(anonymous) 0xcbe21a…a3b059
5W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (30d)
-$90
Unrealized P&L
-$275
Hit rate
77.2%
Resolved (30d)
64
Trades (30d)
650
852 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$23.7K
$28.9K lifetime
Avg / trade
$34
Open exposure
$3.68K
29 positions
First seen
2026-08-31
last 10-30 09:29
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 26 days
Categories
Other
61% 77% -$712
Politics
32% 73% +$274
Tech
3% 100% +$2
Sports
2% 100% +$478
Crypto
1% 57% -$85
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
53 active days in 12wk • peak 87 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +2,038 $1,450 60¢ $1.2K -$227 10-28 19:02
Next White House Press Secretary announced by October 31, 2026? No +331 $318 98¢ $325 +$7 10-28 22:48
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +315 $305 85¢ $268 -$37 10-24 20:27
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? No +219 $173 97¢ $213 +$40 10-26 23:34
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +285 $185 72¢ $204 +$19 10-11 15:40
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +239 $207 82¢ $195 -$12 10-26 03:14
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +254 $172 70¢ $178 +$6 10-29 17:48
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? No +201 $161 82¢ $165 +$4 10-29 23:41
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026? No +144 $140 94¢ $135 -$5 10-06 11:20
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +124 $99 98¢ $122 +$22 10-26 23:01
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +152 $107 78¢ $118 +$11 10-06 19:10
Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026? No +174 $123 61¢ $106 -$16 10-29 17:35
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026? No +53 $50 92¢ $49 -$1 10-28 02:47
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? Yes +84 $73 56¢ $47 -$26 10-30 09:29
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? No +63 $48 72¢ $45 -$3 10-28 08:00
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? No +57 $44 76¢ $43 -$1 10-30 03:21
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +53 $62 74¢ $39 -$23 10-29 17:39
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? No +43 $35 85¢ $37 +$2 10-08 13:03
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? Yes +89 $55 40¢ $36 -$19 10-07 15:42
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +408 $30 8¢ $31 +$0 10-16 02:25
Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary? No +37 $33 82¢ $30 -$2 10-29 17:48
Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026? No +28 $23 84¢ $24 +$1 10-19 06:57
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027? No +48 $32 47¢ $23 -$9 10-25 11:21
Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026? No +30 $17 32¢ $10 -$7 10-29 17:18
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? No +15 $8 44¢ $7 -$2 10-04 16:14
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +14 -$2 41¢ $6 +$8 10-23 20:31
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October? No +7 $6 46¢ $3 -$2 10-04 19:41
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027? No +3 $2 89¢ $3 +$1 09-30 10:40
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? Yes +6 $3 0¢ $0 -$3 09-11 19:18