Magnificent-Inglenook — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$17

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

48.8%

Resolved

Trades

109

lifetime

Volume

$4.99K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$46

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-27

last 05-31 08:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

43% 50% +$1

Crypto

39% — —

Politics

18% 50% +$16

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 29 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	4	$385	265	265	+0	open	—	05-31 08:03
btc updown 5m 1772384100	1	$300	337	0	+337	open	—	03-01 16:59
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December?	1	$282	0	3,736	-3,736	open	—	05-31 08:03
btc updown 5m 1772394900	1	$259	275	0	+275	open	—	03-01 19:59
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 18?	3	$211	688	0	+688	open	—	05-18 00:38
btc updown 5m 1772380800	1	$200	206	0	+206	open	—	03-01 16:03
Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on May 18?	1	$200	588	0	+588	open	—	05-18 00:39
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$121	72	72	+0	open	—	05-31 08:05
Japan declassifies new UFO files in 2026?	1	$112	0	809	-809	open	—	05-31 08:03
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	1	$110	786	0	+786	open	—	04-19 17:14
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	1	$110	464	0	+464	open	—	03-02 15:34
will the us next strike iran on march 1 2026 et	2	$110	2,893	0	+2,893	open	—	02-28 06:55
will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	2	$110	1,777	0	+1,777	open	—	03-02 21:55
will the us next strike iran on february 28 2026 et	2	$101	564	564	+0	open	—	02-28 08:01
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	2	$101	769	769	+0	open	—	02-28 08:00
will bitcoin dip to 25k in march 2026	1	$100	12,605	0	+12,605	open	—	03-02 09:44
iran strike on israel by february 28	1	$100	125	0	+125	open	—	02-28 06:36
btc updown 5m 1772394600	1	$100	337	0	+337	open	—	03-01 19:54
xrp updown 4h 1772355600	1	$100	177	0	+177	open	—	03-01 09:43
eth updown 5m 1772382600	1	$100	147	0	+147	open	—	03-01 16:32
will israel or the us target tehran 812	1	$100	103	0	+103	open	—	02-28 06:53
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,650 in May?	1	$100	146	0	+146	open	—	05-20 12:07
xrp updown 15m 1772381700	1	$100	106	0	+106	open	—	03-01 16:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	1	$100	102	0	+102	open	—	05-19 01:23
bitcoin up or down march 1 10am et	1	$100	100	0	+100	open	—	03-01 15:53
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	1	$83	0	596	-596	open	—	05-31 08:04
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	1	$76	0	108	-108	open	—	05-31 08:04
btc updown 5m 1772487600	1	$70	73	0	+73	open	—	03-02 21:44
xrp updown 5m 1773683700	1	$60	61	0	+61	open	—	03-16 17:59
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	1	$51	96	0	+96	open	—	05-18 14:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-31 08:11:48	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0x0bbf57…
05-31 08:11:41	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x7d98b8…
05-31 08:10:50	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	111	3¢	$3	0xfa8502…
05-31 08:10:43	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	SELL	167	2¢	$3	0x4aec5b…
05-31 08:10:33	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,500 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	355	1¢	$4	0xb322b8…
05-31 08:10:22	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	Yes	SELL	333	1¢	$5	0x746272…
05-31 08:10:15	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	SELL	125	4¢	$5	0xc0ae6c…
05-31 08:10:08	Will XRP reach $5.00 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	87	6¢	$5	0x4279ff…
05-31 08:10:01	Hantavirus vaccine in 2026?	Yes	SELL	91	6¢	$5	0x669229…
05-31 08:09:54	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	22	29¢	$6	0x9e5326…
05-31 08:09:47	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	Yes	SELL	62	10¢	$6	0xdfc5af…
05-31 08:09:40	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	Yes	SELL	83	8¢	$7	0x7eff56…
05-31 08:09:26	US military draft authorized in 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	7¢	$7	0x5e499e…
