(anonymous) 0xc8c97f…66a94a Create alert
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Realized P&L (30d)
+$285
Unrealized P&L
+$353
Hit rate
49.1%
Resolved (30d)
123
Trades (30d)
474
975 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$13.4K
$44.9K lifetime
Avg / trade
$46
Open exposure
$9.43K
18 positions
First seen
2026-07-06
last 11-10 23:28
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 32 days
Categories
Other
93% 65% +$205
Tech
3% 0% -$18
Crypto
3% 45% +$88
Politics
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
51 active days in 12wk • peak 264 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +8,062 $7,686 99¢ $7.9K +$259 11-03 23:37
Will Resident Evil Requiem win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards? No +400 $345 94¢ $378 +$33 10-09 22:51
Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027? No +361 $308 88¢ $320 +$12 11-06 13:14
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +200 $165 83¢ $165 +$0 11-08 11:10
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +103 $76 98¢ $101 +$25 10-22 05:30
Will Phantom Blade Zero win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards? No +100 $92 95¢ $95 +$3 11-04 02:32
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027? No +100 $93 92¢ $92 $0 11-08 11:10
Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31? Anthropic +100 $92 86¢ $86 -$6 10-22 05:43
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? Yes +80 $44 98¢ $78 +$34 10-19 00:33
Claude 6 released by June 30, 2027? Yes +85 $59 67¢ $57 -$2 11-10 23:28
Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026? Yes +49 $28 98¢ $48 +$20 10-19 03:40
Claude 6 released by March 31, 2027? No +51 $35 69¢ $35 $0 11-10 23:28
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANT? Yes +13 $10 99¢ $12 +$2 10-23 16:07
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +50 $34 23¢ $12 -$23 10-29 22:30
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +100 $5 2¢ $2 -$3 10-20 18:11
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? Yes +10 $20 16¢ $2 -$19 10-30 21:46
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? Yes +50 $2 1¢ $1 -$1 10-30 00:50
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +0 -$18 99¢ $0 +$18 10-05 19:16