Weepy-Basis — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$64

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

14.7%

Resolved

116

Trades

886

lifetime

Volume

$7.22K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$13

6 positions

First seen

2026-03-09

last 10-06 12:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 64 days

Categories

Politics

53% 22% -$3

Other

21% 28% -$38

Sports

17% 13% -$1

Crypto

7% 91% -$10

Tech

2% 0% -$12

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (12) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	-8	-$8	99¢	$-8	$0	07-03 13:56
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	-5	-$5	99¢	$-5	$0	06-27 09:14
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+0	$0	100¢	$0	$0	06-28 02:46
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	-0	$0	99¢	$-0	$0	06-20 22:04
Trump out as President before 2027?	No	+0	$0	97¢	$0	$0	06-19 00:40
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	No	+0	$0	95¢	$0	$0	06-21 20:17

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	20	$148	75	75	+0	open	—	06-27 22:22
Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	18	$136	68	68	+0	open	—	06-04 14:04
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	16	$134	68	68	+0	open	—	06-01 20:30
Will Nico Hülkenberg be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	18	$128	64	64	+0	No	$0	06-27 11:46
Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	18	$126	64	63	+0	open	—	06-27 09:00
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	16	$122	61	61	+0	open	—	06-05 04:22
Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	16	$120	60	60	+0	open	—	06-04 12:29
Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	16	$118	59	59	+0	No	$0	06-27 19:25
Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	16	$118	59	59	+0	open	—	06-05 05:51
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?	16	$116	60	60	+0	open	—	06-28 02:46
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	15	$110	52	60	-8	open	—	07-03 13:56
Will Gabriel Bortoleto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	16	$108	54	54	-0	No	$0	06-05 00:30
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	14	$104	53	53	+0	open	—	06-18 20:00
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	12	$102	51	51	+0	open	—	06-28 02:58
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	14	$98	49	49	+0	open	—	09-05 03:21
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	12	$96	64	64	-0	open	—	05-30 14:14
Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	12	$96	48	48	+0	open	—	06-27 21:35
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	12	$94	93	93	+0	cancelled	$0	05-31 18:28
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	12	$92	47	47	+0	open	—	10-06 12:07
will the next gpt model released by openai debut at a score of at least 1470 by december 31 2026	2	$90	61	61	+0	No	-$1	07-05 00:06
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on July 9?	2	$90	68	68	+0	Yes	-$1	07-08 04:32
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on July 6?	2	$89	117	117	+0	No	+$0	07-05 08:08
Will Troy Reh record the fastest shot at the 2026 PLL All-Star Skills Competition?	2	$86	104	104	+0	No	-$9	07-04 09:00
Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?	17	$84	53	53	+0	open	—	07-03 13:56
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	14	$82	41	41	+0	open	—	09-21 11:26
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on July 9?	2	$80	78	78	+0	No	$0	07-08 04:54
Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	10	$78	39	39	+0	open	—	06-27 18:28
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	10	$78	39	39	+0	No	$0	06-14 11:30
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on July 5?	2	$76	88	88	+0	No	+$0	07-04 11:37
Will Carlos Sainz Jr. be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	10	$76	38	38	+0	No	$0	05-30 16:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-06 12:07:51	Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	9	97¢	$9	0xb75faf…
10-04 05:30:50	Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0x98aab6…
09-23 14:50:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x58bcc0…
09-22 12:01:45	Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xe2cd7b…
09-22 11:50:58	Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xb42500…
09-21 11:26:05	Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x04fb62…
09-21 11:15:45	Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x8fd763…
09-05 03:21:43	Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xbd3b15…
