Realized P&L
+$38
Unrealized P&L
+$78
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
10
Trades
3,666
lifetime
Volume
$266.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$73
Open exposure
$3.87K
14 positions
First seen
2026-02-27
last 06-30 00:20
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 7 days
Categories
Other
62% 100% +$8
Politics
22% 100% +$30
Crypto
12% 100% +$0
Tech
3%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
57 active days in 12wk • peak 419 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? No +631 $617 100¢ $630 +$14 06-23 23:29
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No +602 $586 100¢ $601 +$15 06-20 00:24
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? No +527 $516 100¢ $527 +$11 06-08 13:22
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026? Yes +476 $466 100¢ $475 +$9 06-30 00:20
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? No +372 $363 100¢ $371 +$9 06-14 15:20
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? No +326 $319 100¢ $326 +$7 06-21 09:04
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No +258 $245 100¢ $257 +$12 06-17 05:40
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026? No -155 $-155 100¢ $-155 $-0 06-03 22:39
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? No -136 $-134 100¢ $-136 $-1 06-04 21:13
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026? No -134 $-133 100¢ $-134 $-1 06-01 19:49
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +94 $91 100¢ $94 +$2 06-08 12:30
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026? No -72 $-71 100¢ $-72 $-1 06-01 16:26
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? No +47 $45 100¢ $47 +$2 06-17 15:53
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? No +45 $45 100¢ $45 +$0 06-21 14:05