Ready-Resource — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2.32K

Unrealized P&L

-$5

Hit rate

54.6%

Resolved

126

Trades

707

lifetime

Volume

$37.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$53

Open exposure

$298

4 positions

First seen

2026-05-11

last 10-30 00:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 39 days

Categories

Politics

79% 43% +$2,369

Other

19% 61% +$31

Crypto

2% 62% -$87

Tech

0% 100% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026	Yes	+200	$164	78¢	$157	-$7	10-30 00:23
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	+100	$92	92¢	$92	$0	10-30 00:20
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?	No	+25	$25	97¢	$25	+$0	10-30 00:11
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	+25	$22	99¢	$25	+$3	10-30 00:19

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	44	$8.5K	6,567	6,567	+0	Yes	+$3,781	06-18 00:29
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	18	$2.3K	2,120	2,120	+0	Yes	-$197	06-13 15:47
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	14	$1.7K	1,490	1,490	+0	Yes	-$4	06-13 17:06
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	18	$1.7K	1,319	1,017	+302	No	+$0	06-19 12:38
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?	39	$1.6K	1,968	1,968	+0	Yes	-$477	06-19 06:59
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026?	5	$956	575	575	+0	open	—	10-23 20:36
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	19	$892	785	665	+120	No	-$8	06-20 13:51
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	7	$854	647	646	+0	Yes	-$38	06-13 13:28
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	12	$821	715	715	+0	No	-$61	06-17 08:35
US imports Russian diesel by November 30?	9	$806	695	695	+0	open	—	10-29 23:54
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	19	$669	1,858	3	+1,855	No	+$261	06-19 07:26
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	5	$543	311	311	+0	No	-$16	06-12 18:27
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	6	$524	501	501	+0	Yes	-$18	06-12 13:36
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	16	$520	675	545	+130	No	+$22	06-18 12:24
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?	6	$502	269	269	+0	open	—	10-22 21:32
Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in the UAE by December 31, 2027?	5	$474	343	343	+0	open	—	10-29 23:44
will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	19	$433	410	410	+0	Yes	+$38	06-18 13:23
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 15 2026 671	9	$418	277	277	+0	No	-$24	06-12 17:14
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	6	$409	884	0	+884	Yes	-$409	10-22 21:44
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	3	$326	275	138	+138	Yes	-$94	05-25 16:43
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	7	$322	304	304	+0	Yes	+$2	06-20 14:56
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	4	$308	262	262	+0	Yes	-$4	06-13 14:45
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	8	$304	328	194	+134	No	+$10	05-27 09:33
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on June 19?	1	$300	305	0	+305	No	+$5	06-19 06:47
iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	4	$295	227	227	+0	No	+$3	06-17 00:04
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	3	$277	152	152	+0	No	+$11	05-29 07:26
will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	11	$272	327	327	+0	No	-$33	06-18 01:31
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?	3	$248	173	173	+0	No	-$52	09-24 11:38
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	12	$245	229	229	+0	Yes	-$2	06-13 15:50
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	2	$224	128	128	+0	No	+$24	06-06 09:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 00:29:36	Will Mojtaba Khamenei leave Iran by October 31?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x7d6f34…
10-30 00:23:55	Nothing Ever Happens: 2026	Yes	BUY	200	82¢	$164	0x321ea7…
10-30 00:21:37	Will Somali pirates successfully seize a vessel by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0xe06ba0…
10-30 00:20:37	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	BUY	100	92¢	$92	0x3120a8…
10-30 00:19:42	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x31e08f…
10-30 00:15:06	Israel x Syria diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	97¢	$48	0x6d073d…
10-30 00:14:24	Will Russia enter Kherson by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0x71d4cc…
10-30 00:11:03	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?	No	BUY	25	97¢	$25	0x9357ee…
