Ill-Ligula — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.13K

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

66.8%

Resolved

3,140

Trades

8,092

lifetime

Volume

$112.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-29 14:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 134 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 63% -$1,160

Other

0% 68% +$37

Politics

0% 54% -$13

Sports

0% 89% +$9

Tech

0% 67% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?	No		+2	$2	88¢	$2	$0	05-09 18:52
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No		-1	-$1	99¢	$-1	$0	06-12 18:59

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-16 09:45 UTC	18	$1.2K	694	688	+6	Down	+$181	01-16 09:59
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-24 13:00 UTC	36	$885	832	336	+497	Down	-$16	01-24 13:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-17 12:45 UTC	12	$879	515	464	+50	Down	+$91	01-17 13:01
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-11 20:15 UTC	11	$872	509	506	+3	Down	+$43	01-11 20:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-16 12:45 UTC	5	$861	472	470	+2	Down	+$63	01-16 12:58
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-17 13:15 UTC	7	$712	450	330	+120	Up	+$59	01-17 13:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-16 14:15 UTC	8	$641	847	838	+9	Up	-$559	01-16 14:27
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-24 13:45 UTC	25	$627	492	323	+169	Down	+$106	01-24 13:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-17 13:30 UTC	4	$625	332	331	+1	Up	+$25	01-17 13:44
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-16 10:15 UTC	4	$585	340	337	+3	Down	+$79	01-16 10:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-17 14:45 UTC	6	$566	1,762	0	+1,762	Up	-$566	01-17 14:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-24 14:15 UTC	17	$545	460	454	+6	Up	-$13	01-24 14:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-11 20:00 UTC	12	$500	312	309	+3	Down	+$47	01-11 20:10
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-13 20:30 UTC	12	$486	306	302	+4	Down	+$80	01-13 20:41
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-17 09:30 UTC	5	$473	282	279	+3	Up	+$76	01-17 09:41
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-24 13:30 UTC	19	$473	391	193	+198	Down	+$1	01-24 13:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-25 12:45 UTC	15	$472	389	383	+5	Up	-$3	01-25 12:59
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-25 10:45 UTC	11	$466	313	223	+90	Up	+$12	01-25 10:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-15 21:15 UTC	19	$449	278	271	+7	Up	+$89	01-15 21:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-17 10:00 UTC	4	$447	422	150	+272	Down	+$119	01-17 10:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-17 10:45 UTC	11	$445	119	352	-233	Down	+$12	01-17 10:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-15 21:00 UTC	17	$439	303	203	+100	Up	+$59	01-15 21:14
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-15 20:00 UTC	12	$433	270	268	+2	Up	+$12	01-15 20:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-17 12:15 UTC	3	$426	231	230	+1	Down	+$27	01-17 12:25
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-16 09:30 UTC	3	$418	289	286	+3	Down	+$21	01-16 09:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-24 21:45 UTC	10	$378	309	110	+199	Up	-$64	01-24 21:59
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-12 19:30 UTC	16	$360	214	211	+2	Up	+$58	01-12 19:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-14 21:30 UTC	12	$359	313	310	+3	Down	-$88	01-14 21:43
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-25 14:45 UTC	7	$346	368	56	+312	Up	-$35	01-25 14:58
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-13 21:15 UTC	16	$341	199	197	+2	Up	+$48	01-13 21:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 14:04:23	XRP Up or Down - October 29, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x1c268c…
10-29 13:59:32	XRP Up or Down - October 29, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xe9f9b1…
10-29 13:31:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x6603fb…
10-29 13:31:01	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xefcca1…
10-29 13:30:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x9dd250…
10-29 13:30:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xc7fd1d…
10-29 13:26:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xd45d81…
10-29 11:25:16	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xc1775f…
10-29 11:25:05	XRP Up or Down - October 29, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x70802f…
10-29 11:18:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xd28109…
10-28 10:53:08	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x9851a4…
10-28 10:52:32	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x167106…
10-28 10:52:29	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x135d57…
10-28 10:51:26	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x00af6d…
10-28 10:49:35	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x739bb5…
10-28 10:48:10	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x39a54b…
10-28 10:37:58	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x0b0cab…
10-28 10:37:14	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x59230a…
10-28 10:36:29	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xbb4cec…
10-28 10:36:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xbcf490…
10-28 10:36:10	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x8ab2e3…
10-28 10:32:08	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x900545…
10-28 10:28:16	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x021b6a…
10-28 10:27:49	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xb680ef…
09-28 19:24:06	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x744d94…
08-10 14:40:22	will jean luc mlenchon advance to the second round of the next french presidential election	No	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x50fa96…
08-10 14:39:36	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0xf40ffe…
06-16 18:34:29	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	45	11¢	$5	0xc8bb17…
