(anonymous) 0xcbe21a…a3b059
5W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (90d)
-$42
Unrealized P&L
-$393
Hit rate
75.3%
Resolved (90d)
89
Trades (90d)
826
826 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$28.3K
$28.3K lifetime
Avg / trade
$34
Open exposure
$3.46K
28 positions
First seen
2026-08-31
last 10-29 12:51
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 26 days
Categories
Other
61% 77% -$712
Politics
32% 73% +$274
Tech
3% 100% +$2
Sports
2% 100% +$478
Crypto
1% 57% -$85
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
52 active days in 12wk • peak 87 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +2,038 $1,450 55¢ $1.1K -$339 10-28 19:02
Next White House Press Secretary announced by October 31, 2026? No +331 $318 98¢ $325 +$7 10-28 22:48
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +315 $305 86¢ $273 -$33 10-24 20:27
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? No +219 $173 98¢ $215 +$42 10-26 23:34
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +285 $185 70¢ $198 +$13 10-11 15:40
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +239 $207 82¢ $197 -$10 10-26 03:14
Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026? No +202 $141 68¢ $137 -$5 10-28 16:30
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026? No +144 $140 95¢ $136 -$4 10-06 11:20
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +124 $99 98¢ $121 +$22 10-26 23:01
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? No +144 $115 82¢ $119 +$5 10-28 02:18
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +152 $107 78¢ $118 +$11 10-06 19:10
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +123 $84 68¢ $83 -$1 10-29 04:54
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +110 $102 71¢ $78 -$24 10-25 13:45
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? Yes +109 $87 56¢ $61 -$26 10-27 00:04
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026? No +53 $50 92¢ $49 -$1 10-28 02:47
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? No +63 $48 72¢ $45 -$3 10-28 08:00
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? No +43 $35 83¢ $36 +$1 10-08 13:03
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? Yes +89 $55 40¢ $36 -$20 10-07 15:42
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +408 $30 8¢ $33 +$2 10-16 02:25
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027? No +48 $32 56¢ $27 -$5 10-25 11:21
Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary? No +31 $28 82¢ $25 -$2 10-28 02:11
Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026? No +46 $23 32¢ $14 -$8 10-29 12:51
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? No +15 $8 44¢ $7 -$2 10-04 16:14
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October? No +7 $6 88¢ $6 +$1 10-04 19:41
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +14 -$2 43¢ $6 +$8 10-23 20:31
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027? No +3 $2 91¢ $3 +$1 09-30 10:40
Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026? No +28 $23 1¢ $0 -$22 10-19 06:57
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? Yes +6 $3 0¢ $0 -$3 09-11 19:18