05-31 08:09:16	Ebola pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	11	90¢	$10	0x044688…
05-31 08:07:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	22	47¢	$10	0x21bd58…
05-31 08:07:20	Hantavirus outbreak by June 30?	No	SELL	11	97¢	$11	0x690560…
05-31 08:06:59	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	143	8¢	$11	0xb43ed1…
05-31 08:06:52	Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	167	6¢	$10	0x37051b…
05-31 08:06:45	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	245	6¢	$16	0x968496…
05-31 08:06:37	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	30	57¢	$17	0x5e5318…
05-31 08:06:30	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	31	70¢	$22	0x6312f6…
05-31 08:05:18	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?	Yes	SELL	189	20¢	$38	0x8abd0a…
05-31 08:05:11	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of December?	Yes	SELL	752	4¢	$32	0x9abc60…
05-31 08:05:02	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	72	98¢	$71	0xa2638c…
05-31 08:04:53	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	108	70¢	$76	0xcc6071…
05-31 08:04:04	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	SELL	596	14¢	$83	0xf943c1…
05-31 08:03:57	Japan declassifies new UFO files in 2026?	Yes	SELL	809	14¢	$112	0xa0341c…
05-31 08:03:50	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	265	100¢	$265	0xeacb6c…
05-31 08:03:43	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December?	Yes	SELL	3,736	8¢	$282	0x92002f…
05-20 13:53:11	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in May?	No	BUY	63	48¢	$30	0x84275f…
05-20 12:07:20	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,650 in May?	No	BUY	146	69¢	$100	0x0371ac…
05-19 01:23:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x1622ac…
05-18 14:28:23	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,900 in May?	Yes	BUY	167	6¢	$10	0xe777c0…
05-18 14:28:12	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 in May?	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x4ca6c9…
05-18 14:26:03	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	96	53¢	$51	0x3f204d…
05-18 00:39:28	Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on May 18?	Up	BUY	588	34¢	$200	0xe0c3f1…
05-18 00:38:42	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 18?	Up	BUY	333	30¢	$100	0x896d75…
05-18 00:38:42	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 18?	Up	BUY	333	30¢	$100	0x3d456b…
05-16 06:16:22	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 18?	Up	BUY	22	51¢	$11	0xeb51a3…
05-16 06:11:56	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 in May?	Yes	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x636924…
05-12 06:13:30	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	2,000	0¢	$10	0x5a0d97…
05-12 06:12:23	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $96 in May?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x73c9e3…
05-12 06:08:48	Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit?	Yes	BUY	40	15¢	$6	0x15fc4e…
05-10 00:54:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	39	77¢	$30	0x8546cb…
05-09 16:26:02	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Ben Shelton	Nikoloz Basilashvili	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0xb68995…
05-09 16:13:24	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	BUY	400	2¢	$10	0x608268…
05-09 16:10:27	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	11,000	0¢	$11	0x960b2e…
04-28 09:05:30	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on April 28?	Up	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0xeb02a7…
04-24 08:15:52	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on April 24?	Down	BUY	56	54¢	$30	0x9e4c29…
04-23 05:26:58	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,900 in April?	Yes	BUY	44	23¢	$10	0x322af9…
04-23 05:26:42	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,500 in April?	Yes	BUY	39	26¢	$10	0x014797…
04-23 04:57:56	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	No	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x453972…
04-23 04:57:32	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	No	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x905744…