09-05 02:54:12	Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x981114…
08-28 03:14:58	Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xf8c587…
08-28 03:03:42	Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xad2b8f…
08-25 11:53:52	Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	8	95¢	$8	0x45c7e6…
08-25 08:43:27	Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	8	95¢	$8	0xd8990d…
08-23 06:29:51	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	11	89¢	$10	0x45587a…
08-19 07:32:31	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0xd90e9a…
07-20 09:07:06	Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x121099…
07-20 08:51:03	Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x44810c…
07-09 00:27:55	Will Team Heretics win the EWC Valorant Tournament	Yes	SELL	282	11¢	$30	0x86e7a5…
07-08 10:07:55	Will Team Heretics win the EWC Valorant Tournament	Yes	BUY	282	14¢	$41	0x132054…
07-08 09:24:46	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on July 9?	Yes	SELL	39	34¢	$13	0xde6c5a…
07-08 09:24:44	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on July 9?	Yes	BUY	39	34¢	$13	0x952fef…
07-08 07:46:37	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on July 9?	Yes	SELL	95	40¢	$38	0xaf4803…
07-08 07:46:34	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on July 9?	Yes	BUY	95	40¢	$38	0x8eb03c…
07-08 06:23:01	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on July 9?	Yes	SELL	10	23¢	$2	0xc0ca9e…
07-08 06:22:58	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on July 9?	Yes	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0xb09b62…
07-08 04:58:01	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on July 9?	Yes	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0x1ac771…
07-08 04:57:53	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on July 9?	Yes	SELL	15	51¢	$8	0x6e1d57…
07-08 04:57:50	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on July 9?	Yes	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0xae3f95…
07-08 04:57:49	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on July 9?	Yes	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xcbd292…
07-08 04:57:49	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on July 9?	Yes	BUY	15	52¢	$8	0x58cade…
07-08 04:57:49	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on July 9?	Yes	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x081e10…
07-08 04:54:17	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on July 9?	Yes	SELL	78	51¢	$40	0x1c4d39…
07-08 04:54:16	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on July 9?	Yes	BUY	78	51¢	$40	0xee29e8…
07-08 04:32:34	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on July 9?	Yes	SELL	68	66¢	$45	0xf22e32…
07-08 04:32:31	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on July 9?	Yes	BUY	68	67¢	$45	0xb100da…
07-08 00:15:04	Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	Yes	SELL	53	52¢	$28	0xeb1812…
07-05 10:42:32	Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	80¢	$0	0xe7e55b…
07-05 10:40:34	Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	80¢	$0	0xda2a7c…
07-05 10:40:11	Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	53	83¢	$44	0x59de85…
07-05 08:08:56	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on July 6?	Yes	SELL	117	38¢	$45	0xbdedc6…
07-05 08:08:55	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on July 6?	Yes	BUY	117	38¢	$45	0xceb6f2…
07-05 04:25:07	will the next gpt model released by openai debut at a score of at least 1490 by december 31 2026	Yes	SELL	154	21¢	$32	0x888fa5…
07-05 00:07:56	will the next gpt model released by openai debut at a score of at least 1490 by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	154	28¢	$43	0x3f305f…
07-05 00:06:40	will the next gpt model released by openai debut at a score of at least 1470 by december 31 2026	Yes	SELL	61	73¢	$44	0x37f019…
07-05 00:06:37	will the next gpt model released by openai debut at a score of at least 1470 by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	61	75¢	$46	0x9de56f…
07-04 23:58:11	Will T1 win MSI 2026?	Yes	SELL	146	21¢	$31	0x466c4c…
07-04 23:58:10	Will T1 win MSI 2026?	Yes	BUY	146	22¢	$32	0x49645d…
07-04 22:22:38	Will Aryna Sabalenka be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?	Yes	SELL	110	30¢	$33	0xc5af42…
07-04 22:22:35	Will Aryna Sabalenka be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?	Yes	BUY	110	30¢	$33	0x2f21af…
07-04 22:02:19	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on July 5?	Yes	SELL	84	40¢	$34	0x397662…
07-04 22:02:17	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on July 5?	Yes	BUY	84	40¢	$34	0x99e8a6…
