Far-Off-Minnow — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$33

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

67.0%

Resolved

Trades

543

lifetime

Volume

$5.81K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

$14

1 position

First seen

2026-01-02

last 06-12 13:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Other

67% 40% +$15

Politics

22% — —

Crypto

6% 45% $-3

Sports

3% 100% +$22

Pop-Culture

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

70 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes		-30	$-13	46¢	$-14	$-1	06-11 19:36

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 10 million	2	$290	188	188	+0	open	—	01-22 01:58
will tjrs mentee timmeh receive a payout within 30 days	10	$259	272	272	+0	open	—	03-30 14:36
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 15 million 268	1	$142	189	0	+189	open	—	01-22 01:59
Pump.fun revenue above $25M in April?	5	$122	90	88	+1	open	—	04-28 15:02
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	10	$113	477	477	+0	open	—	04-20 14:53
Will Bob Menery enter the ring against Johnny Manziel?	4	$103	76	76	+0	open	—	05-22 21:25
will company b be accused of insider trading	1	$100	303	0	+303	open	—	02-25 21:44
will the logan paul 1st edition charizard sale price be over 800k 271	2	$75	129	0	+129	open	—	01-06 14:02
will trump say charlie or kirk 5 times during tpusa events on april 17	2	$70	64	61	+2	open	—	04-17 23:50
will powell say inflation 50 times during march press conference	2	$67	44	44	+0	open	—	03-18 21:53
will undertone opening weekend box office be greater than 10m	4	$66	52	52	+0	open	—	03-15 00:39
us strikes iran by february 23 2026 678 563	1	$65	82	0	+82	open	—	02-18 14:15
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	3	$63	57	57	+0	open	—	05-11 11:47
will 11pt22pt63 be the 2 us netflix show this week january 20 2026	2	$62	176	0	+176	open	—	01-20 13:08
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	2	$58	54	54	+0	open	—	02-19 20:52
will you me tuscany opening weekend box office be less than 8m	7	$56	70	70	+0	open	—	04-12 23:49
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	6	$55	45	44	+0	open	—	04-08 20:03
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	2	$51	55	55	+0	open	—	03-27 11:17
cs2 fut m80 2026 03 01	1	$50	73	0	+73	open	—	03-01 01:04
cs2 ast10 mnte 2026 03 01	1	$50	80	0	+80	open	—	03-01 01:00
cs2 m8 g2 2026 04 13	5	$48	30	30	+0	open	—	04-13 16:28
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	2	$48	31	31	+0	open	—	05-24 23:54
will the super mario galaxy movie 2nd weekend box office be less than 70m	4	$47	39	39	+0	open	—	04-12 23:49
will the dhs shutdown last 90 days or more 828 938	4	$47	55	55	+0	open	—	04-24 12:02
James Comey arrested by April 30?	2	$44	44	44	+0	open	—	04-29 15:10
will the super mario galaxy movie opening weekend box office be between 190m and 200m	4	$43	73	53	+20	open	—	04-05 23:56
will project hail mary opening weekend box office be between 75m and 80m	3	$43	95	95	+0	open	—	03-21 11:08
megaeth market cap fdv 1b one day after launch gj9e 189 291 824 352	3	$42	40	40	+0	open	—	04-21 12:27
will the dhs shutdown last 60 days or more 988 872 151 791 415 422	4	$42	85	85	+0	open	—	03-31 04:41
will trump say gold card or trump card during the 2026 state of the union address 876	1	$42	100	0	+100	open	—	02-24 13:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-12 13:39:03	btc updown 5m 1781271600	Down	BUY	15	47¢	$7	0x6bbd77…
06-12 13:30:54	btc updown 5m 1781271300	Down	BUY	15	47¢	$7	0x772a7d…
06-12 13:28:45	btc updown 5m 1781271000	Down	BUY	15	47¢	$7	0xcb2eb4…
06-11 19:37:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	33	24¢	$8	0xe88062…
06-11 19:36:57	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	44¢	$13	0xbad093…
06-11 13:40:07	btc updown 5m 1781185200	Down	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0x129697…
06-11 13:34:48	btc updown 5m 1781184900	Down	BUY	1	47¢	$0	0x89765a…
06-11 13:34:48	btc updown 5m 1781184900	Down	BUY	9	47¢	$4	0x3208c8…
06-10 13:40:25	btc updown 5m 1781098800	Down	BUY	15	47¢	$7	0x682ddb…
06-10 13:35:19	btc updown 5m 1781098500	Down	BUY	15	47¢	$7	0x5c2c66…
06-10 13:30:07	btc updown 5m 1781098200	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x9758c0…
