Realized P&L
-$37.5K
Unrealized P&L
+$9.20K
Hit rate
90.5%
Resolved
496
Trades
7,238
lifetime
Volume
$3.31M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$457
Open exposure
$102.1K
22 positions
First seen
2026-01-14
last 11-01 20:29
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 127 days
Categories
Politics
48% 86% +$32,840
Other
33% 85% -$86,399
Crypto
8% 100% +$10,644
Tech
8% 100% +$4,147
Sports
4% 71% +$1,221
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
51 active days in 12wk • peak 750 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +30,081 $27,742 94¢ $28.4K +$685 10-30 04:43
Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026? No +19,958 $18,256 94¢ $18.7K +$405 11-01 20:29
Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026? Yes +7,375 $6,757 94¢ $6.9K +$139 10-31 13:47
Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026? No +6,884 $6,539 98¢ $6.7K +$207 10-26 16:45
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? Yes +7,229 $6,651 92¢ $6.7K +$36 10-31 15:28
Will the Democrats win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026? Yes +6,707 $6,371 98¢ $6.6K +$218 10-26 16:15
Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026? No +6,745 $6,398 96¢ $6.5K +$111 10-28 00:26
Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? No +6,149 $5,657 92¢ $5.7K $0 10-31 14:50
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -2,700 -$2,322 96¢ $-2579 -$257 05-28 09:35
Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026? Yes +2,802 $2,578 92¢ $2.6K -$14 10-13 16:31
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +3,333 $1,700 74¢ $2.5K +$783 09-12 18:17
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? No +3,333 $1,733 72¢ $2.4K +$650 09-12 05:23
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +5,582 $2,022 40¢ $2.2K +$225 10-15 12:10
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +2,682 $2,213 82¢ $2.2K $0 10-16 01:50
Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026? Yes +562 $517 97¢ $545 +$28 09-12 02:37
Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award? No -494 -$6,574 99¢ $-487 +$6,087 09-12 00:03
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +7,777 $607 5¢ $424 -$183 06-01 19:57
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes +20 $19 98¢ $20 +$1 10-17 02:38
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +13 $13 98¢ $13 +$0 09-29 08:24
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -13 -$26 18¢ $-2 +$23 05-20 06:56
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -0 -$32 97¢ $-0 +$32 04-30 05:43
Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +0 -$20 100¢ $0 +$20 09-13 21:15