Realized P&L
-$8
Unrealized P&L
+$20
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved
1
Trades
2,125
lifetime
Volume
$19.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$9
Open exposure
$122
10 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-12 03:47
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
54%
Politics
46% 0% $-8
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
81 active days in 12wk • peak 38 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes -400 $-77 12¢ $-50 +$27 06-11 17:53
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? Yes +2,972 $52 $40 $-12 06-12 03:47
Will a country leave BRICS in 2026? Yes -88 $-13 12¢ $-10 +$3 06-12 01:45
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026? Yes -204 $-6 $-7 $-1 06-12 15:25
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? Yes +30 $3 12¢ $3 +$0 06-08 23:45
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +20 $3 16¢ $3 $-0 06-07 07:35
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026? Yes -348 $-6 $-3 +$4 06-11 19:04
NATO article 5 before 2027? Yes +20 $3 $2 $-1 05-29 12:38
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by June 30, 2026? Yes +100 $1 $2 +$0 06-11 06:30
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026? Yes -200 $-2 $-2 +$0 06-08 11:19