Realized P&L
+$17
Unrealized P&L
+$29
Hit rate
48.8%
Resolved
4
Trades
109
lifetime
Volume
$4.99K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$46
Open exposure
$638
25 positions
First seen
2026-02-27
last 05-31 08:11
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Other
43% 50% +$1
Crypto
39%
Politics
18% 50% +$16
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
16 active days in 12wk • peak 29 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December? Yes -3,736 $-282 $-243 +$40 05-31 08:03
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No -108 $-76 90¢ $-98 $-22 05-31 08:04
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes -596 $-83 14¢ $-80 +$3 05-31 08:04
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? Yes -189 $-38 20¢ $-39 $-0 05-31 08:05
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of December? Yes -752 $-32 $-30 +$1 05-31 08:05
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No -31 $-22 84¢ $-26 $-5 05-31 08:06
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No -30 $-17 62¢ $-18 $-2 05-31 08:06
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes -245 $-16 $-18 $-2 05-31 08:06
Xi Jinping out before 2027? Yes -143 $-11 $-11 $-0 05-31 08:06
Hantavirus outbreak by June 30? No -11 $-11 98¢ $-11 $-0 05-31 08:07
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? Yes -167 $-10 $-11 $-1 05-31 08:06
US military draft authorized in 2026? Yes -100 $-7 $-8 $-1 05-31 08:09
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? Yes -62 $-6 11¢ $-7 $-1 05-31 08:09
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes -22 $-10 30¢ $-7 +$4 05-31 08:07
Hantavirus vaccine in 2026? Yes -91 $-5 $-5 +$0 05-31 08:10
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? Yes -83 $-7 $-5 +$2 05-31 08:09
Will XRP reach $5.00 by December 31, 2026? Yes -87 $-5 $-4 +$1 05-31 08:10
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? Yes -333 $-5 $-4 +$1 05-31 08:10
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? Yes -125 $-5 $-4 +$1 05-31 08:10
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes -22 $-6 16¢ $-3 +$3 05-31 08:09
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June? Yes -111 $-3 $-2 +$1 05-31 08:10
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? Yes -167 $-3 $-2 +$2 05-31 08:10
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No -1 $-1 95¢ $-1 $-0 05-31 08:11
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? Yes -2 $-1 48¢ $-1 +$0 05-31 08:11
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,500 by end of June? Yes -355 $-4 $-1 +$3 05-31 08:10