06-10 13:30:07	btc updown 5m 1781098200	Down	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x3a7932…
06-10 13:30:06	btc updown 5m 1781098200	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xf85461…
06-10 13:30:06	btc updown 5m 1781098200	Down	BUY	1	47¢	$1	0xe008d0…
06-09 13:36:45	btc updown 5m 1781012400	Down	BUY	15	47¢	$7	0x3bdcf1…
06-09 13:35:04	btc updown 5m 1781012100	Down	BUY	15	47¢	$7	0x2648b7…
06-09 13:28:00	btc updown 5m 1781011800	Down	BUY	15	47¢	$7	0x202005…
06-08 13:40:06	btc updown 5m 1780926000	Down	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0x90a5b5…
06-08 13:32:57	btc updown 5m 1780925700	Down	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0x0f555c…
06-08 13:30:06	btc updown 5m 1780925400	Down	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0xb3d519…
06-02 13:39:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	14	46¢	$7	0x558161…
06-01 13:32:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xcbad94…
06-01 13:24:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	11	49¢	$5	0xc8fbfa…
05-31 00:23:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0x664460…
05-29 17:52:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	122	1¢	$1	0x1f049f…
05-28 15:42:49	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	Yes	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0xb70534…
05-28 14:18:49	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0xd97bd8…
05-28 14:16:22	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	43	35¢	$15	0x459884…
05-28 14:16:03	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	38	39¢	$15	0xa26b61…
05-28 14:15:40	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	28	95¢	$27	0xe0d122…
05-28 13:33:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	19	48¢	$9	0xa18182…
05-28 13:30:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	0	48¢	$0	0x932ad8…
05-28 13:30:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	48¢	$1	0x2a012f…
05-28 13:30:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x524412…
05-28 13:30:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xe3daab…
05-28 13:30:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x8f0fc7…
05-28 13:30:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	48¢	$1	0xc4ae41…
05-28 13:25:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xf442a7…
05-28 13:25:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	17	48¢	$8	0xcd6f15…
05-27 13:36:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0xe9bc25…
05-27 13:30:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	0	47¢	$0	0x0ba898…
05-27 13:30:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	8	47¢	$4	0xa2758e…
05-27 13:30:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x0389a1…
05-27 13:25:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x1a84f9…
05-27 13:25:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x23fc31…
05-26 17:31:55	Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	22	44¢	$10	0xc69a9f…
05-26 14:55:10	Solstice FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	18	92¢	$17	0x80d664…
05-25 12:54:45	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	Yes	SELL	94	11¢	$10	0xa27924…
05-25 11:33:26	Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	14	56¢	$8	0xa4384a…
05-25 10:39:11	Solstice FDV above $250M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	19	34¢	$6	0xe10b2b…
05-24 23:54:59	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	SELL	31	90¢	$28	0x388f7b…
05-24 21:04:32	Solstice FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	18	53¢	$10	0x253587…
05-24 19:34:59	Solstice FDV above $250M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	18	22¢	$4	0x81242f…
05-24 12:56:24	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	31	65¢	$20	0xa0c848…
05-24 11:06:54	Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x0161f2…
05-24 02:34:39	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	28	52¢	$14	0x69f2b1…
05-24 02:21:25	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	0	52¢	$0	0x91e521…
05-24 00:10:25	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	34	68¢	$23	0x80ddbb…
05-23 11:03:30	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	53	19¢	$10	0xae41e7…
05-22 21:25:53	Will Bob Menery enter the ring against Johnny Manziel?	Yes	SELL	76	92¢	$70	0xb159db…
