:22	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	284	39¢	$112	0x91fe70…
07-11 21:49:55	Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?	No	SELL	50	81¢	$40	0x82e09c…
07-11 21:40:17	Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?	No	BUY	50	57¢	$28	0x0e573a…
07-11 20:41:41	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 team total home 0pt5	Over	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0xf421ef…
07-11 13:58:04	will british or norwegian airways swap logos on instagram 20260710162631182	No	BUY	209	5¢	$10	0xf150db…
07-10 15:28:43	will bitcoin reach 65k in july 2026	Yes	SELL	68	85¢	$57	0xd41ca1…
07-10 04:27:44	will bitcoin reach 65k in july 2026	Yes	SELL	45	83¢	$37	0xa6a6e8…
07-07 22:49:28	fifwc che col 2026 07 07 team to advance	Switzerland	BUY	23	86¢	$20	0xb3a748…
07-07 22:48:35	fifwc che col 2026 07 07 team to advance	Colombia	SELL	82	12¢	$10	0x68ec04…
07-07 17:50:35	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 team to advance	Argentina	SELL	36	78¢	$28	0x998632…
07-07 17:28:53	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 team to advance	Argentina	SELL	102	50¢	$51	0xfc058d…
07-07 17:08:47	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	55	64¢	$35	0xb2e5ed…
07-07 16:19:10	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	25	70¢	$18	0x7e3771…
07-07 16:18:05	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	50	71¢	$36	0x239371…
07-07 13:41:25	fifwc che col 2026 07 07 team to advance	Colombia	BUY	82	61¢	$50	0xb6a799…
07-07 08:12:25	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	116	86¢	$100	0x7825d5…
07-07 05:41:29	will bitcoin reach 65k in july 2026	Yes	SELL	40	74¢	$30	0xc765a0…
07-05 22:16:07	fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 team to advance	Mexico	BUY	80	50¢	$40	0x08789c…
07-05 05:04:35	will bitcoin reach 65k in july 2026	Yes	SELL	14	71¢	$10	0xdced26…
07-05 05:04:19	will bitcoin reach 65k in july 2026	Yes	SELL	78	71¢	$55	0x46cf72…
07-05 05:03:55	fifwc usa bel 2026 07 06 team to advance	United States	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x2b3e6b…
07-05 05:03:10	fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 team to advance	Brazil	BUY	71	70¢	$50	0xf3fe17…
07-04 22:45:17	fifwc par fra 2026 07 04 team total home 0pt5	Over	SELL	36	12¢	$4	0xdeb858…
07-04 17:15:46	fifwc can mar 2026 07 04 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	4	89¢	$4	0x225ec5…
07-04 17:15:22	fifwc can mar 2026 07 04 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	23	64¢	$15	0x86cb83…
07-04 15:40:43	fifwc can mar 2026 07 04 team to advance	Morocco	BUY	139	72¢	$100	0x46b30a…
07-04 15:37:53	fifwc can mar 2026 07 04 team to advance	Morocco	BUY	556	72¢	$400	0x2ce6e7…
07-04 15:29:35	fifwc par fra 2026 07 04 team total away 1pt5	Over	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0xc5347c…
07-04 15:29:17	fifwc par fra 2026 07 04 team total home 0pt5	Over	BUY	36	42¢	$15	0xa9af51…
07-04 15:28:20	fifwc par fra 2026 07 04 goals kylian mbappe gte1	Yes	BUY	38	65¢	$25	0x8def51…