06-16 18:34:23	Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	58	7¢	$4	0xfc919d…
06-16 18:34:19	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	29	14¢	$4	0xc8042e…
06-16 18:34:13	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	56	10¢	$5	0x26dc69…
06-16 18:34:02	Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	96	6¢	$6	0x236421…
06-16 18:33:52	Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	151	4¢	$7	0x9b23d1…
06-16 18:33:43	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	68	11¢	$7	0x95d3c8…
06-16 18:33:02	will the us government rescind its ban on all foreign use of claude fable 5 by july 1 20260613202440143	No	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x805451…
06-16 18:32:52	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 18	No	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xe2d3f9…
06-16 18:32:11	Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x850d61…
06-16 18:30:38	Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16?	No	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x4038b3…
06-16 18:30:19	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xed3236…
06-12 18:59:30	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xa0eb11…
06-12 07:53:49	Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x7bc5ef…
06-03 18:39:58	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xc2f77f…
06-03 18:39:48	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0x2f7769…
06-03 18:39:39	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x9d5830…
06-02 20:35:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xfd88e2…
06-02 20:35:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x95689b…
06-02 20:35:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x08a0c8…
06-02 20:29:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xc11a7b…
06-02 20:29:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x043de6…
06-02 20:04:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xc128eb…
06-02 20:04:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x073873…
06-02 19:49:11	XRP Up or Down - June 2, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xced842…
06-02 19:36:09	XRP Up or Down - June 2, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x1674cd…
06-02 18:51:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x2fea1c…
06-02 18:51:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x2d94ef…
06-02 18:51:33	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x64bd25…
06-02 18:51:28	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xccf980…
06-02 18:51:22	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xb2f6c1…
06-02 18:51:17	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xf149ce…
06-02 12:36:00	XRP Up or Down - June 2, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xf5a858…
06-02 12:35:53	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x78ff41…
06-02 12:35:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x882661…
06-02 11:50:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x91f09b…
06-02 11:50:18	XRP Up or Down - June 2, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xd2ed81…
06-02 11:50:12	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x0d246e…
06-02 11:44:01	XRP Up or Down - June 2, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x5b080f…
06-02 11:43:44	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xa1098f…
06-02 11:43:42	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x80fc3b…
06-02 11:43:39	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x838f0c…
06-02 11:43:21	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x0deaed…
06-02 11:43:19	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xc64d54…
06-02 11:43:09	XRP Up or Down - June 2, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xe57bee…
06-02 11:43:02	XRP Up or Down - June 2, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x2c3f7c…
06-02 11:42:58	XRP Up or Down - June 2, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xb17336…
06-02 11:42:55	XRP Up or Down - June 2, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xe34467…
06-02 11:42:43	XRP Up or Down - June 2, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xd5d4e3…
06-02 11:42:39	XRP Up or Down - June 2, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xfe87c3…
06-02 11:42:25	XRP Up or Down - June 2, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x9c40aa…
06-02 11:42:22	XRP Up or Down - June 2, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xeb5640…
06-02 11:41:41	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x0f7d68…
06-02 11:41:08	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x97dd29…
06-02 11:41:03	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0xb139bd…
06-02 11:41:01	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0xc170ae…
06-02 11:35:51	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xbd249d…
06-02 11:35:43	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x300654…
06-02 11:35:36	XRP Up or Down - June 2, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x946be9…
06-02 09:40:00	XRP Up or Down - June 2, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x69accb…
06-02 08:43:36	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xfede7e…
06-02 08:43:29	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0xdf6e5b…
06-02 08:43:17	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0xf0ec55…
06-02 08:43:13	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0xc08269…
06-02 08:42:47	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x37057b…
06-02 08:42:42	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x095259…
06-02 08:42:21	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x367591…
06-02 08:42:12	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x49272b…
06-02 08:36:27	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0x6448da…
06-02 08:36:13	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0xa18a68…
06-02 08:35:35	XRP Up or Down - June 2, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x8be3a1…
06-02 08:35:26	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x2e7c99…
06-02 08:35:15	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x0d461b…