Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3

Unrealized P&L

-$54

Hit rate

80.8%

Resolved

Trades

3,772

lifetime

Volume

$4.86K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$115

7 positions

First seen

2026-03-02

last 07-10 18:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Politics

60% 100% +$0

Other

36% 40% $-3

Crypto

3% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

65 active days in 12wk • peak 155 trades/day

Open positions (7) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	+60	$49	66¢	$39	$-10	07-02 20:54
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+42	$18	56¢	$24	+$6	06-22 09:30
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+49	$16	40¢	$19	+$3	06-06 06:38
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	+110	$58	12¢	$13	$-45	07-02 15:47
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	-17	$-11	70¢	$-12	$-1	06-16 14:33
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+36	$11	18¢	$7	$-4	06-18 07:13
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+13	$3	11¢	$1	$-2	06-03 01:43

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	119	$199	171	171	+0	open	—	04-26 02:37
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	117	$124	121	97	+25	open	—	05-26 02:46
will the kharg island oil terminal be hit by april 15	24	$110	65	57	+9	open	—	04-12 13:29
will the us invade iran by march 31	53	$110	66	60	+6	open	—	03-27 08:08
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	70	$96	56	56	+0	open	—	04-22 00:43
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	71	$82	146	36	+110	open	—	07-02 15:47
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 15	5	$73	40	40	+0	open	—	03-11 07:33
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	68	$72	70	70	+0	open	—	04-06 21:52
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	32	$67	43	41	+2	open	—	03-14 06:51
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	74	$66	50	50	+0	open	—	03-30 14:37
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	29	$60	46	36	+10	open	—	04-24 03:27
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	39	$58	56	56	+0	open	—	05-25 02:41
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	42	$58	51	48	+3	open	—	04-07 08:03
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	27	$58	39	23	+15	open	—	04-08 05:33
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	34	$56	42	42	+0	open	—	03-20 05:37
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	32	$55	69	20	+49	open	—	03-10 08:18
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	46	$55	28	28	+0	open	—	03-17 07:08
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	49	$49	60	0	+60	open	—	07-02 20:54
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	22	$46	45	45	+0	open	—	05-19 05:34
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	36	$42	51	2	+49	No	+$9	04-18 11:07
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	13	$40	56	13	+43	open	—	04-02 00:01
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	6	$39	24	24	+0	open	—	03-26 04:08
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	35	$39	24	31	-8	open	—	06-20 01:47
Iran leadership change by March 13?	14	$38	19	20	-1	open	—	03-17 07:45
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	31	$38	32	28	+5	open	—	03-17 16:06
will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	20	$37	126	67	+60	open	—	06-20 12:36
israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	21	$36	52	35	+16	open	—	04-27 11:12
will israel or the us target an iranian nuclear facility 326	7	$35	24	12	+13	open	—	03-03 20:36
will trump restart project freedom by june 30	32	$35	111	82	+29	open	—	06-09 16:46
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	34	$34	41	0	+41	open	—	05-25 02:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-10 18:58:13	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 spread home 1pt5	Belgium	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xc24a6c…
07-10 18:58:08	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 spread home 1pt5	Belgium	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x2dc8b6…
07-10 18:13:53	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x39463a…
07-10 18:03:02	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	120	0¢	$0	0x62e036…
07-09 23:36:50	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by september 30 944	Yes	SELL	2	23¢	$1	0xd2deb7…
07-09 23:35:49	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	Yes	SELL	13	12¢	$2	0x1993aa…
07-09 00:34:04	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	Yes	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0xb13ff5…
07-08 15:57:08	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	Yes	SELL	1	12¢	$0	0x3a9fe4…
07-08 13:12:05	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	Yes	SELL	0	12¢	$0	0x09897c…
07-08 13:01:40	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	Yes	SELL	3	12¢	$0	0xee6bf0…
07-08 12:21:34	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x2d519c…
07-08 12:08:11	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	Yes	SELL	8	4¢	$0	0xfb7605…
07-08 12:08:02	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	Yes	SELL	14	3¢	$0	0xc50cdc…
07-04 17:08:16	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	Yes	SELL	3	0¢	$0	0x2db6b1…
07-03 01:36:07	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655082 171	Yes	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xf3b05d…
07-02 20:54:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xb31f42…
07-02 19:35:28	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x93642d…
07-02 19:34:59	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xb2ad82…
07-02 19:32:43	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x69f65f…
07-02 19:23:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x15dc73…
07-02 19:23:25	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xa44ce3…
07-02 19:14:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xef0916…
07-02 18:57:25	will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655083 396	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xa57bd9…
07-02 18:53:50	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x86e365…
07-02 18:06:13	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655082 171	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xfeafc2…
07-02 17:59:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xf16829…
07-02 17:54:10	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xc63bbf…
