(anonymous) 0xc8c97f…66a94a Create alert
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Realized P&L (90d)
+$435
Unrealized P&L
+$339
Hit rate
78.7%
Resolved (90d)
173
Trades (90d)
776
891 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$27.0K
$41.7K lifetime
Avg / trade
$47
Open exposure
$9.45K
18 positions
First seen
2026-07-06
last 11-08 22:46
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 32 days
Categories
Other
94% 65% +$205
Tech
3% 0% -$18
Crypto
3% 45% +$88
Politics
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
50 active days in 12wk • peak 264 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +8,062 $7,686 98¢ $7.9K +$251 11-03 23:37
Will Resident Evil Requiem win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards? No +400 $345 94¢ $378 +$33 10-09 22:51
Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027? No +361 $308 89¢ $322 +$14 11-06 13:14
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +200 $165 83¢ $165 +$0 11-08 11:10
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +103 $76 97¢ $100 +$24 10-22 05:30
Will Phantom Blade Zero win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards? No +100 $92 95¢ $95 +$3 11-04 02:32
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027? No +100 $93 92¢ $92 $0 11-08 11:10
Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31? Anthropic +100 $92 84¢ $84 -$8 10-22 05:43
Claude 6 released by March 31, 2027? Yes +245 $86 34¢ $83 -$3 11-03 12:11
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? Yes +80 $44 96¢ $77 +$33 10-19 00:33
Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026? Yes +49 $28 97¢ $48 +$20 10-19 03:40
Claude 6 released by June 30, 2027? Yes +55 $38 67¢ $37 -$1 10-26 09:57
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANT? Yes +13 $10 99¢ $12 +$2 10-23 16:07
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +50 $34 21¢ $11 -$24 10-29 22:30
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +100 $5 2¢ $2 -$3 10-20 18:11
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? Yes +10 $20 22¢ $2 -$18 10-30 21:46
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? Yes +50 $2 2¢ $1 -$1 10-30 00:50
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +0 -$18 98¢ $0 +$18 10-05 19:16