05-22 00:41:59	Canadiens vs. Hurricanes	Hurricanes	BUY	21	23¢	$5	0xf94494…
05-21 20:34:39	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x3c454a…
05-21 12:10:23	Will Candace Owens or Hunter Biden say "Charlie" or "Kirk" 5+ times on Thursday?	No	BUY	33	9¢	$3	0x49bffd…
05-19 13:38:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0xfc3f67…
05-19 13:31:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x895c3b…
05-18 17:41:21	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	29	3¢	$1	0x6a0ada…
05-18 13:36:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0xa174b8…
05-18 13:33:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0xe25a27…
05-18 13:26:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0xcf306a…
05-18 00:06:18	Will Chris Gotterup finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 PGA Championship?	Yes	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x9f2524…
05-18 00:06:06	Will Min Woo Lee finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 PGA Championship?	Yes	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x4f0238…
05-17 17:22:01	Will Min Woo Lee finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 PGA Championship?	Yes	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x06b67f…
05-17 16:37:45	Will Brooks Koepka finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 PGA Championship?	Yes	BUY	12	46¢	$6	0x082c37…
05-17 13:49:10	Will Chris Gotterup finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 PGA Championship?	Yes	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x2b2a3b…
05-17 10:41:06	Will "Ace" be said during the IEM Atlanta 2026 Grand Finals?	No	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0xa181e3…
05-17 10:38:05	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0x12409c…
05-16 15:47:44	Will MrBeast say "Chandler" during his next YouTube video?	Yes	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0x15e9f1…
05-16 10:47:23	Will MrBeast say "Sponsor" or "Sponsored" or "Sponsoring" during his next YouTube video?	Yes	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0xefc7ee…
05-16 10:45:34	Will MrBeast say "Mystery Box" during his next YouTube video?	Yes	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0x3f61b5…
05-16 10:44:40	Will MrBeast say "Mystery Box" during his next YouTube video?	Yes	BUY	6	21¢	$1	0x2a3839…
05-15 14:46:35	Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on May 15?	Down	BUY	19	48¢	$9	0x156766…
05-14 22:42:29	Will Drake feature Julia Wolf on ICEMAN?	Yes	BUY	1	50¢	$1	0x2f2de2…
05-14 15:07:31	Will Drake feature Julia Wolf on ICEMAN?	Yes	BUY	9	50¢	$4	0xe5bcdd…
05-14 12:11:35	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	43	25¢	$11	0xed83ab…
05-14 11:44:08	Will Drake feature Julia Wolf on ICEMAN?	Yes	BUY	0	40¢	$0	0xce96ea…
05-14 01:07:18	Will Drake feature Julia Wolf on ICEMAN?	Yes	BUY	13	40¢	$5	0x987a0b…
05-13 20:23:57	Will Drake feature Julia Wolf on ICEMAN?	Yes	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0xb19e2c…
05-13 15:21:54	Will Drake feature Sexyy Red on ICEMAN?	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xf2ca9c…
05-13 13:40:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x0f6222…
05-13 13:35:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0xff273c…
05-13 13:30:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0xb62952…
05-13 13:30:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0xa166bb…
05-13 12:31:04	Will Drake feature Sexyy Red on ICEMAN?	Yes	BUY	8	46¢	$4	0x1a9ce6…
05-13 11:54:33	Will Drake feature Sexyy Red on ICEMAN?	Yes	BUY	26	56¢	$15	0x760efb…
05-12 20:51:25	Will Drake feature EsDeeKid on ICEMAN?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x86872b…
05-12 18:12:29	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0xee2291…
05-12 18:10:54	Will MrBeast say "Hundred" or "Thousand" or "Million" 10+ times during his next YouTube video?	Yes	BUY	16	37¢	$6	0x66356b…
05-12 17:11:31	Will MrBeast say "Hundred" or "Thousand" or "Million" 10+ times during his next YouTube video?	Yes	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0x0f7033…
05-12 17:11:00	Will MrBeast say "Hundred" or "Thousand" or "Million" 10+ times during his next YouTube video?	Yes	BUY	30	51¢	$15	0x971156…
05-12 13:40:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	47¢	$0	0xdde79f…