10-30 00:10:42	Will Iran target Kuwait by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x63bbc1…
10-30 00:10:21	Farsi Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xc3884c…
10-30 00:09:22	Greater Tunb Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x8d6b06…
10-30 00:08:45	Will Iran target Bahrain by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x9ac8f2…
10-30 00:08:04	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xba168b…
10-30 00:06:04	Abdul-Malik al-Houthi out by October 31?	No	BUY	13	98¢	$12	0xfb7f89…
10-30 00:06:04	Abdul-Malik al-Houthi out by October 31?	No	BUY	37	98¢	$37	0x23a7fe…
10-30 00:05:37	Israel military action against Lebanon on October 29?	No	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x6c01d4…
10-30 00:02:40	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 30?	Yes	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0x421e5e…
10-29 23:54:06	US imports Russian diesel by November 30?	Yes	SELL	695	44¢	$305	0xd657cd…
10-29 23:44:43	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	86	79¢	$68	0xd410b6…
10-29 23:44:33	Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in the UAE by December 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	343	71¢	$244	0xd87a88…
10-23 21:40:06	US imports Russian diesel by November 30?	Yes	BUY	160	81¢	$130	0x342cab…
10-23 21:12:18	Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in the UAE by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x2a8b04…
10-23 21:00:09	Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in the UAE by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0xbab0d1…
10-23 20:59:09	Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in the UAE by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x0c8f9f…
10-23 20:39:12	Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in the UAE by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	294	68¢	$200	0xf01ee8…
10-23 20:36:15	Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	345	88¢	$304	0xd2a748…
10-23 20:29:23	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	58	97¢	$56	0x9d2765…
10-23 01:23:09	US imports Russian diesel by November 30?	Yes	BUY	0	70¢	$0	0x9cd300…
10-22 23:48:56	US imports Russian diesel by November 30?	Yes	BUY	157	70¢	$110	0xdbd8a9…
10-22 21:47:12	US imports Russian diesel by November 30?	Yes	BUY	135	70¢	$94	0x9dcb5b…
10-22 21:46:57	Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	230	89¢	$205	0xcca86a…
10-22 21:44:08	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	133	36¢	$48	0xdf07ae…
10-22 21:34:05	Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?	Yes	SELL	61	78¢	$48	0xdf42f1…
10-22 21:32:30	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	441	36¢	$159	0x95643e…
10-22 21:32:05	Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?	No	SELL	92	93¢	$86	0xbad6b5…
10-22 21:31:50	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	70	71¢	$50	0x36d9f9…
10-22 21:28:33	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	118	20¢	$23	0x10c146…
10-21 22:14:32	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	58	92¢	$53	0x82c094…
10-21 21:52:36	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	61	87¢	$53	0x30d58f…
10-21 16:04:17	US imports Russian diesel by November 30?	Yes	BUY	72	70¢	$50	0x3ae1c1…
10-21 16:04:00	Ukraine election called by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	56	91¢	$50	0xa56882…
10-21 15:55:21	US imports Russian diesel by November 30?	Yes	BUY	69	69¢	$48	0xa87f43…
10-21 15:55:21	US imports Russian diesel by November 30?	Yes	BUY	61	69¢	$42	0x4041d9…
10-21 15:55:06	Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?	No	SELL	96	93¢	$90	0x749069…
10-21 14:39:41	US imports Russian diesel by November 30?	Yes	BUY	41	64¢	$26	0x99e7ea…
10-21 14:36:35	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	30	85¢	$26	0x7fdd7b…
10-21 14:35:44	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	86	58¢	$50	0x1ddc22…
10-21 14:32:38	Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?	No	SELL	110	92¢	$102	0x3e2c12…
10-21 14:20:59	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	53	83¢	$44	0x26fc9f…
10-21 14:19:56	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	SELL	46	96¢	$44	0x9bcc5b…
10-21 14:18:02	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	102	81¢	$83	0x6be156…
10-21 14:17:32	Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 31?	No	SELL	85	98¢	$83	0x6c067e…
10-21 14:03:47	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	90	17¢	$15	0x49a9f1…
10-21 14:01:12	Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?	No	SELL	16	94¢	$15	0xf57487…
