(anonymous) 0xc8c97f…66a94a Create alert
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Realized P&L (30d)
+$296
Unrealized P&L
+$279
Hit rate
54.1%
Resolved (30d)
124
Trades (30d)
484
972 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$14.6K
$44.8K lifetime
Avg / trade
$46
Open exposure
$9.24K
18 positions
First seen
2026-07-06
last 11-08 22:46
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 32 days
Categories
Other
94% 64% +$187
Tech
3% 0% -$18
Crypto
3% 45% +$88
Politics
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
50 active days in 12wk • peak 264 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +8,062 $7,686 98¢ $7.9K +$235 11-03 23:37
Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027? No +361 $308 88¢ $316 +$9 11-06 13:14
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by December 31, 2026? Yes +218 $200 97¢ $211 +$11 10-22 13:50
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +200 $165 82¢ $165 +$0 11-08 11:10
Will Phantom Blade Zero win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards? No +100 $92 95¢ $95 +$3 11-04 02:32
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027? No +100 $93 92¢ $92 $0 11-08 11:10
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +103 $76 87¢ $90 +$13 10-22 05:30
Claude 6 released by March 31, 2027? Yes +245 $86 36¢ $87 +$1 11-03 12:11
Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31? Anthropic +100 $92 84¢ $84 -$8 10-22 05:43
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? Yes +80 $44 81¢ $65 +$21 10-19 00:33
Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026? Yes +49 $28 86¢ $42 +$14 10-19 03:40
Claude 6 released by June 30, 2027? Yes +55 $38 67¢ $37 -$1 10-26 09:57
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +50 $34 29¢ $15 -$20 10-29 22:30
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANT? Yes +13 $10 98¢ $12 +$2 10-23 16:07
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +100 $5 4¢ $4 -$1 10-20 18:11
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? Yes +10 $20 23¢ $2 -$18 10-30 21:46
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? Yes +50 $2 3¢ $2 $0 10-30 00:50
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +0 -$18 98¢ $0 +$18 10-05 19:16