Squiggly-Deck — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$439

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

43.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$9.98K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$256

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-05

last 09-21 03:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Other

75% 30% -$439

Politics

25% 50% +$0

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (12) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes		+13	$3	22¢	$3	+$0	09-21 03:30

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?	2	$949	510	510	+0	open	—	05-23 07:48
Will Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027?	2	$946	506	506	+0	open	—	05-29 05:14
Will Russia enter Stinky by May 31?	2	$941	520	520	+0	No	-$5	05-25 07:15
Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?	2	$937	515	515	+0	open	—	05-27 05:45
will mojtaba khamenei leave iran by august 31 20260720003950635	2	$874	465	465	+0	No	+$0	07-21 02:51
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?	2	$870	470	470	+0	open	—	07-21 06:18
israel x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	2	$796	419	419	+0	No	+$0	07-01 03:23
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?	2	$792	435	435	+0	open	—	07-01 07:52
Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?	2	$477	251	251	+0	open	—	06-15 07:39
Spread: Bologna FC 1909 (-2.5)	1	$475	490	0	+490	FC Internazionale Milano	+$15	05-23 08:21
Spread: US Catanzaro 1929 (-1.5)	1	$473	514	0	+514	US Catanzaro 1929	-$473	05-29 05:26
Spread: Aalesunds FK (-1.5)	1	$468	490	0	+490	Tromsø IL	+$22	05-25 07:56
Will any country join the Board of Peace by June 30?	2	$462	245	245	+0	No	-$4	06-16 07:20
Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs 25 cents (BO3) - Circuit X Base Recife Group A	1	$414	465	0	+465	BESTIA	+$51	05-27 08:17
Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	4	$45	970	970	+0	No	+$0	05-07 07:46
Spread: Ismaily SC (-1.5)	2	$39	989	0	+989	National Bank of Egypt Club	-$39	05-07 08:01
Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	4	$10	205	205	+0	No	+$0	04-05 07:42
lal get bil 2026 04 05 spread away 2pt5	2	$6	205	0	+205	Getafe CF	-$6	04-05 07:50
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?	1	$3	13	0	+13	open	—	09-21 03:30
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	2	$2	27	27	+0	open	—	08-09 05:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-21 03:30:59	Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	13	21¢	$3	0xb08127…
08-09 05:09:27	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	27	4¢	$1	0x0a28fb…
08-09 04:53:37	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	4¢	$1	0x7511ac…
07-21 06:18:43	European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?	No	SELL	470	92¢	$432	0x836a0c…
07-21 03:22:55	european country agrees to give ukraine security guarantee by december 31	No	BUY	470	93¢	$437	0x63a554…
07-21 02:51:03	will mojtaba khamenei leave iran by august 31 20260720003950635	No	SELL	465	94¢	$437	0x8d7259…
07-21 02:12:06	will mojtaba khamenei leave iran by august 31 20260720003950635	No	BUY	465	94¢	$437	0xbe2a0a…
07-01 07:52:59	U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?	No	SELL	435	91¢	$396	0xc86831…
07-01 06:57:19	U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?	No	BUY	435	91¢	$396	0x02a670…
07-01 03:23:05	israel x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	SELL	419	95¢	$398	0x15f4c7…
07-01 02:07:35	israel x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	BUY	419	95¢	$398	0x84d1a0…
06-16 07:20:45	Will any country join the Board of Peace by June 30?	No	SELL	245	94¢	$229	0x1ac66d…
06-16 05:31:19	Will any country join the Board of Peace by June 30?	No	BUY	245	95¢	$233	0x29e8a1…
06-15 07:39:12	Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?	No	SELL	251	95¢	$238	0xb3078c…
06-15 06:21:42	Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?	No	BUY	251	95¢	$238	0xab9a12…
05-29 05:26:06	Spread: US Catanzaro 1929 (-1.5)	AC Monza	BUY	514	92¢	$473	0x8b4db1…
05-29 05:14:17	Will Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027?	No	SELL	506	93¢	$473	0x01ec3a…
05-29 04:44:27	Will Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027?	No	BUY	506	94¢	$473	0xc5a534…
05-27 08:17:17	Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs 25 cents (BO3) - Circuit X Base Recife Group A	BESTIA	BUY	465	89¢	$414	0xbec469…
05-27 05:45:56	Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?	No	SELL	515	90¢	$463	0x340b7c…
05-27 03:12:41	Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?	No	BUY	515	92¢	$474	0x397bc3…
05-25 07:56:44	Spread: Aalesunds FK (-1.5)	Tromsø IL	BUY	490	96¢	$468	0xf45ca7…
05-25 07:15:12	Will Russia enter Stinky by May 31?	No	SELL	520	90¢	$468	0xb82fb1…
05-25 06:34:58	Will Russia enter Stinky by May 31?	No	BUY	520	91¢	$473	0xcfb4ac…
05-23 08:21:52	Spread: Bologna FC 1909 (-2.5)	FC Internazionale Milano	BUY	490	97¢	$475	0x588103…
05-23 07:48:33	Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?	No	SELL	510	93¢	$474	0x400d34…
05-23 06:42:31	Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?	No	BUY	510	93¢	$474	0xaaee15…
05-07 08:01:17	Spread: Ismaily SC (-1.5)	Ismaily SC	BUY	500	4¢	$19	0xec2cd6…
05-07 07:58:20	Spread: Ismaily SC (-1.5)	Ismaily SC	BUY	489	4¢	$19	0x8e1eb9…
05-07 07:46:14	Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	490	2¢	$11	0x709c5c…
05-07 07:45:56	Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	480	2¢	$11	0x00f38a…
05-07 07:11:44	Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	490	2¢	$11	0x19468d…
05-07 07:11:28	Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	480	2¢	$11	0x195f1a…
04-05 07:50:31	lal get bil 2026 04 05 spread away 2pt5	Athletic Club	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0xd91503…
04-05 07:50:17	lal get bil 2026 04 05 spread away 2pt5	Athletic Club	BUY	105	3¢	$3	0x6c3c52…
04-05 07:42:51	Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	2¢	$2	0x2a251b…
04-05 07:42:35	Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	105	2¢	$3	0xd7096d…
04-05 05:23:57	Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xde236c…
04-05 05:23:43	Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	105	2¢	$3	0xaf99c4…