10-20 13:18:51	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	BUY	46	93¢	$42	0xdfa059…
10-20 12:33:48	Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the October Meeting?	Yes	SELL	100	14¢	$14	0x42eba2…
10-20 12:13:14	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	38	53¢	$20	0x1331d7…
10-20 11:29:45	Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the October Meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	12¢	$12	0x1d939a…
10-20 11:25:53	Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?	No	SELL	65	94¢	$61	0x1f0075…
10-20 01:49:42	Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?	Yes	BUY	61	81¢	$50	0x414068…
10-20 01:45:48	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x89c9d4…
10-20 01:44:23	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	70	72¢	$50	0x04e09f…
10-20 01:38:38	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	108	98¢	$105	0xe5fd22…
10-07 23:59:58	Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	53	90¢	$48	0x95ee7b…
10-07 23:38:32	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	125	40¢	$50	0x19eea9…
10-07 23:29:10	Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 31?	No	BUY	85	87¢	$74	0x57d595…
10-06 18:47:41	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	158	98¢	$155	0x0fcee9…
10-06 18:46:09	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0xd6d51b…
09-24 11:38:21	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	61	27¢	$17	0x8fa4cb…
09-24 11:38:05	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	173	56¢	$98	0xc09ae1…
09-14 07:40:31	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	61	75¢	$46	0x1b4352…
09-14 07:39:21	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	46¢	$46	0x656405…
09-13 09:44:10	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0x41091d…
09-13 09:39:22	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	110	91¢	$100	0x138c31…
09-13 09:38:39	Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	259	77¢	$200	0xdc242e…
09-13 09:31:07	Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	263	76¢	$200	0x132524…
09-13 09:28:45	Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	No	SELL	12	69¢	$8	0xc831c6…
09-13 09:28:37	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	19	30¢	$6	0x979968…
08-27 16:08:33	Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?	No	BUY	160	94¢	$150	0x467ac6…
08-27 16:07:15	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0x404915…
08-27 16:06:22	NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	52	97¢	$50	0x0e5053…
08-27 16:03:42	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	61	82¢	$50	0x580aea…
08-27 16:01:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	No	BUY	53	94¢	$50	0x545807…
08-27 15:58:37	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	64	79¢	$50	0x864cde…
08-27 15:57:49	Ukraine election called by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	56	90¢	$50	0xe36849…
08-27 15:57:04	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0xa09c23…
08-27 15:55:55	Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?	No	BUY	110	91¢	$100	0x7bab98…
08-27 15:55:42	Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?	No	BUY	109	91¢	$100	0x2218ea…
07-06 11:20:53	Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting?	Yes	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x033389…
07-06 11:20:19	Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the July Meeting?	Yes	BUY	77	1¢	$1	0x99d169…
07-03 18:19:56	Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting?	Yes	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0xd9d084…
07-03 18:19:41	Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the July Meeting?	Yes	BUY	267	2¢	$5	0xf67b30…
07-02 21:24:28	Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the July Meeting?	Yes	SELL	50	1¢	$1	0x08ff68…
07-02 21:23:52	israel x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x778ab3…
07-02 21:23:35	Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting?	Yes	SELL	95	43¢	$41	0x8e441f…
06-20 14:56:20	Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	Yes	SELL	10	71¢	$7	0xce5423…
06-20 13:52:43	will jd vance attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204739	No	SELL	20	86¢	$17	0x0aeff0…
06-20 13:51:41	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	8	75¢	$6	0xe87e3d…
06-20 13:51:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	0	92¢	$0	0x7d9812…
06-19 14:21:52	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on June 19?	Yes	SELL	42	0¢	$0	0x1cadc6…