Realized P&L (30d)
-$9.38K
Unrealized P&L
+$8.58K
Hit rate
81.0%
Resolved (30d)
26
Trades (30d)
462
5,728 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$359.7K
$3.15M lifetime
Avg / trade
$550
Open exposure
$102.6K
23 positions
First seen
2026-01-14
last 10-28 05:38
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 125 days
Categories
Politics
47% 85% +$32,017
Other
34% 85% -$87,132
Crypto
8% 100% +$10,644
Tech
8% 100% +$4,147
Sports
4% 71% +$1,221
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
48 active days in 12wk • peak 90 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +50,525 $49,830 99¢ $50.0K +$189 10-28 03:44
Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority? No +10,441 $9,961 99¢ $10.4K +$423 10-28 05:38
Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026? No +6,884 $6,539 97¢ $6.7K +$134 10-26 16:45
Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026? No +6,745 $6,398 97¢ $6.6K +$158 10-28 00:26
Will the Democrats win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026? Yes +6,707 $6,371 97¢ $6.5K +$138 10-26 16:15
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +3,333 $2,866 92¢ $3.1K +$217 09-13 03:04
Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026? No +3,284 $2,890 93¢ $3.1K +$164 10-14 21:39
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -2,700 -$2,322 94¢ $-2525 -$203 05-28 09:35
Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026? Yes +2,802 $2,578 86¢ $2.4K -$154 10-13 16:31
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +5,582 $2,022 42¢ $2.4K +$334 10-15 12:10
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? No +3,333 $1,733 70¢ $2.3K +$617 09-12 05:23
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +3,333 $1,700 70¢ $2.3K +$617 09-12 18:17
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +2,682 $2,213 80¢ $2.1K -$81 10-16 01:50
Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026? Yes +709 $624 92¢ $656 +$32 10-16 20:32
Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026? Yes +562 $517 96¢ $541 +$24 09-12 02:37
Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award? No -494 -$6,574 98¢ $-486 +$6,088 09-12 00:03
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +7,777 $607 5¢ $404 -$202 06-01 19:57
will wti dip to 65 in october 2026 No +76 $70 100¢ $76 +$6 09-27 18:33
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes +20 $19 97¢ $20 +$0 10-17 02:38
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +13 $13 97¢ $13 +$0 09-29 08:24
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -13 -$26 20¢ $-3 +$23 05-20 06:56
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -0 -$32 96¢ $-0 +$32 04-30 05:43
Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +0 -$20 100¢ $0 +$20 09-13 21:15