Realized P&L
-$15.8K
Unrealized P&L
-$408
Hit rate
85.9%
Resolved
101
Trades
2,045
lifetime
Volume
$1.51M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$738
Open exposure
$26.6K
13 positions
First seen
2026-01-17
last 10-21 07:24
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 60 days
Categories
Politics
61% 86% -$8,969
Other
35% 91% -$6,868
Sports
3% 0% -$260
Crypto
0% 67% +$299
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
38 active days in 12wk • peak 71 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? Yes +13,801 $11,241 80¢ $11.1K -$131 10-10 20:52
gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871 No +4,500 $3,690 96¢ $4.3K +$607 08-10 09:06
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +2,500 $2,050 94¢ $2.3K +$287 05-18 16:15
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? Yes +2,500 $2,300 86¢ $2.1K -$162 09-25 03:55
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -10,500 -$2,614 17¢ $-1738 +$877 05-21 17:00
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +9,000 $2,700 18¢ $1.7K -$1,035 07-24 19:50
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +35,000 $700 3¢ $1.1K +$350 08-10 13:50
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? No +1,511 $1,142 62¢ $929 -$213 05-10 09:28
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +712 $555 60¢ $431 -$125 05-11 08:25
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? Yes +5,500 $1,155 6¢ $358 -$798 09-16 10:58
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +500 $245 57¢ $285 +$40 05-15 09:08
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +6,760 $301 3¢ $220 -$81 09-16 12:58
Will Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +50,000 $100 0¢ $75 -$25 09-17 07:13