Muddy-Audit — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$6

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

103

lifetime

Volume

$1.86K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$18

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-16

last 07-07 05:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

45% 100% +$5

Other

39% 100% +$1

Politics

11% — —

Tech

5% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	4	$110	56	56	+0	open	—	05-17 04:05
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	4	$87	44	44	+0	open	—	03-24 15:05
btc updown 5m 1773625200	6	$81	63	62	+1	open	—	03-16 01:45
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$75	38	38	+0	open	—	04-02 15:17
trump out as president by march 31	2	$74	37	37	+0	open	—	03-27 12:15
will israel launch a ground operation in iran by june 30 2026	2	$72	36	36	+0	open	—	07-01 07:17
Will Solana reach $150 in May?	2	$72	36	36	+0	open	—	05-15 09:29
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	2	$72	38	38	+0	open	—	05-15 15:17
btc updown 5m 1773625500	4	$72	49	48	+0	open	—	03-16 01:47
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	3	$72	50	26	+25	Yes	+$1	04-24 09:57
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	2	$71	36	36	+0	open	—	04-06 15:04
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	2	$70	36	36	+0	open	—	05-11 09:55
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?	2	$70	35	35	+0	open	—	04-14 07:37
bitcoin above 72k on april 16	2	$70	35	35	+0	open	—	04-16 09:48
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	2	$69	45	45	+0	open	—	04-20 12:29
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in April?	2	$69	36	36	+0	open	—	04-16 09:49
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	2	$69	35	35	+0	open	—	04-18 01:33
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	4	$68	34	34	+0	open	—	05-31 14:40
Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$50	25	25	+0	open	—	04-24 09:55
Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in April?	2	$40	20	20	+0	open	—	04-16 09:48
GTA VI released before June 2026?	2	$40	20	20	+0	open	—	05-17 10:46
btc updown 5m 1773624300	4	$38	37	36	+0	open	—	03-16 01:29
btc updown 5m 1774364700	6	$33	29	29	+0	open	—	03-24 15:08
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	2	$30	15	15	+0	open	—	04-16 09:48
Will Solana reach $140 in May?	2	$30	15	15	+0	open	—	05-14 15:39
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	2	$28	14	14	+0	open	—	06-13 13:37
Netanyahu out by June 30?	2	$24	12	12	+0	open	—	06-13 13:37
Will XRP reach $3.00 in May?	2	$23	12	12	+0	open	—	05-18 14:41
btc updown 5m 1774365300	4	$22	21	20	+0	open	—	03-24 15:17
us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	1	$21	21	0	+21	open	—	07-07 05:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-07 05:00:56	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	No	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0x9ca748…
07-07 05:00:11	will the iphone 18 pro cost at least 1000 20260623232159228	Yes	SELL	6	96¢	$6	0x244a31…
07-01 07:18:01	will the iphone 18 pro cost at least 1000 20260623232159228	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x0c52b0…
07-01 07:17:32	will israel launch a ground operation in iran by june 30 2026	No	SELL	36	100¢	$36	0x93c6ff…
06-23 14:42:50	will israel launch a ground operation in iran by june 30 2026	No	BUY	36	99¢	$36	0xd4d942…
06-23 14:42:10	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x854129…
06-13 13:38:34	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0xbbd34e…
06-13 13:37:16	Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x060ffc…
06-13 13:37:10	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	No	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0xc045f1…
06-12 01:12:10	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x5e5077…
06-12 01:11:54	Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x32dc3d…
06-12 01:11:27	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $230 by end of June?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xe49355…
05-31 14:40:44	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x6ad79d…
05-28 14:11:09	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x30f589…
05-20 12:31:25	Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in May?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$10	0xb5e45c…
05-18 14:42:47	Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in May?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$10	0xae6fc9…
05-18 14:41:07	Will XRP reach $3.00 in May?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$11	0x8d8c3a…
05-17 10:48:07	Will XRP reach $3.00 in May?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$11	0x128485…
05-17 10:46:52	GTA VI released before June 2026?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x98b9ed…
05-17 04:06:40	GTA VI released before June 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x1597a1…
05-17 04:05:32	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	No	SELL	34	99¢	$34	0xd5aa0b…
05-16 14:25:57	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	No	BUY	34	99¢	$34	0x3a1b62…
05-16 14:24:58	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	No	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0xf755a3…
05-16 14:24:52	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0xa78007…
05-15 15:17:46	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x2ca898…
05-15 15:17:37	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	No	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0x853fdc…
05-15 15:17:09	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	No	SELL	38	96¢	$36	0xd22e5e…
05-15 09:29:45	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	No	BUY	38	96¢	$36	0x121e59…
05-15 09:29:27	Will Solana reach $150 in May?	No	SELL	36	99¢	$36	0x3beb6f…
05-15 02:50:20	Will Solana reach $150 in May?	No	BUY	36	99¢	$36	0x3c7558…
05-14 15:39:06	Will Solana reach $140 in May?	No	SELL	15	98¢	$15	0x7f405d…
