Realized P&L
-$3
Unrealized P&L
-$18
Hit rate
80.8%
Resolved
7
Trades
3,609
lifetime
Volume
$4.66K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$131
16 positions
First seen
2026-03-02
last 06-20 05:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Politics
62% 100% +$0
Other
35% 40% $-3
Crypto
3%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
70 active days in 12wk • peak 155 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +30 $24 88¢ $26 +$2 06-20 05:45
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +51 $29 48¢ $24 $-4 06-19 12:15
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? No +40 $17 44¢ $17 +$0 06-06 08:09
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? No +49 $16 29¢ $14 $-2 06-06 06:38
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No -17 $-11 50¢ $-9 +$2 06-16 14:33
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +36 $11 24¢ $8 $-3 06-18 07:13
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? No +8 $9 94¢ $7 $-2 06-08 01:24
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No -8 $-5 94¢ $-7 $-3 06-20 01:47
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No -6 $-5 90¢ $-5 $-0 06-19 12:15
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? No +3 $3 98¢ $3 +$0 06-07 19:14
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30? No +3 $3 97¢ $3 +$0 06-15 18:42
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +24 $7 10¢ $2 $-5 06-15 11:57
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +13 $3 15¢ $2 $-1 06-03 01:43
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No -1 $-1 99¢ $-1 +$0 06-12 10:34
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? Yes +12 $3 $1 $-2 06-09 04:15
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June? Yes -6 $-0 $-0 +$0 06-07 12:45