(anonymous) 0xcbc421…a86070
3W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$393
Unrealized P&L
-$2
Hit rate
71.9%
Resolved
208
Trades
813
lifetime
Volume
$50.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$62
Open exposure
$177
18 positions
First seen
2026-09-29
last 10-26 18:50
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 28 days
Categories
Sports
50% 73% -$845
Other
36% 62% +$158
Politics
9% 65% +$1,186
Crypto
4% 62% -$106
Tech
0% 100% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
28 active days in 12wk • peak 77 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +97 $30 32¢ $30 +$0 10-26 04:09
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +63 $30 46¢ $29 -$1 10-26 04:06
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? No +22 $20 86¢ $19 -$1 10-04 15:52
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day? Yes +38 $10 32¢ $12 +$2 10-20 18:13
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No +43 $10 25¢ $11 +$1 10-21 23:27
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day? Yes +57 $10 18¢ $10 +$0 10-20 18:13
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +15 $10 66¢ $10 +$0 10-26 04:00
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +46 $11 22¢ $10 -$1 10-16 12:02
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +12 $10 74¢ $9 -$1 10-03 16:56
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +62 $5 12¢ $7 +$2 10-05 16:05
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +53 $5 10¢ $5 +$0 10-15 03:46
Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026? No +6 $5 92¢ $5 +$0 09-29 19:38
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +8 $5 62¢ $5 $0 10-11 18:28
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +23 $5 22¢ $5 $0 10-15 03:46
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +25 $5 18¢ $4 -$1 10-15 03:46
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +3 $2 66¢ $2 +$0 09-29 21:14
Will Santiago Abascal be the next Prime Minister of Spain? Yes +59 $1 2¢ $1 +$0 10-06 11:44
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +12 $5 9¢ $1 -$4 10-02 22:00