Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$9

Unrealized P&L

-$88

Hit rate

5.4%

Resolved

1,147

Trades

19,857

lifetime

Volume

$37.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$288

2 positions

First seen

2026-04-01

last 07-21 18:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Crypto

43% 5% +$9

Politics

31% — —

Other

26% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

73 active days in 12wk • peak 473 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	No		-600	$-200	48¢	$-288	$-88	07-21 18:17
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?	No		+0	$0	83¢	$0	$-0	06-22 15:49

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	8	$4.0K	2,450	2,450	+0	open	—	07-15 19:33
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	15	$2.9K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	07-01 14:00
Fed rate hike in 2026?	8	$1.8K	1,600	1,600	+0	open	—	07-14 07:17
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	5	$1.7K	1,054	1,054	+0	open	—	07-13 16:03
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	7	$1.7K	1,800	1,800	+0	open	—	07-21 18:17
us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	7	$1.4K	1,693	1,693	+0	open	—	07-08 09:59
israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	12	$1.4K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	06-22 12:15
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	2	$1.0K	600	600	+0	open	—	07-17 05:29
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	12	$941	955	755	+200	open	—	06-22 08:04
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	2	$894	600	600	+0	open	—	07-05 03:23
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967	2	$864	549	549	+0	open	—	07-21 17:05
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	8	$708	765	765	+0	open	—	06-27 09:55
us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	8	$505	605	605	+0	open	—	06-24 06:01
btc updown 5m 1776447600	8	$468	508	0	+508	open	—	04-17 17:45
us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	2	$372	600	600	+0	open	—	07-05 08:57
starmer out by july 31 2026	2	$334	200	200	+0	open	—	06-20 11:55
starmer out by june 26 2026	6	$326	400	400	+0	open	—	06-20 11:57
btc updown 5m 1775662200	1	$227	232	0	+232	open	—	04-08 15:35
btc updown 5m 1775728800	18	$213	200	194	+6	open	—	04-09 10:04
us iran final nuclear deal by september 30 2026	3	$209	419	419	+0	open	—	07-08 09:58
btc updown 5m 1776433500	3	$209	230	0	+230	open	—	04-17 13:49
btc updown 5m 1776615900	12	$198	180	140	+40	open	—	04-19 16:29
btc updown 5m 1775730600	7	$183	100	100	+0	open	—	04-09 10:34
starmer out by june 22 2026	5	$156	600	600	+0	open	—	06-20 12:24
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969	2	$147	138	137	+1	open	—	07-21 17:43
btc updown 5m 1775793000	17	$142	190	158	+32	open	—	04-10 03:54
btc updown 5m 1775729400	4	$132	200	0	+200	open	—	04-09 10:12
btc updown 5m 1776448800	2	$124	70	69	+1	open	—	04-17 18:02
btc updown 5m 1775834100	4	$118	340	170	+170	open	—	04-10 15:19
btc updown 5m 1775755500	11	$107	200	0	+200	open	—	04-09 17:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-21 18:17:45	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	No	SELL	1,200	42¢	$502	0x0d422d…
07-21 18:17:30	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	No	BUY	70	49¢	$34	0x7df74f…
07-21 18:17:30	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	No	BUY	312	49¢	$153	0x6a42f0…
07-21 18:17:27	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	No	SELL	600	46¢	$278	0x8f02dc…
07-21 18:17:25	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	No	BUY	600	48¢	$288	0xf88c57…
07-21 18:17:25	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	No	BUY	218	48¢	$105	0x0d660e…
07-21 17:43:49	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969	Yes	SELL	137	53¢	$73	0x9b1acd…
07-21 17:43:48	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969	Yes	BUY	138	54¢	$74	0xc58637…
07-21 17:27:52	will the next claude opus model be released by july 31 2026 20260709185050343 272 345 875	Yes	SELL	1	73¢	$1	0x8385cd…
07-21 17:27:51	will the next claude opus model be released by july 31 2026 20260709185050343 272 345 875	Yes	BUY	2	74¢	$1	0x2a1677…
07-21 17:05:33	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967	Yes	SELL	549	78¢	$430	0xdcba3a…
07-21 17:05:30	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967	Yes	BUY	549	79¢	$434	0x5ff53d…
07-17 05:29:22	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	SELL	600	83¢	$498	0x0f8903…
07-17 05:29:19	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	BUY	600	84¢	$504	0x96751c…
07-15 19:33:20	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	600	80¢	$480	0x01c48f…
07-15 19:33:19	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	600	82¢	$492	0x1d3e7c…
07-14 07:17:40	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	600	69¢	$414	0x543d9f…
07-14 07:17:38	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	600	70¢	$420	0x2e09d4…
07-13 16:03:19	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	No	SELL	1	64¢	$1	0x77ee8b…
07-13 14:23:50	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	No	SELL	600	78¢	$470	0x5ea012…
07-13 14:23:49	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	No	BUY	600	80¢	$480	0x974a0c…
07-13 11:59:49	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	600	81¢	$486	0x1cb105…
07-13 11:59:47	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	600	81¢	$486	0x9933a1…
07-12 03:46:16	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	600	80¢	$480	0x60b4da…
07-12 03:45:59	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	600	82¢	$492	0x498ff9…
07-12 02:52:23	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	600	43¢	$255	0xfade97…
07-12 02:52:20	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	600	44¢	$264	0xea92d8…
07-11 22:17:35	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	No	SELL	453	85¢	$387	0xa1009c…
07-11 22:17:23	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	No	BUY	454	86¢	$390	0x604877…
07-08 21:57:43	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	650	81¢	$526	0x48b807…
07-08 21:57:34	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	650	83¢	$540	0xcd9cf5…
07-08 09:59:05	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	Yes	SELL	0	35¢	$0	0x6da883…
07-08 09:58:56	us iran final nuclear deal by september 30 2026	Yes	SELL	1	17¢	$0	0x7627cb…