05-11 09:56:57	Will Solana reach $140 in May?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x0f07b3…
05-11 09:56:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	SELL	16	61¢	$10	0x67e2bb…
05-11 09:55:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x6e1718…
05-11 09:55:33	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	SELL	36	97¢	$35	0x2e7ffb…
05-06 11:47:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	BUY	36	96¢	$35	0xd6df01…
04-24 09:57:12	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	25	94¢	$24	0x5b80be…
04-24 09:56:52	Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xbb1eff…
04-24 09:55:08	Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x80bcce…
04-20 12:30:12	Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x1fc0dd…
04-20 12:29:12	Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	SELL	45	77¢	$35	0x9a618e…
04-18 01:34:06	Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	45	76¢	$34	0xb92d03…
04-18 01:33:46	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	SELL	35	99¢	$34	0x19c0ab…
04-16 09:49:26	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	35	99¢	$34	0xc704e5…
04-16 09:49:12	Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in April?	No	SELL	36	95¢	$34	0x1578a1…
04-16 09:49:06	Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in April?	No	BUY	36	95¢	$35	0x0e6b86…
04-16 09:48:52	bitcoin above 72k on april 16	Yes	SELL	35	99¢	$35	0xa8bd38…
04-16 09:48:44	bitcoin above 72k on april 16	Yes	BUY	35	99¢	$35	0x599fb1…
04-16 09:48:30	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x8921e5…
04-16 09:48:24	Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in April?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xbef36a…
04-14 07:37:45	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x754c5a…
04-14 07:37:37	Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in April?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x9eae6d…
04-14 07:37:21	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?	No	SELL	35	100¢	$35	0x73e44f…
04-14 07:37:15	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x7ee04a…
04-06 15:04:35	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	SELL	36	97¢	$35	0x634270…
04-06 14:28:25	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	BUY	36	97¢	$35	0x53fbbd…
04-02 15:17:31	nba nop por 2026 04 02	Pelicans	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x1c027a…
04-02 15:17:13	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	38	98¢	$37	0xc1e775…
03-30 00:24:28	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	38	97¢	$37	0x30d1ae…
03-27 12:15:01	trump out as president by march 31	No	SELL	37	100¢	$37	0xfddb1d…
03-24 15:21:05	trump out as president by march 31	No	BUY	37	100¢	$37	0x8f5d8e…
03-24 15:17:39	btc updown 5m 1774365300	Down	SELL	9	64¢	$6	0xb3feee…
03-24 15:17:29	btc updown 5m 1774365300	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x5da92e…
03-24 15:15:41	btc updown 5m 1774365300	Down	SELL	11	52¢	$6	0xa1081a…
03-24 15:15:33	btc updown 5m 1774365300	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x7c3997…
03-24 15:14:03	btc updown 5m 1774365000	Down	SELL	8	62¢	$5	0x2c11f7…
03-24 15:13:45	btc updown 5m 1774365000	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xd759e1…
03-24 15:08:53	btc updown 5m 1774364700	Down	SELL	8	74¢	$6	0x180325…
03-24 15:08:45	btc updown 5m 1774364700	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xd0bc54…
03-24 15:08:15	btc updown 5m 1774364700	Down	SELL	11	49¢	$5	0x99e7df…
03-24 15:06:59	btc updown 5m 1774364700	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x01eb09…
03-24 15:05:47	btc updown 5m 1774364700	Up	SELL	9	63¢	$6	0x4c6598…
03-24 15:05:25	btc updown 5m 1774364700	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x593a59…
03-24 15:05:01	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	34	99¢	$33	0x68c6b7…
03-22 10:23:19	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	34	99¢	$33	0x3c9ac9…
03-22 10:22:55	nba bkn sac 2026 03 22	Nets	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xeb06ac…
03-22 10:22:41	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xcee2e7…
03-22 10:22:37	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	26	94¢	$24	0xea4890…
03-20 04:38:23	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x391dfc…
03-20 04:38:09	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	26	94¢	$24	0xedf5fd…
03-16 01:47:55	btc updown 5m 1773625500	Up	SELL	37	92¢	$34	0x66f8f8…
03-16 01:47:39	btc updown 5m 1773625500	Up	BUY	38	78¢	$29	0xccfade…
03-16 01:47:09	btc updown 5m 1773625500	Down	SELL	11	28¢	$3	0xd3a845…
03-16 01:46:07	btc updown 5m 1773625500	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xfbbd1f…
03-16 01:45:37	btc updown 5m 1773625200	Up	SELL	32	99¢	$31	0x5803c9…
03-16 01:43:15	btc updown 5m 1773625200	Up	BUY	32	63¢	$20	0xa9c6a1…
03-16 01:42:57	btc updown 5m 1773625200	Down	SELL	7	19¢	$1	0x2ab884…
03-16 01:41:55	btc updown 5m 1773625200	Down	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x52c5bb…
03-16 01:41:33	btc updown 5m 1773625200	Down	SELL	23	57¢	$13	0x6fbc53…
03-16 01:40:23	btc updown 5m 1773625200	Down	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0xfa8492…
03-16 01:37:33	btc updown 5m 1773624900	Down	SELL	16	9¢	$1	0x18891c…
03-16 01:35:33	btc updown 5m 1773624900	Down	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x834399…
03-16 01:31:59	btc updown 5m 1773624600	Up	SELL	15	20¢	$3	0xe58a88…
03-16 01:30:43	btc updown 5m 1773624600	Up	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x904261…
03-16 01:29:03	btc updown 5m 1773624300	Up	SELL	7	85¢	$6	0x70c239…
03-16 01:27:47	btc updown 5m 1773624300	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xf0b05c…
03-16 01:26:19	btc updown 5m 1773624300	Down	SELL	29	57¢	$17	0x27a01f…
03-16 01:25:39	btc updown 5m 1773624300	Down	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0x7223e1…
03-16 01:20:29	btc updown 5m 1773624000	Down	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x2d83ee…
03-16 01:18:59	btc updown 5m 1773623700	Up	SELL	6	96¢	$5	0xdaa61e…