Realized P&L
-$183
Unrealized P&L
-$48
Hit rate
5.7%
Resolved
30
Trades
315
lifetime
Volume
$10.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$34
Open exposure
$794
13 positions
First seen
2026-04-16
last 11-02 20:19
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 25 days
Categories
Other
74% 11% -$126
Tech
13% 0% -$20
Crypto
7% 0% -$13
Politics
6% 29% -$24
Sports
0% 0% —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
38 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490? No +233 $182 86¢ $200 +$18 11-01 02:27
Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028? No +257 $180 70¢ $179 -$1 10-21 20:54
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027? No +162 $105 92¢ $148 +$43 10-14 12:32
Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028? Yes +257 $80 30¢ $78 -$1 10-21 20:54
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +50 $48 98¢ $49 +$1 09-28 13:20
Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31? No +54 $51 84¢ $46 -$6 10-23 17:30
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31? No +38 $26 90¢ $34 +$9 10-06 22:29
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490? Yes +233 $64 14¢ $34 -$30 11-01 02:27
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027? Yes +161 $61 8¢ $14 -$47 10-14 12:32
Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31? Yes +50 $14 16¢ $8 -$6 10-23 17:29
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31? Yes +38 $16 10¢ $4 -$12 10-06 23:31
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes +50 $2 2¢ $1 -$1 09-28 13:20
Will Oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027? No +0 $14 86¢ $0 -$14 10-30 10:44