07-08 08:18:38	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	Yes	SELL	393	38¢	$149	0xa56a7d…
07-08 08:18:31	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	393	39¢	$153	0x283332…
07-07 21:39:32	us iran final nuclear deal by september 30 2026	Yes	SELL	418	25¢	$104	0x7ceb3c…
07-07 21:39:31	us iran final nuclear deal by september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	419	25¢	$105	0x40c0f2…
07-07 19:30:25	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	Yes	SELL	700	42¢	$294	0xe7d2e6…
07-07 19:30:14	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	700	43¢	$301	0x0bca48…
07-05 08:57:14	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	SELL	600	30¢	$180	0x45f64c…
07-05 08:57:07	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	600	32¢	$192	0x66f9c2…
07-05 03:23:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	600	74¢	$444	0x565951…
07-05 03:23:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	600	75¢	$450	0x4cc308…
07-04 13:30:31	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	Yes	SELL	600	45¢	$270	0xfc6f6f…
07-04 13:30:22	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	600	46¢	$276	0xa96683…
07-01 14:00:58	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	500	84¢	$420	0xc96bc8…
07-01 14:00:47	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	500	85¢	$425	0x065f99…
06-29 01:13:38	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	500	77¢	$385	0xd6a8e0…
06-29 01:13:37	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	500	78¢	$390	0x1c25bd…
06-27 09:55:05	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	200	47¢	$94	0xbab909…
06-27 09:55:02	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	200	49¢	$98	0xfde7f6…
06-27 00:07:20	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	Yes	SELL	200	21¢	$42	0x0b489a…
06-27 00:07:13	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	Yes	BUY	200	22¢	$44	0x23260f…
06-26 05:53:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	165	51¢	$84	0x9579c5…
06-26 05:53:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	200	51¢	$102	0x6f10cc…
06-26 05:53:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	165	52¢	$86	0x1ab50b…
06-26 05:53:35	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	200	52¢	$104	0x4f0809…
06-25 13:18:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	200	34¢	$68	0x3efc6e…
06-25 13:18:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	200	36¢	$72	0x0d4ecf…
06-25 05:41:34	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	200	34¢	$68	0x94fa95…
06-25 05:41:22	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	400	64¢	$255	0xc6b956…
06-25 05:41:17	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	BUY	200	34¢	$68	0x2e9f5e…
06-25 05:41:10	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	200	63¢	$126	0x46290c…
06-25 05:41:07	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	200	67¢	$134	0x6270de…
06-24 16:42:43	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	200	69¢	$138	0x6996dc…
06-24 16:29:16	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	54¢	$108	0x55ae27…
06-24 14:43:37	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	53¢	$106	0x23cb09…
06-24 14:43:31	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	54¢	$108	0x0202f8…
06-24 14:43:22	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	56¢	$112	0x347fc8…
06-24 13:46:59	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	200	74¢	$148	0x78e01d…
06-24 13:27:58	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	120	75¢	$90	0x22dae1…
06-24 13:27:49	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	42	75¢	$32	0x7a81bb…
06-24 13:27:49	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	38	75¢	$28	0x7535a0…
06-24 13:27:37	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	200	75¢	$150	0x234d47…
06-24 06:01:20	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	No	SELL	5	75¢	$4	0x343641…
06-24 05:29:35	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	Yes	SELL	400	25¢	$100	0x6e39f9…
06-24 05:29:26	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	No	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xf70e54…
06-24 05:29:23	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	Yes	BUY	200	27¢	$54	0x7c12b0…
06-24 05:29:22	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	Yes	BUY	200	26¢	$52	0xa2406d…
06-23 08:42:43	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	No	SELL	183	73¢	$134	0x7dd72c…
06-23 08:42:11	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	No	SELL	17	73¢	$12	0xeb4f61…
06-23 08:42:04	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	No	BUY	200	73¢	$146	0x111951…
06-22 15:49:19	Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?	No	SELL	4	77¢	$3	0xcfa952…
06-22 12:15:50	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	200	13¢	$26	0xc445e1…
06-22 11:47:31	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	35	14¢	$5	0x8877ff…
06-22 11:47:25	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	165	14¢	$24	0x65a2f9…
06-22 11:36:23	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	No	SELL	134	84¢	$113	0x86c13f…
06-22 11:36:23	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	No	SELL	66	84¢	$56	0x178c27…
06-22 11:36:10	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	No	BUY	200	86¢	$171	0xd037d4…
06-22 11:30:38	Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?	No	SELL	25	77¢	$19	0xf86a62…
06-22 11:30:31	Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?	No	BUY	29	77¢	$23	0xc10ebd…
06-22 11:19:22	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	No	SELL	100	86¢	$86	0x19a467…
06-22 11:18:50	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	No	SELL	100	86¢	$86	0xdc53a9…
06-22 11:17:52	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	No	BUY	200	86¢	$171	0x58c980…
06-22 11:11:19	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	No	SELL	400	86¢	$342	0xaca351…
06-22 11:11:10	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	No	BUY	200	86¢	$173	0xcea310…
06-22 11:11:08	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	No	BUY	200	86¢	$173	0xc757e1…
06-22 10:08:44	sol updown 15m 1782122400	Down	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0xf5e69a…
06-22 10:08:25	sol updown 15m 1782122400	Down	BUY	7	5¢	$0	0x7982e5…
06-22 10:08:01	sol updown 15m 1782122400	Down	BUY	11	5¢	$1	0xce6b63…