04-23 04:56:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	70	57¢	$40	0x037f2c…
04-23 04:55:38	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	72	69¢	$50	0xb6c455…
04-22 16:55:46	xauusd up or down on april 23 2026	Down	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0x9c1983…
04-22 16:52:54	btc updown 4h 1776873600	Up	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0x294796…
04-22 16:49:50	btc updown 5m 1776876300	Up	BUY	36	84¢	$30	0x7d4e5c…
04-21 04:31:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	156	32¢	$50	0xdf318d…
04-20 05:29:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0xca17e1…
04-19 18:24:14	xrp updown 5m 1776622800	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x2eb64b…
04-19 18:16:56	highest temperature in kuala lumpur on april 20 2026 33c	Yes	BUY	24	25¢	$6	0x4dea97…
04-19 18:09:22	trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 21 2026	No	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x8faf6c…
04-19 17:26:26	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	No	BUY	31	64¢	$20	0x152398…
04-19 17:22:50	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	41	73¢	$30	0x39a0fc…
04-19 17:16:48	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x202366…
04-19 17:14:02	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	No	BUY	786	14¢	$110	0x2def18…
04-19 09:46:12	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0xe8d158…
03-18 19:55:33	xrp updown 5m 1773863700	Up	BUY	43	47¢	$20	0x92f046…
03-18 19:52:17	xrp updown 5m 1773863400	Down	BUY	84	59¢	$50	0xae1f23…
03-18 19:46:57	xrp updown 5m 1773863100	Up	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x706a1a…
03-18 19:40:55	xrp updown 5m 1773862800	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x77b805…
03-18 19:36:55	xrp updown 5m 1773862500	Down	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x454f48…
03-18 19:31:37	xrp updown 5m 1773862200	Down	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x0847c2…
03-18 19:27:51	xrp updown 5m 1773861900	Up	BUY	35	29¢	$10	0x7bb906…
03-18 19:16:41	xrp updown 5m 1773861300	Up	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0xa09257…
03-18 19:11:53	xrp updown 5m 1773861000	Up	BUY	330	9¢	$30	0x0c2cff…
03-18 19:07:47	xrp updown 5m 1773860700	Up	BUY	70	43¢	$30	0x53063e…
03-18 19:00:55	xrp updown 5m 1773860400	Down	BUY	65	31¢	$20	0x83d980…
03-18 18:58:53	xrp updown 5m 1773860100	Down	BUY	23	87¢	$20	0x9d6841…
03-16 17:59:43	xrp updown 5m 1773683700	Up	BUY	61	99¢	$60	0x09f5b5…
03-16 17:29:39	eth updown 5m 1773681900	Down	BUY	57	88¢	$50	0x70b253…
03-16 17:19:57	xrp updown 5m 1773681300	Up	BUY	68	44¢	$30	0xb5d3e7…
03-02 21:55:11	will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	Yes	BUY	110	9¢	$10	0xd9aae2…
03-02 21:54:03	will ethereum dip to 1000 in march 2026	Yes	BUY	341	3¢	$11	0x1ee05d…
03-02 21:51:39	iranhezbollah strike on cyprus by march 7	Yes	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x6b3fa9…
03-02 21:44:33	btc updown 5m 1772487600	Down	BUY	73	96¢	$70	0xa53321…
03-02 15:34:23	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	BUY	464	24¢	$110	0x785d49…
03-02 10:05:17	will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	Yes	BUY	1,667	6¢	$100	0x95fdd3…
03-02 09:44:41	will bitcoin dip to 25k in march 2026	Yes	BUY	12,605	1¢	$100	0x007e5e…
03-01 19:59:51	btc updown 5m 1772394900	Up	BUY	275	94¢	$259	0x0342f8…
03-01 19:54:47	btc updown 5m 1772394600	Down	BUY	337	30¢	$100	0x9e39a5…
03-01 16:59:27	btc updown 5m 1772384100	Up	BUY	337	89¢	$300	0x0b3e37…
03-01 16:32:19	eth updown 5m 1772382600	Down	BUY	147	68¢	$100	0x7c2981…
03-01 16:29:59	xrp updown 15m 1772381700	Up	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0x9fb414…
03-01 16:03:35	btc updown 5m 1772380800	Up	BUY	206	97¢	$200	0xea0d5d…
03-01 15:53:47	bitcoin up or down march 1 10am et	Up	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x5e019d…
03-01 09:43:13	xrp updown 4h 1772355600	Up	BUY	177	56¢	$100	0x330b7e…
03-01 05:39:35	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	Yes	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x995673…
02-28 08:01:43	will the us next strike iran on february 28 2026 et	No	SELL	564	0¢	$1	0xaad17c…