(anonymous) 0xcbc421…a86070
3W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$398
Unrealized P&L
-$25
Hit rate
72.2%
Resolved
211
Trades
848
lifetime
Volume
$53.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$63
Open exposure
$855
25 positions
First seen
2026-09-29
last 10-27 22:30
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 29 days
Categories
Sports
48% 74% -$834
Other
37% 61% +$148
Politics
11% 65% +$1,186
Crypto
4% 64% -$102
Tech
0% 100% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
29 active days in 12wk • peak 77 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +219 $200 78¢ $171 -$29 10-27 22:25
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +114 $103 96¢ $110 +$7 10-27 22:26
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +105 $99 96¢ $101 +$2 10-27 21:48
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +109 $100 92¢ $99 -$1 10-27 10:54
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +1,111 $100 8¢ $94 -$6 10-27 22:29
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +99 $60 70¢ $69 +$9 10-27 22:30
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +39 $30 78¢ $31 +$1 10-27 11:00
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +41 $30 57¢ $23 -$7 10-27 04:34
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? Yes +93 $20 24¢ $22 +$2 10-27 15:27
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day? Yes +72 $20 30¢ $21 +$1 10-27 15:28
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +59 $20 32¢ $19 -$1 10-27 04:23
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? No +22 $20 85¢ $19 -$1 10-04 15:52
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +46 $11 22¢ $10 -$1 10-16 12:02
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +15 $10 66¢ $10 +$0 10-26 04:00
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day? Yes +57 $10 17¢ $10 $0 10-20 18:13
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +12 $10 72¢ $9 -$1 10-03 16:56
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +62 $5 12¢ $7 +$2 10-05 16:05
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +53 $5 10¢ $5 +$0 10-15 03:46
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +8 $5 68¢ $5 +$0 10-11 18:28
Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026? No +6 $5 92¢ $5 +$0 09-29 19:38
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +23 $5 22¢ $5 $0 10-15 03:46
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +25 $5 18¢ $4 -$1 10-15 03:46
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +3 $2 64¢ $2 +$0 09-29 21:14
Will Santiago Abascal be the next Prime Minister of Spain? Yes +59 $1 2¢ $1 $0 10-06 11:44
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +12 $5 5¢ $1 -$4 10-02 22:00