07-02 17:20:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xdc70dd…
07-02 17:06:01	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655082 171	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x6fb9ae…
07-02 16:51:58	will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655083 396	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xf1394a…
07-02 16:39:02	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xcc96fc…
07-02 16:37:43	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xdd7d79…
07-02 16:26:41	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x0bc409…
07-02 16:26:35	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xae2757…
07-02 16:26:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x2ebcee…
07-02 16:25:05	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x7146fe…
07-02 16:17:22	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x70205d…
07-02 16:16:46	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x489418…
07-02 16:11:08	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xe96dec…
07-02 16:05:13	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xa18c02…
07-02 16:04:53	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xed11a5…
07-02 15:58:59	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x01ae41…
07-02 15:58:53	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xc697cc…
07-02 15:54:10	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x465b1a…
07-02 15:48:35	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xdadd82…
07-02 15:47:05	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x5b95a4…
07-02 15:47:02	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x75ec27…
07-02 15:47:02	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x3d0685…
07-02 15:44:44	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xe1efe7…
07-02 15:44:44	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xab1cc3…
07-02 15:44:29	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x173b36…
07-02 15:32:04	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by september 30 944	Yes	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x134ae0…
07-02 15:31:49	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x2c5f52…
07-02 15:31:20	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x470fc9…
07-02 15:27:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x65604c…
07-02 15:06:26	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xa2df3c…
07-02 08:35:47	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655082 171	Yes	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x184e20…
07-02 08:32:49	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 team to advance	Portugal	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x6c0030…
07-02 07:59:10	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xf80fb6…
07-02 07:51:53	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655082 171	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x180277…
07-02 07:51:07	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655082 171	Yes	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x5ad625…
07-02 07:08:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xaeaaa3…
07-02 04:53:53	will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655083 396	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x7e8777…
07-02 04:04:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x6d0ea6…
07-02 01:49:05	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x6d250b…
07-02 01:21:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x379d9d…
07-02 01:21:11	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x2664fc…
07-02 00:28:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xed1066…
07-02 00:11:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x446fec…
07-01 23:11:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x5c2a91…
07-01 22:54:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xb0e92c…
07-01 22:10:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x576213…
07-01 21:45:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x50a207…
07-01 20:18:11	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x73b7a3…
07-01 19:37:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x6f741b…
07-01 19:37:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xcc9184…
07-01 19:13:11	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x52d115…
07-01 19:12:29	iaea visits isfahan fordow or natanz nuclear site by july 31 20260624040209014	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xacd63a…
07-01 19:08:17	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	Yes	SELL	9	82¢	$8	0xc98a43…
06-30 17:15:23	will crude oil cl hit high 95 by end of june	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xb32e48…
06-30 16:54:22	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	No	SELL	12	67¢	$8	0x9fd4fe…
06-29 07:03:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x887027…
06-29 02:35:07	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xf12ebb…
06-29 01:16:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xf9cb6a…
06-28 23:56:26	iaea visits isfahan fordow or natanz nuclear site by july 31 20260624040209014	No	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xd3a401…
06-28 21:52:34	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xf58278…
06-28 21:52:13	will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in june 2026	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xb5e2c6…
06-28 21:26:13	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x522ea0…
06-28 15:30:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xf20384…
06-28 15:10:32	fifwc rsa can 2026 06 28 team to advance	South Africa	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xc6f881…
06-28 12:50:05	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x2f53da…
06-26 21:49:37	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xba4da9…
06-26 15:10:10	fifwc nor fra 2026 06 26 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x247798…
06-26 15:09:34	fifwc nor fra 2026 06 26 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x1a2fb8…
06-26 14:23:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xeb5cca…
06-26 14:22:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x66ff47…
06-26 14:17:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xd42027…
06-26 13:58:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xe19c17…
06-26 13:57:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x0d73c5…
06-26 13:57:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x109096…