Realized P&L (7d)
+$120
Unrealized P&L
+$268
Hit rate
37.2%
Resolved (7d)
11
Trades (7d)
34
932 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$7.44K
$44.1K lifetime
Avg / trade
$47
Open exposure
$8.45K
12 positions
First seen
2026-07-06
last 11-01 07:53
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 29 days
Categories
Other
94% 65% +$221
Tech
3% 0% -$18
Crypto
2% 46% +$62
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
45 active days in 12wk • peak 264 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +7,862 $7,490 98¢ $7.7K +$211 10-28 16:34
Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027? No +360 $306 88¢ $315 +$9 11-01 07:53
Will a team from LEC (Europe / EMEA) win LoL Worlds 2026? No +103 $96 98¢ $101 +$5 07-31 10:50
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +103 $76 91¢ $94 +$18 10-22 05:30
Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31? Anthropic +100 $92 92¢ $92 +$0 10-22 05:43
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? Yes +80 $44 83¢ $66 +$22 10-19 00:33
Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026? Yes +49 $28 91¢ $45 +$17 10-19 03:40
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +50 $34 38¢ $19 -$15 10-29 22:30
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANT? Yes +13 $10 98¢ $12 +$2 10-23 16:07
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +100 $5 5¢ $5 +$0 10-20 18:11
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? Yes +10 $20 30¢ $3 -$17 10-30 21:46
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +0 -$18 98¢ $0 +$18 10-05 19:16