07-04 21:47:08	will the next uk prime minister be appointed by july 19 20260622183223871 165	Yes	SELL	29	17¢	$5	0x7f15e7…
07-04 21:47:05	will the next uk prime minister be appointed by july 19 20260622183223871 165	Yes	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x869aca…
07-04 20:54:16	iran charges hormuz fees by october 31	Yes	SELL	53	69¢	$36	0x6478b9…
07-04 20:54:14	iran charges hormuz fees by october 31	Yes	BUY	53	70¢	$37	0x7c7812…
07-04 16:47:41	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on July 6?	Yes	SELL	19	34¢	$6	0x64ec25…
07-04 16:47:38	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on July 6?	Yes	BUY	19	34¢	$6	0x2aa936…
07-04 15:51:14	will trump say beautiful 7 times during tribute to america rally 20260630160620558	Yes	SELL	51	67¢	$34	0x4d8dff…
07-04 15:26:08	will trump say beautiful 7 times during tribute to america rally 20260630160620558	Yes	SELL	1	68¢	$1	0x95af1a…
07-04 15:24:05	will trump say beautiful 7 times during tribute to america rally 20260630160620558	Yes	BUY	53	71¢	$37	0xb23255…
07-04 14:02:55	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on July 6?	Yes	SELL	23	29¢	$7	0x963f1a…
07-04 14:02:53	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on July 6?	Yes	BUY	23	29¢	$7	0x69a175…
07-04 11:37:58	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on July 5?	Yes	SELL	88	43¢	$38	0x83593b…
07-04 11:37:56	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on July 5?	Yes	BUY	88	43¢	$38	0xa98595…
07-04 09:00:53	Will Troy Reh record the fastest shot at the 2026 PLL All-Star Skills Competition?	Yes	SELL	104	37¢	$39	0x3bbcea…
07-03 14:00:28	Will Troy Reh record the fastest shot at the 2026 PLL All-Star Skills Competition?	Yes	BUY	104	46¢	$48	0x650098…
07-03 13:56:35	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x2d3d29…
07-03 13:56:34	Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x6bb120…
07-03 13:56:34	Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?	No	SELL	10	86¢	$9	0x660e6d…
07-03 13:56:32	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	11	88¢	$10	0xa3b676…
07-03 03:48:14	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	9	98¢	$9	0xfe4ea2…
06-28 04:47:52	Will Michel Barnier win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xca8791…
06-28 04:37:14	Will Michel Barnier win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xbd7724…
06-28 02:58:23	Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x0fe199…
06-28 02:47:55	Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x9c4e68…
06-28 02:46:11	Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0xb0f262…
06-27 23:35:23	Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x259475…
06-27 22:22:31	Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0xa8d63d…
06-27 22:06:50	Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x4542d1…
06-27 21:35:43	Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x4c81a5…
06-27 21:25:08	Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0xfe69ba…
06-27 19:25:31	Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x003339…
06-27 19:14:56	Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd08e09…
06-27 18:28:13	Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x224058…
06-27 18:17:41	Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x9ae6e5…
06-27 16:54:22	Will Élisabeth Borne win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x9d19e5…
06-27 16:38:37	Will Élisabeth Borne win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xabc3f5…
06-27 11:46:59	Will Nico Hülkenberg be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x34fff0…
06-27 11:36:28	Will Nico Hülkenberg be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x73bb08…
06-27 10:55:02	Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x7bc729…
06-27 10:44:37	Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x1bfd2d…
06-27 09:14:46	Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xa5293e…
06-27 09:00:43	Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xb5e4da…
06-27 08:50:22	Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x9780c9…
06-27 06:03:38	Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x836a2e…
06-27 05:32:40	Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x6195bc…
06-27 05:16:46	Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x45761c…
06-27 04:03:43	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	8	87¢	$7	0xbbdc3d…
06-26 05:21:19	Will Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x34fb15…
06-26 05:10:35	Will Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xe853e7…